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Proceedings of the 2022 7th International Conference on Financial Innovation and Economic Development (ICFIED 2022)
ABSTRACT
In order to find out the application conditions of Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) in
practice, based on previous studies, the paper summarized the advantages and disadvantages of the two methods and
explores the specific application conditions in corporate finance. The results showed that the NPV method can reflect
the liquidity and overall profitability of investment, provide clear expectations, and be more comprehensive in risk
measurement. However, the NPV method could not avoid the problem of cash flow uncertainty. Moreover, the
opportunity cost is limited by the project and corporate transparency. It was also found that the IRR method can easily
calculate the rate of return on investment and compare it with the industry benchmark return on investment, which has
been widely used by practitioners. However, the IRR method may produce multiple values when the cash flow is not a
fixed annuity, and the IRR is a ratio that cannot reflect the actual profit. Therefore, several modified NPV and IRR
methods were introduced and discussed with their application conditions. In practice, to be noted, there may be
inconsistencies between NPV and IRR for investment evaluation. Although both NPV and IRR are effective methods
for company investment decisions, it is suggested that, the investment situations should firstly be analyzed before
making decision of which methods to be chosen.
Keywords: Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, Advantages, Disadvantages, Company Investment
Decision
1. INTRODUCTION There are many scholars who have used NPV and
IRR methods to help companies choose the most
In the field of company investment, most projects feasible project. In the project of oil and gas exploration,
are characterized by long-term and large capital Salam et al. used NPV method to demonstrate that the
expenditure. In order to reduce projects’ investment risk cluster developments could create larger economic
and make correct decision for enterprises, it is necessary benefits [5]. Besides, Diatin et al. successfully selected
to there are some investment decision-making methods, the project with the poorest financial performance from
such as Net Present Value (NPV) [1], Internal Rate of all the three projects in the catfish farming industry
Return (IRR) [2], Payback Period (PBP) [3] and so on. through NPV and IRR methods [6]. Moreover, these
Among them, the NPV and IRR methods have been two approaches have also been frequently utilized in
widely utilized in companies' investment projects’ economic feasibility studies. For example, the
decision-making. Recent evidence shows that a number application of NPV in the photovoltaic energy storage
of corporations in the United States and the United project proved the economic feasibility of grid parity,
Kingdom use IRR more frequently for assessing capital and also helped enterprises find the boundary conditions
projects, while companies in India and South Africa are for achieving grid parity within the economically
increasing their use of NPV [4]. The phenomenon above feasible range [7]. There is considerable evidence that
shows that both ways are extensively recognized as the majority of companies choose NPV and IRR to
useful and practical methods. assess the economic feasibility of metal mine projects,
although these two ways ignore the impact of the factors of capital market alternatives [21]. A noticeable
interaction of uncertainties on the calculation results [8]. point is that to determine the net present value, future
inflows and outflows of funds should be converted to
Some scholars have also noticed the inconsistency
present value by the discount factor of each period. This
between NPV and IRR methods in the application. The
expected discount rate is determined by the lowest rate
study of Magni and Marchioni suggested that IRR is
of return on investment for the enterprise, which is the
weakly consistent with NPV [9]. Banerjee found that,
minimum acceptable boundary for an enterprise's
when facing two mutually exclusive projects that
investment. However, it is undeniable that the NPV rule
require different amounts of investment each year, the
does have some drawbacks which will be discussed later.
director of the oil refinery company would obtain
In addition, IRR method used to evaluate investment
contradictory results using NPV and IRR methods [10].
decisions will be presented in this paper. IRR is the
Chen also mentioned that non-conventional projects,
discount rate at which the total present value of inflows
such as real estate projects, mineral resources
equals the total present value of outflows and the net
development projects, and some repeatedly investing
present value equals zero. In short, IRR is the rate at
projects, would lead to decision-making mistakes when
which the project breaks even [22]. It is the rate of
applying the traditional IRR rules [11].
return that an investment aspires to achieve, and the
Considering the contradictory results by the above larger the indicator, the better. In general, if the IRR is
two methods, the modified NPV and IRR methods were greater than or equal to the base rate of return, the
proposed and applied gradually. Fuzzy Net Present project is viable. Kelleher and MacCormack provide
Value [12] was used as a fundamental by Zhang et al. to more detailed information that three-quarters of CFOs
propose a new evaluation method for a single prefer using IRR rules to evaluate capital projects [23].
investment project [13]. Likewise, taking advantage of In the following, we will analyze and present the
Decoupled Net Present Value [14] to separate the time advantages and disadvantages of using IRR and NPV in
value and risk cost, Dou et al. believed that it was more detail.
helpful to analyze the economic feasible factors of deep
mineral resource exploit projects [15]. Furthermore, 2.2. Advantages and disadvantages of NPV and
Johnston et al. considered that the additional IRR methods
information about the expected finance rate and
expected rate of return would be provided by the use of 2.2.1. Advantages of NPV
Modified Internal Rate of Return [16,17] in the
assessment of the pearl production project [18]. Many studies have described some benefits of the
Similarly, Cuthbert and Magni chose the Average NPV approach, and this paper will mainly introduce the
Internal Rate of Return [19] to measure performance in following four advantages. This includes time value of
Private Finance Initiative schemes [20]. money, cash flow forecasting logic, investment decision
making simplicity, and risk assessment.
Therefore, this paper aims to clarify the latest
application progress of NPV and IRR methods in the In Gollier and Weitzman’s study, one of the benefits
company investment decision, and the existing of NPV is that it employs discounting as a basic notion,
shortcomings and modified versions of the above two allowing impacts to be compared at multiple future
methods are also analyzed to provide references for dates by converting each future dollar into equivalent
future study. present currency [24]. According to Watson, net present
value considers one project’s all cash flows and net
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows.
revenue throughout the course of a project's life cycle,
Section 2 discusses the recent literature on the NPV and
demonstrating the investment's liquidity and overall
IRR while Section 3 presents the application of them
profitability [25]. Besides, the NPV method assists
and then provides conclusions.
investors in making obvious investment choices through
a simple formula, suggested by Gaille [25]. Although
2. LITERATURE REVIEW there is no assurance that an investment will yield the
expected return, the information given by this method
2.1. Background of NPV and IRR methods may be used with to give a pretty clear picture about
The concept of Net Present Value was first put whether this project can bring value to investors [26].
forward by Irving Fisher in ‘The Interest of Rate’. Furthermore, in the study of Prachi M, systematic risk
According to Irving Fisher, NPV is the difference and industry risk are taken into account via a
between the present value of future inflows of funds and sophisticated selection and modification of discount rate,
the present value of future outflows of funds, which is making the method more comprehensive in risk
the basic indicator of the NPV method in project measurement [27].
appraisal [1]. The study by Ross suggests that the NPV
rules could easily reject a project by considering the
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2.2.3. Modified methods of NPV of money from the risk associated with projects [32].
DNPV method enables investors to price the risk related to
The development of NPV has also been a constant the value of the product developed and/or the investment
process of refinement and revision. As a result, a required to create the asset by combining heuristic
number of more sophisticated NPV correction methods (experience-based) procedures with an advanced
have been derived. probabilistic and stochastic techniques [32]. In other words,
DNPV gets more reliable decision-making by separating
Cardwell has mentioned a method named decoupled the two separate variables which are time and risk, rather
net present value (DNPV) which separates the time value than directly equating the time value of money with risk.
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2.2.6. Modified methods of IRR Besides, we should also consider the application of
additivity. Additivity means that if two items are
In view of the existing drawbacks that IRR has independent of each other, their NPVs can be added.
above, many scholars have been dedicated to finding (Ross 2003 Corporate Finance) This feature has many
measures to modify the disadvantages of the traditional valuable meanings which can make the NPV method
IRR. In fact, two methods have been recognized by convenient in application. For example, the relevant cost
academia, which is Modified Internal Rate of Return of a project is not considered in the calculation due to
(MIRR) and Average Internal Rate of Return (AIRR). negligence and other reasons. In the calculation, the cost
can be discounted and subtracted from the original NPV
According to Kierulff, under the circumstance of without adjusting other projects [44].
unconventional cash flows, adopting the MIRR method
can not only avoid the situation of no or multiple
3.2. Application of modified NPV
solutions but also simplify the calculation process [41].
It also corrects the unreasonable assumption, replacing Zhang and Xiao studied the problem of project value
IRR with WACC as the reinvestment rate. evaluation and portfolio selection under the assumption
In addition, as Hazen and Magnithe pointed, the that the project investment capital and net cash flow are
AIRR fixes many pitfalls related to the traditional IRR. fuzzy variables [23]. They use FNPV to examine the
When analyzing the projects with different levels of risk, profitability of an annuity investment project during its
AIRR forms a scale-efficiency decomposition of NPV, calculation period. According to the financial net cash
uniquely breaking down a risky NPV into a flow of each year in the project calculation period, they
risk-sensitive project scale and extended AIRR. This get the appropriate value to select the comprehensive
shows the risky levels of investment projects, which is risk-return index of the optimal investment strategy.
an intractable problem for IRR [42]. At the same time, DNPV is also an effective
modified NPV model. Dou and Pan analyzed the
3. APPLICATION OF NPV AND IRR profitability of deep mineral resources development
projects using DNPV method [25]. The researcher
3.1. Application of NPV analyzed a manganese mining project located in
Guizhou Province, China, selected several main risks
When NPV is greater than or equal to 0, the project affecting the expected income, and analyzed the
is adopted. If NPV is less than 0, the item is discarded. feasibility of the project based on DNPV technology.
And comparing multiple mutually exclusive items, we Traditional economic evaluation methods are difficult to
usually choose the item with the largest NPV. Professor accurately identify and evaluate risks, but DNPV
Zhang of Nanhua University applies the NPV method to provides an effective tool to separate time value and risk
the economic analysis of uranium mining projects [43]. cost, which is helpful to find the real value of the
He finds that two problems need to be solved when project.
using the NPV method for investment decision-making
of uranium mining projects. One is to predict the future 3.3. Application of IRR
cash flow of the project, and the other is to estimate the
discount rate. The final NPV value is about 660,000, Based on the application of NPV, when IRR is
which is far greater than zero, so it is worth investing. greater than or equal to the discount rate of the project,
Finally, the fact that the uranium mine brings huge the project is adopted. When IRR is less than the
economic benefits proves the correctness of Zhang's discount rate of the project, the project is abandoned.
analysis. It can be seen that the NPV method is perfect When comparing multiple equal items, we usually adopt
in theory, simple and direct. It can judge whether the the item with the largest IRR. Zou of Fudan University
investment can be made only by calculating the net used the IRR method to analyze the investment of a road
present value of the project. Therefore, the NPV method and bridge construction enterprise in the case of
has been widely used to make the investment decision financial leasing and purchase of construction
of industrial projects. equipment [45]. After calculation, it turned out that
when the yield was 10%, the IRR value was 13.25%,
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indicating that the project is feasible. By observing the noticeable point is that multiple internal rates of return
internal rate of return index, the financing company can may produce a different result from the NPV calculation.
not only see the income of the project but also observe When multiple IRRs appear, they should be considered
the relationship between the project rate of return and in combination with NPV. A single IRR solution is not
capital cost after the change of capital cost. Therefore, appropriate. Additionally, when two projects are
the product attributes of financial leasing companies mutually exclusive projects, inconsistencies between
determine that it is practical to use indicators to make NPV and IRR solutions are also possible. Mutually
project income decisions. exclusive projects are alternative projects that cannot be
run simultaneously. When we make decisions, the NPV
We should also pay attention to the application of
method is used to select the project with the highest
multiple unequal investment projects. Judging the
NPV greater than 0 and the largest, and the IRR method
advantages and disadvantages of an investment project
is used to select the project with the highest IRR that is
depends on the situation. If the investment decision is
greater than the required rate of return. However, the
judged only according to the investment efficiency of
two methods may give different results when the two
the project, the internal rate of return is the most suitable
projects are mutually exclusive. In such instances, when
method for investment evaluation [46].
deciding between mutually exclusive projects, the
decision-makers should choose the one with the highest
3.4. Application of modified IRR positive net present value based on the appropriate cost
In the paper of Kierulff, the MIRR method adopts of capital. The reason for this is that a company's goal is
different discount rates to calculate IRR, taking the cost to maximize shareholder value, and the project with the
of capital into account in the cash expenditure highest NPV has the greatest impact on stock prices [48].
calculation. The average rate of return on reinvestment Managers should not only focus on the rate of return but
is considered in the calculation of income at the same more on the real return obtained. In this case, NPV is
time [41]. During the process of the decision-making always the superior method. Because compared to the
with venture capital investments, the MIRR is applied to IRR rule, the NPV rule gives more logical and reliable
analyze whether the project is feasible through the solutions.
comparison with the capital cost.
4. CONCLUSION
In practical applications, especially for projects with
long-life cycles and uncertain fluctuation in the future This paper reviews the advantages and
markets, the MIRR is more associated with the market disadvantages of NPV and IRR as well as their modified
situation. The study by Johnston and his fellows takes versions and applications based on forty-seven relevant
the approach to evaluate the profitability of cultured papers. It is found that NPV and IRR methods may yield
pearl production [18]. However, the MIRR has different decision results, and possible reasons of these
deficiencies in relative independence and objectivity findings are collated and discussed in detail in this paper.
because of the dependence on the enterprise capital cost, Additionally, the results of this paper can provide
which may cause disputes. metrics for decision-makers who actually use NPV, IRR,
or their modified versions to achieve optimal decisions
On the other hand, the AIRR method is the ratio of
in practice. The correct choice and application of NPV,
total profit to total investment, and it is also the capital
IRR, as well as modified NPV and IRR will directly
weighted average of return on investment at the same
contribute to the company's ability to maximize profit.
time. This measure can be applied in both industrial
Therefore, this paper could provide good references for
projects and financial programs. In the study conducted
those who do research on investments in financial
by Cuthbert and Magni, the measure is taken to assess
markets and company decision-making methods.
three PFI medical projects and compared with IRR to
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