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SAS 系統

CORR 程序

6 變數: LRT_P GDP_PA EAL RDS MTTP TA

簡單統計值

變數 N 平均值 標準差 總和 最小值 最大值

LRT_P 47 300026 74818 14101225 89185 455455

GDP_PA 47 221920 18495 10430244 194163 248193

EAL 47 0.27660 0.57868 13.00000 0 2.00000

RDS 47 10.55319 3.84373 496.00000 3.00000 20.00000

MTTP 47 263069 58792 12364240 66653 343397

TA 47 547614 197639 25737853 65216 823993

Pearson 相關係數, N = 47
Prob > |r| (低於 H0): Rho=0

LRT_P GDP_PA EAL RDS MTTP TA

LRT_P 1.00000 0.34821 -0.46156 -0.11572 0.63841 0.45662

0.0165 0.0011 0.4386 <.0001 0.0013

GDP_PA 0.34821 1.00000 0.29790 0.13457 -0.24246 -0.53305

0.0165 0.0420 0.3671 0.1006 0.0001

EAL -0.46156 0.29790 1.00000 -0.05074 -0.74105 -0.58898

0.0011 0.0420 0.7348 <.0001 <.0001

RDS -0.11572 0.13457 -0.05074 1.00000 0.03415 -0.20367

0.4386 0.3671 0.7348 0.8198 0.1697

MTTP 0.63841 -0.24246 -0.74105 0.03415 1.00000 0.77873

<.0001 0.1006 <.0001 0.8198 <.0001

TA 0.45662 -0.53305 -0.58898 -0.20367 0.77873 1.00000

0.0013 0.0001 <.0001 0.1697 <.0001

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SAS 系統

REG 程序
模型: MODEL1
應變數: LRT_P

讀取的觀測值數目 47

使用的觀測值數目 47

變異數的分析

平方 均
來源 DF 和 方 F值 Pr > F

模型 5 2.012165E11 40243292671 29.32 <.0001

誤差 41 56277158242 1372613616

已校正的總計 46 2.574936E11

根 MSE 37049 R 平方 0.7814

應變平均值 300026 調整 R 平方 0.7548

變異係數 12.34853

參數估計值

參數 標準 標準化 變異數
變數 DF 估計值 誤差 t 值 Pr > |t| 估計值 膨脹

Intercept 1 -544015 92182 -5.90 <.0001 0 0

GDP_PA 1 3.01486 0.37774 7.98 <.0001 0.74529 1.63576

EAL 1 -21426 14366 -1.49 0.1435 -0.16572 2.31625

RDS 1 -2769.87379 1534.62279 -1.80 0.0784 -0.14230 1.16606

MTTP 1 0.43583 0.19859 2.19 0.0339 0.34248 4.56835

TA 1 0.17437 0.05714 3.05 0.0040 0.46061 4.27376

共線性診斷

變異的比例
條件
數目 特徵值 索引 Intercept GDP_PA EAL RDS MTTP TA

1 4.94546 1.00000 0.00013945 0.00016649 0.00283 0.00367 0.00040010 0.00097120

2 0.88243 2.36735 2.628576E-7 0.00000199 0.35871 0.00005039 0.00041279 0.00177

3 0.12563 6.27425 0.00006906 0.00000964 0.06534 0.51343 0.00212 0.06174

4 0.03648 11.64256 0.01337 0.03752 0.23362 0.42738 0.00088440 0.24707

5 0.00807 24.75037 0.05832 0.01417 0.33816 0.02303 0.91788 0.32522

6 0.00192 50.78287 0.92811 0.94813 0.00133 0.03244 0.07830 0.36323

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SAS 系統

REG 程序
模型: MODEL1
應變數: LRT_P

Durbin-Watson D 1.165

觀測值數目 47

一階自相關 0.357

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SAS 系統

REG 程序
模型: MODEL1
應變數: LRT_P

輸出統計值

標準
誤差 DFBETAS
觀 平均 標準 Hat 對 共變
測 應 預測 值 誤 Student Cook's 角 量
值 變數 值 預測 殘差 殘差 殘差 D RStudent H 比率 DFFITS Intercept GDP_PA EAL RDS MTTP TA

1 355786 276290 12929 79496 34720 2.290 0.121 2.4217 0.1218 0.5811 0.9017 0.4117 -0.2398 -0.2082 -0.3609 -0.3332 0.2641

2 301720 258876 13211 42844 34613 1.238 0.037 1.2461 0.1272 1.0572 0.4756 0.1107 -0.1715 0.0235 0.3106 -0.0968 0.1649

3 306143 283126 9851 23017 35715 0.644 0.005 0.6398 0.0707 1.1740 0.1765 0.0714 -0.0902 0.0214 0.0143 0.0048 0.0301

4 225128 263863 10798 -38735 35440 -1.093 0.018 -1.0956 0.0849 1.0613 -0.3338 -0.1516 0.2158 -0.0566 -0.1237 -0.0683 0.0249

5 239306 259185 13838 -19879 34368 -0.578 0.009 -0.5737 0.1395 1.2831 -0.2310 -0.0406 0.0407 0.0296 -0.1393 0.1167 -0.1315

6 271622 299802 9658 -28180 35768 -0.788 0.008 -0.7842 0.0680 1.1354 -0.2117 -0.0395 0.0273 0.0252 -0.0076 0.0822 -0.1137

7 265532 301853 10927 -36321 35401 -1.026 0.017 -1.0267 0.0870 1.0866 -0.3169 -0.0314 0.0033 0.0517 -0.0306 0.1652 -0.2101

8 265741 267500 13191 -1759 34621 -0.051 0.000 -0.0502 0.1268 1.3275 -0.0191 -0.0038 0.0084 -0.0034 -0.0134 -0.0036 0.0007

9 311280 358506 11093 -47226 35349 -1.336 0.029 -1.3493 0.0897 0.9753 -0.4234 0.0457 0.0563 -0.1713 0.1106 -0.1984 -0.0253

10 285787 336657 8755 -50870 36000 -1.413 0.020 -1.4310 0.0558 0.9103 -0.3480 0.0052 0.0601 -0.0958 0.0557 -0.1120 -0.0429

11 318562 331933 9520 -13371 35805 -0.373 0.002 -0.3695 0.0660 1.2165 -0.0982 -0.0160 0.0333 -0.0280 0.0405 -0.0558 0.0241

12 299059 265168 17624 33891 32589 1.040 0.053 1.0410 0.2263 1.2767 0.5630 0.0734 0.0688 -0.2400 0.0994 -0.4810 0.4113

13 239892 248442 13643 -8550 34445 -0.248 0.002 -0.2454 0.1356 1.3296 -0.0972 -0.0525 0.0193 0.0506 0.0306 0.0577 -0.0224

14 232567 236709 14774 -4142 33975 -0.122 0.000 -0.1204 0.1590 1.3760 -0.0524 -0.0316 0.0407 -0.0072 -0.0066 -0.0311 0.0368

15 194503 209654 16333 -15151 33254 -0.456 0.008 -0.4512 0.1944 1.3963 -0.2216 -0.1620 0.1713 0.0126 0.0073 -0.1076 0.1798

16 233507 243937 11518 -10430 35213 -0.296 0.002 -0.2929 0.0967 1.2674 -0.0958 -0.0580 0.0708 -0.0032 -0.0285 -0.0350 0.0471

17 279876 259852 11926 20024 35077 0.571 0.006 0.5661 0.1036 1.2333 0.1925 0.1452 -0.1319 -0.0204 -0.1068 0.0699 -0.1183

18 273614 310772 9919 -37158 35696 -1.041 0.014 -1.0420 0.0717 1.0638 -0.2896 -0.1142 0.0631 0.0736 0.2216 -0.0630 0.1212

19 279811 311838 7414 -32027 36299 -0.882 0.005 -0.8799 0.0400 1.0768 -0.1797 0.0161 -0.0044 0.0231 -0.0994 0.0276 -0.0560

20 270933 307940 8683 -37007 36017 -1.028 0.010 -1.0282 0.0549 1.0493 -0.2479 -0.0869 0.1076 -0.0073 0.0789 -0.1591 0.1667

21 319445 389398 9802 -69953 35729 -1.958 0.048 -2.0312 0.0700 0.6919 -0.5573 0.3068 -0.2255 -0.1109 0.0965 -0.1446 -0.1474

22 455455 383278 10279 72177 35594 2.028 0.057 2.1116 0.0770 0.6664 0.6098 -0.2036 0.1117 0.1412 -0.2644 0.3375 -0.0885

23 408398 341547 11864 66851 35098 1.905 0.069 1.9705 0.1025 0.7412 0.6661 -0.1250 -0.0705 0.1775 0.2184 0.4438 -0.2670

24 378157 343440 9454 34717 35822 0.969 0.011 0.9684 0.0651 1.0794 0.2556 -0.1074 0.1431 -0.0881 0.0712 -0.1541 0.1899

25 406077 354451 9037 51626 35930 1.437 0.022 1.4564 0.0595 0.9044 0.3663 -0.1242 0.1940 -0.1202 -0.0849 -0.1572 0.2056

26 426491 368407 10581 58084 35506 1.636 0.040 1.6713 0.0816 0.8422 0.4981 -0.0591 0.0132 0.0802 -0.3032 0.2995 -0.1706

27 421340 380235 14157 41105 34237 1.201 0.041 1.2073 0.1460 1.0955 0.4992 -0.0176 0.0200 0.0471 -0.4106 0.2128 -0.1175

28 228176 198905 18861 29271 31889 0.918 0.049 0.9161 0.2592 1.3820 0.5418 0.0688 -0.1042 0.4025 -0.1401 0.0863 -0.0192

29 89185 94041 20302 -4856 30991 -0.157 0.002 -0.1548 0.3003 1.6514 -0.1014 -0.0405 0.0257 -0.0258 -0.0088 0.0290 0.0052

30 130682 134315 18480 -3633 32111 -0.113 0.001 -0.1118 0.2488 1.5409 -0.0643 -0.0205 0.0151 -0.0270 0.0031 0.0033 0.0131

31 208521 196539 15640 11982 33586 0.357 0.005 0.3529 0.1782 1.3851 0.1643 0.0853 -0.0632 0.0130 -0.0614 0.0482 -0.1223

32 241344 280832 12693 -39488 34807 -1.134 0.029 -1.1386 0.1174 1.0851 -0.4152 -0.0307 -0.0380 -0.1069 0.2892 0.0018 0.0226

33 347516 345067 13200 2449 34618 0.071 0.000 0.0699 0.1269 1.3273 0.0266 -0.0186 0.0138 0.0163 0.0064 0.0026 0.0097

34 333724 349799 13580 -16075 34470 -0.466 0.006 -0.4619 0.1344 1.2976 -0.1820 0.1056 -0.0612 -0.1334 -0.0036 -0.0821 -0.0038

35 359201 338644 14084 20557 34267 0.600 0.010 0.5952 0.1445 1.2857 0.2446 -0.1527 0.0886 0.1672 0.0871 0.0737 0.0395

36 303807 300525 15081 3282 33841 0.097 0.000 0.0958 0.1657 1.3881 0.0427 -0.0204 0.0270 0.0021 0.0118 -0.0285 0.0318

37 290901 315171 15536 -24270 33634 -0.722 0.019 -0.7173 0.1758 1.3032 -0.3313 0.1867 -0.1072 -0.1865 -0.2143 -0.0286 -0.1002

38 371299 365827 9326 5472 35856 0.153 0.000 0.1508 0.0634 1.2339 0.0392 -0.0215 0.0246 -0.0124 0.0037 -0.0001 0.0011

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39 291421 347599 11237 -56178 35304 -1.591 0.043 -1.6226 0.0920 0.8712 -0.5165 0.0890 -0.2738 0.3086 0.2357 0.2077 -0.0793

40 226831 214210 20898 12621 30592 0.413 0.013 0.4083 0.3182 1.6590 0.2790 0.0574 -0.0011 -0.1559 0.1388 -0.0891 -0.0569

41 267338 282280 14655 -14942 34027 -0.439 0.006 -0.4348 0.1565 1.3364 -0.1872 -0.0267 -0.0537 0.1488 0.0214 0.1079 0.0005

42 333004 335449 13866 -2445 34356 -0.071 0.000 -0.0703 0.1401 1.3476 -0.0284 0.0047 -0.0159 0.0203 0.0060 0.0143 -0.0029

43 344752 345640 13144 -887.5239 34639 -0.026 0.000 -0.0253 0.1259 1.3265 -0.0096 0.0007 -0.0034 0.0050 0.0047 0.0000 0.0033

44 353448 331919 12977 21529 34702 0.620 0.009 0.6157 0.1227 1.2491 0.2302 -0.0196 0.0389 -0.0733 -0.0112 0.0713 -0.1337

45 348863 359274 14200 -10411 34220 -0.304 0.003 -0.3009 0.1469 1.3411 -0.1248 0.0655 -0.0577 0.0202 -0.0779 -0.0013 -0.0064

46 376258 404962 12699 -28704 34804 -0.825 0.015 -0.8215 0.1175 1.1886 -0.2997 0.1503 -0.1982 0.0818 0.1453 -0.0071 -0.0077

47 389222 367567 14093 21655 34264 0.632 0.011 0.6273 0.1447 1.2785 0.2580 -0.1607 0.1641 -0.0668 0.1629 -0.0672 0.0872

殘差和 0

平方殘差和 56277158242

預測殘差 SS (PRESS) 69784163210

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