You are on page 1of 146

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA

Lets Begin with Basics

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 2


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 3
Volume is the most important indicator in Price Action Analysis

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 4


Buy above 200 CMP 195

Target 208-210 SL 194 within 4-5 days ✓ Identify the stock


Target 220-224 SL 188 within 1-2 months
Target 240-248 SL 176 within 4-6 months ✓ Identify the action (Buy/Sell)
Target 400-425 SL 140 within 1.5-2 years
✓ Identify the levels of buying/selling

✓ Identify the Stop Loss (SL)


Sell below 1980
✓ Identify the target
Target 1920-1940 SL 2015 within 4-5 days
Target 1800-1830 SL 2100 within 1-2 months
Target 1600-1650 SL 2125 within 4-6 months
Target 1200-1240 SL 2200 within 1.5-2 years

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 5


Basic Understanding of Fundamentals & Technicals (1/7)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 6


Basic Understanding of Fundamentals & Technicals (2/7)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 7


Basic Understanding of Fundamentals & Technicals (3/7)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 8


Basic Understanding of Fundamentals & Technicals (4/7)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 9


Basic Understanding of Fundamentals & Technicals (5/7)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 10


Basic Understanding of Fundamentals & Technicals (6/7)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 11


Basic Understanding of Fundamentals & Technicals (7/7)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 12


TA is applicable on all Asset Class

Equity

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 13


Types of Analysis

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 14


First look of a chart

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 15


Candle Formation

Buy on strength & Sell on weakness


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
16
How a candle forms
How it Looks Detailed presentation of each candle

Buy on strength & Sell on weakness

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 17


Traditional V/s Modern Candles

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 18


Focus on candle interpretation and what it wants to convey

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 19


Assumptions of Technical Analysis

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 20


3 Assumptions of Technical Analysis
1 2 3

History repeats itself Price moves in a trend Market discounts everything

Uptrend Downtrend

Sideways

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 21


1)Market Action Discounts Everything: The statement “market action discounts everything” forms what is probably the cornerstone of technical analysis.
Unless the full significance of this first premise is fully understood and accepted, nothing else that follows makes much sense. The technician believes that
anything that can possible affect the price-fundamentally, politically, psychologically, or otherwise-is actually reflected in the price of that market. It follows,
therefore, that a study of price action is all that is required.
The technician is claiming that price action should reflect shifts in supply and demand. If demand exceeds supply, prices should rise. If supply exceeds demand,
prices should fall. This action is the basis of all economic and fundamental forecasting. The technician then turns this statement around to arrive at the
conclusion that if prices are rising, for whatever specific reasons, demand must exceed supply and the fundamentals must be bullish. If prices fall, the
fundamentals must be bearish.

2) Prices Move in Trends: The concept of trend is absolutely essential to the technical approach. The whole purpose of charting the price action of a market is to
identify trends in early stages of their development for the purpose of trading in the direction of those trends. In fact, most of the techniques used in this
approach are trend-following in nature, meaning, that their intent is to identify and follow existing trends.
There is a corollary to the premise that prices move in trends-a trend motion is more likely to continue than to reverse. This corollary is, of course, an adaption of
Newton’s first law of motion. Another way to state this corollary is that a trend in motion will continue in the same direction until it reverses. The entire trend-
following approach is predicated on riding existing trend until it shows signs of reversing.

3) History Repeats Itself: Much of the body of technical analysis and the study of market action has to do with the study of human psychology. Chart patterns, for
example, which have been identified and categorized over the past one hundred years, reflect certain pictures that appear on price charts. These pictures reveal
the bullish or bearish psychology of the market. Since these patterns have worked well in the past, it is assumed that they will continue to work well in the future.
They are based on the study of human psychology, which tends not to change. Another way of saying this last premise-that history repeats itself-is that the key to
understanding the future lies in a study of the past, or that the future is just a repetition of the past.

Source: Murphy, John. Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets; (c) 1999.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 22


The early you decide the better…

Long term Investors Medium term Investors

Holding Period: 1 Years or more Holding Period: 3 months to 1 years


Method: Techno Funda Analysis Method: Technical Analysis
Candlesticks: Monthly, Weekly & Daily Candlesticks: Weekly, Daily

What you want to be?

Quick Traders (I do not believe in


Short term Investor /Positional Traders
Intraday Trading)
Holding Period: 1 week to 3 months
Holding Period: 1 hour to 1 week
Method: Technical Analysis
Method: Technical Analysis
Candlesticks: Daily.
Candlesticks: Daily, 4hrs,1hr, 30mins

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 23


A swing low is the low of the candle in a candlestick chart that has a higher low on either side.

A swing high is the high of the candle in a candlestick chart that has a lower high on either side.

•In the case of Swing High, the high of the neighbour candles are lower than the high of the main candle itself.
•In the case of Swing Low, the low of the neighbour candles are higher than the low of the main candle itself.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 24


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 25
Swing Low and Swing High

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 26


Concept of Support and Resistance

CONSIDER SUPPORT & RESISTANCE AS A ZONE

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 27


How Support and Resistance looks on charts

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 28


Support

Support is the price level at which demand is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from declining further. The logic dictates that as the price
declines towards support and gets cheaper, buyers become more inclined to buy and sellers become less inclined to sell. By the time the price reaches the
support level, it is believed that demand will overcome supply and prevent the price from falling below support

Support does not always hold, however, and a break below support signals that the bears have won out over the bulls. A decline below support indicates a new
willingness to sell and/or a lack of incentive to buy. Support breaks and new lows signal that sellers have reduced their expectations and are willing sell at even
lower prices. In addition, buyers could not be coerced into buying until prices declined below support or below the previous low. Once support is broken, another
support level will have to be established at a lower level.

Source : stockcharts.com

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 29


Resistance

Resistance is the price level at which selling is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from rising further. Logic dictates that, as the price advances
towards resistance, sellers become more inclined to sell and buyers become less inclined to buy. By the time the price reaches the resistance level, it is
believed that supply will overcome demand and prevent the price from rising above resistance.

Resistance does not always hold; a break above resistance signals that the bulls have won out over the bears. A break above resistance shows a new willingness to
buy and/or a lack of incentive to sell. Resistance breaks and new highs indicate buyers have increased their expectations and are willing to buy at even higher
prices. In addition, sellers could not be coerced into selling until prices rose above resistance or above the previous high. Once resistance is broken, another
resistance level will have to be established at a higher level.

Source : stockcharts.com

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 30


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 31
Breakout

When Price close above Resistance with a view to change the trend, it is known as BREAKOUT

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 32


Breakdown

When Price close below Support with a view to change the trend, it is known as BREAKDOWN

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 33


Multiple test of Support before breakdown

Support is weak, That's why price is not moving up and coming down again and again.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 34


Trendline Support & Resistance

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 35


Uptrend Line
An uptrend line has a positive slope and is formed by connecting two or more swing low points. The
second low must be higher than the first for the line to have a positive slope. Note that at least three
points must be connected before the line is considered to be a valid trend line.

Uptrend lines act as support and indicate that demand is increasing even as the price rises. A rising price
combined with increasing demand is very bullish, and shows a strong determination on the part of the
buyers. As long as prices remain above the trend line, the uptrend is considered solid and intact. A break
below the uptrend line indicates that demand has weakened and a change in trend could be Possible.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 36


Downtrend Line
A downtrend line has a negative slope and is formed by connecting two or more swing high points. The
second high must be lower than the first for the line to have a negative slope. Note that at least three points
must be connected before the line is considered to be a valid trend line.

Downtrend lines act as resistance, and indicate that supply is increasing even as the price declines. A
declining price combined with increasing supply is very bearish, and shows the strong sellers. As long as
prices remain below the downtrend line, the downtrend is solid and intact. A break above the downtrend line
indicates that supply is decreasing and that a change of trend could be Possible.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 37


A trend line is a line that connects two or more swing points and then extends into the future to act as a line of
support or resistance.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 38


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 39
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 40
Support & Resistance in Uptrend and Downtrend

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 41


Support & Resistance: When to buy and Sell?

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 42


Support & Resistance: Trading with trend

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 43


Support & Resistance: Do not make steep trendlines

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 44


Uptrend :- Buy on Support or sell on breakdown
Downtrend :- Sell on resistance or buy on breakout

Find bullish/Bearish candles near the Trendline. So that we will have a small stop loss.
Paathshaala Gyan :- avoid steep trendlines

Support and Resistance are horizontal areas on chart that shows potential buying/selling pressure and it’s same for Trend Line.
The only difference is, Trend Line isn’t horizontal but sloping.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 45


How to draw a Trendline

How to draw a Trend Line ?

1) Focus only on the major swing


points
2) Connect at least 3 major swing
points
3) Adjust it so that you get the most
number of touches

The more points touching the Trendline, higher the chances of successful breakout & breakdown
Paathshaala Gyan - Go only for those breakout/breakdown where touch points before break are at least 3.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 46


Resistance

Paathshaala Gyan - Don’t buy or sell for higher target on Trendline Breakouts. Targets can be derived with Chart patterns not by Trendline.
Trendline can be used for earlier or smart entry in all chart pattern #LeDhanadhanDeDhanadan

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 47


Support & Resistance: Few Examples of Support

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 48


Interpretation of Price and Volume Action

Paathshaala Gyan: For high accuracy give importance to Volume


on support, resistance, breakout, breakdown and retest only

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 49


Chart Patterns

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 50


What is Double Bottom Pattern and Conditions
Conditions:
1.Prior trend: With any reversal pattern, there must be an existing trend to reverse. In the case
of the double bottom, a significant downtrend of several months should be in place.

2.First Bottom: It marks the lowest point of the current trend. Though it is normal in appearance
and the downtrend remains firmly in place.

3.Peak: After the first Bottom is reached, an advance ranging from 10-20% usually takes place.
An increase in the volume from the first Bottom signals an early accumulation.

4.Second Bottom: The time period between Bottoms can vary from a few weeks to many
months, with the norm being 1-3 months. While exact Bottoms are preferable, there is some
room and usually a Bottom within 1-1.5% of the previous is considered valid.

5.Advance from Bottom: Volume gains more importance in the double bottom than in the
double top. The advance of the second Bottom should be clearly evidenced by the increasing
volume and buying pressure.

6.Resistance break: Breaking resistance from the highest point between the Bottoms completes
the double bottom. This too should occur with an increase in volume.

7.Resistance turned support: Broken resistance becomes potential support and there is
sometimes a test of this newfound support level with the first correction. Such a test can offer a
second chance to close a short position or initiate a long.
Reversal Pattern means there should be a prior 8.Price target: Target is estimated by adding the distance from the resistance breakout to Bottom
downtrend lows on top of the resistance break. This would imply that the bigger the formation is, the larger
the potential advance.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 51


Double Bottom: Target

Paathshaala Gyan – Useful for positional (15-20 days) trade on daily chart and medium term (3-4months) on weekly chart

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 52


Double Bottom: Smart Entry

Paathshaala Gyan - Should take early entry (smart entry) and that will keep you ahead of other TA’s. Benefits – Small SL,
Can renter again above Double bottom breakout so that average cost price will be near to SL.
Quick Traders should never miss smart entry

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 53


Double Bottom: Example

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 54


Double Bottom: Example

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 55


Double Top

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 56


What is Double Top Pattern and Conditions
Conditions:
1.Prior trend: With any reversal pattern, there must be an existing trend to reverse. In the case
of the double top, a significant uptend of several months should be in place.
1st Top 2nd Top
SL just above 2nd Top 2.First Top: It marks the highest point of the current trend. Though it is normal in appearance
Aggressive Entry Point and the uptrend remains firmly in place.
Distance (Watch for reversal
candlestick(s) for entry) 3.Low: After the first Top is reached, an advance ranging from 10-20% usually takes place. An
increase in the volume from the first Top signals an early distribution.

SL just above neckline 4.Second Top: The time period between Top can vary from a few weeks to many months, with
Conservative Entry the norm being 1-3 months. While exact Tops are preferable, there is some room and usually a
Point Top within 1-1.5% of the previous is considered valid.
(Wait until a
Existing Uptrend candlestick breaks and 5.Advance from Top: Volume gains more importance in the double top. The advance of the
does below the second top should be clearly evidenced by the increasing volume and Selling pressure.
neckline and place a
sell stop order) 6.Support break: Breaking support from the lowest point between the top completes the double
top. This too should occur with an increase in volume.

7.Support turned Resistance: Broken support becomes potential resistance and there is
sometimes a test of this newfound resistance level with the first correction. Such a test can offer
a second chance to close a long position or initiate a short.

8.Price target: Target is estimated by adding the distance from the support breakdown to Top
highs on bottom of the support break. This would imply that the bigger the formation is, the
larger the potential advance.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 57


Double Top Pattern: Simplified

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 58


Double Top Pattern: Example

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 59


Double Top Pattern: Example

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 60


Cup & Handle

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 61


PAATHSHAALA GYAN- For higher accuracy, follow on weekly chart (so quick & Short term traders can avoid this)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
Trend: To qualify as a continuation pattern, a prior trend should exist. Ideally, the trend should
be a few months old and not too mature. The more mature the trend, the less chance that the
pattern marks a continuation or the less upside potential.

Cup: The cup should be “U” shaped and resemble a bowl or rounding bottom. A “V” shaped
bottom would be considered too sharp of a reversal to qualify. The perfect pattern would
have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but this is not always the case.

Handle: Sometimes this handle resembles a flag or pennant that slopes downward, other
times it is just a short pullback. The handle represents the final consolidation/pullback
before the big breakout and can retrace up to 1/3 of the cup's advance, but usually not
more.

Duration: The cup can extend from 1 to 6 months, sometimes longer on weekly charts. The
handle can be from 1 week to many weeks and ideally completes within 1-4 weeks.

Volume: There should be a substantial increase in volume on the breakout above the
handle's resistance.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
CHANNEL/RECTANGLE

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


Four (4) Points: At least two equivalent reaction highs are required to form the upper resistance line and two equivalent reaction lows to form
the lower support line. They do not have to be exactly equal, but should be within a reasonable proximity.

Duration: Rectangles can extend for a few weeks or many months. If the pattern is less than 3 weeks, it is usually considered a FLAG .also a
continuation pattern. Ideally, rectangles will develop over a 3-month period. Generally, the longer the pattern, the more significant the
breakout. A 3-month pattern might be expected to fulfill its breakout projection. However, a 6-month pattern might be expected to exceed its
breakout target.

Breakout Direction: The direction of the next significant move can only be determined after the breakout has occurred. As with the symmetrical
triangle, rectangles are neutral patterns that are dependent on the direction of the future breakout

Return to Breakout: A basic tenet of technical analysis is that broken support turns into potential resistance and vice versa. After a break above
resistance (below support), there is sometimes a return to test this newfound support level (resistance level

Target: The estimated move is found by measuring the height of the rectangle and applying it to the breakout.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
TRIANGLES

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


Paathshaala Gyan – In symmetrical triangle Always trade with previous trend of the stock

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
1.Trend: In order to qualify as a continuation pattern, an established trend should exist. The trend should be at least a few months old and the symmetrical triangle
marks a consolidation period before continuing after the breakout.

2.Four (4) Points: At least 2 points are required to form a trend line and 2 trend lines are required to form a symmetrical triangle. Therefore, a minimum of 4 points are required to begin considering a
formation as a symmetrical trianglep. Ideally, the pattern will form with 6 points (3 on each side) before a breakout occurs.

3.Duration: The symmetrical triangle can extend for a few weeks or many months. If the pattern is less than 3 weeks, it is usually considered a PENNANT.Typically, the
time duration is about 3 months.

4.Breakout Time Frame: The ideal breakout point occurs 1/2 to 3/4 of the way through the pattern's development or time-span.A break before the 1/2 way point might
be premature and a break too close to the apex may be insignificant

5.Breakout Direction: The future direction of the breakout can only be determined after the break has occurred.. Even though a continuation pattern is supposed to
breakout in the direction of the long-term trend, this is not always the case.

6.Breakout Confirmation: For a break to be considered valid, it should be on a closing basis

7.Return to Apex: After the breakout (up or down), the apex can turn into future support or resistance. The price sometimes returns to the apex or a support/resistance
level around the breakout before resuming in the direction of the breakout.

8.Price Target: There are two methods to estimate the extent of the move after the breakout. First, the widest distance of the symmetrical triangle can be measured and applied to the
breakout point. Second, a trend line can be drawn parallel to the pattern's trend line that slopes (up or down) in the direction of the break.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
ASCENDING CHANNEL

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
DESCENDING CHANNEL

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
Head & Shoulder
Accuracy of H&S and InvH&S is less, can avoid also

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
1. Prior trend: It is important to establish the existence of a prior uptrend for this to be a reversal pattern. Without a prior uptrend to reverse, there cannot be a head and shoulders reversal
pattern.

2. Left shoulder: While in an uptrend, the left shoulder forms a peak that marks the high point of the current trend. It is formed usually at the end of an extensive advance during which volume
is quite heavy. At the end of the left shoulder there is usually a dip or recession which typically occurs on low volume.

3. Head: From the low of the left shoulder, an advance begins that exceeds the previous high and marks the top of the head. At this point, in order conform to proper form, prices must come
down somewhere near the low of the left shoulder –somewhat lower perhaps or somewhat higher but in any case, below the top of the left shoulder.

4. Right shoulder: The right shoulder is formed when the low of the head advances again. The peak of the right shoulder is almost equal in height to that of the left shoulder but lower than the
head. While symmetry is preferred, sometimes the shoulders can be out of whack. The decline from the peak of the right shoulder should break the neckline.

5. Neckline: A neckline can be drawn across the bottoms of the left shoulder, the head and the right shoulder. A breaking of this neckline on a decline from the right shoulder is the final
confirmation and completes the head and shoulder formation.

6. Volume: Volume plays an important role in confirmation. Ideally, but not always, volume during the advance of the left shoulder should be higher than during the advance of the head. The
next warning sign comes when volume increases on the decline from the peak of the head. Final confirmation comes when volume further increases during the decline of the right shoulder.

7. Support turned resistance: Once support is broken, it is common for this same support level to turn into resistance. Sometimes, but certainly not always, the price will return to the support
break, and offer a second chance to sell.

8. Price target: After breaking neckline support, the projected price decline is found by measuring the distance from the neckline to the top of the head.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


Inverted Head & Shoulder

Book half profit on first resistance and full as per pattern target
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
Don’t take smart entry as lightly, it can keep you ahead of other Traders.
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
Priotity of Patterns for Buy Priotity of Patterns for Sell

1 Monthly Breakout of horizontal resistance of more than 8-10 Years Monthly Breakout of horizontal Support of more than 8-10 Years

Ascending Triangle or Rectangle with prior uptrend Descending Triangle or Rectangle with prior Downtrend
2

3 Ascending triangle Descending triangle or Double Top

4 Rectangle Rectangle breakdown

5 Multiple touch of horizontal resistance (minimum 5 and 6th breakout) Multiple touch of horizontal Support (minimum 5 and 6th breakDown)

6 Symmetrical Triangle/Descending channel with prior uptrend Inv Flag & Pole (only daily time frame)

7 Flag & Pole (only daily time frame) Ascending channel

8 Cup and handle ( weekly )/Descending Triangle with prior uptrend

9 Descending channel

10 Double bottom ( very important in correction or falling market) 1st signal of reversal

Key points :-

Focus on Doube breakout in all setups for smart entry always ( very very very Imp)
Focus on Pattern in a pattern for smart entry always
Focus on multiple touch of resistance for all setups

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 97


Candlestick Patterns

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 98


Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Paathshaala Gyan: A stock is considered to be overbought when the RSI is above 65 and oversold when the RSI is below 40.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 99


Price and RSI movement on a chart

Developed by J. Welles Wilder


Selling at overbought Level ( reversing from over bought levels 65).

Buying at oversold level (reversing from oversold levels 40)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 100


Conditions to be fulfilled for all Candlestick Pattern
Particulars Bullish Candles Bearish Candles

✓ Trend(Daily chart) Downtrend (7-10% fall) Uptrend (7-10% Rise)


✓ Candle Formation at Support Level/In demand zone Resistance Level/In Supply zone
or on 75% formation of any pattern or on 75% formation of any pattern
✓ Volume Higher than previous day candle Higher than previous day candle
Important Point: (1.5x in Nifty 500 and 2x in all other stocks & Equal in F&O )
✓ RSI Reversing from oversold zone to normal Reversing from overbought zone to normal
zone while buying zone while selling

Can skip RSI on weekly time frame Can skip RSI on weekly time frame

Paathshaala Gyan: For Higher accuracy in Cash stocks its preferable to Use weekly candlesticks ( means use only for Short/Medium/Long-
term Investments)

In Nifty 200 stocks & Index, can use this concept on all time frame ( daily, weekly, monthly or even smaller time frame).

RSI can be ignored if stock is on Rising trendline support for Buy & RSI can be ignored if stock is on falling trendline resistance for sell

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 101


Paathshaala Gyan: If stock is on Life time high or low, avoid decisions on the basis of Daily
candlestick, follow weekly candles or any reversal pattern in small time frame of Daily

All Index & Nifty F&O Stocks – all time frame will work. ( preferable daily & Weekly)

Nifty 500 (other than F&O stocks) – Prefer only weekly time frame.

Stocks other than Nifty 500 – You can trade on the basis of weekly candles ( but very less accuracy)
Chart Patterns have always high accuracy there

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 102


Candle Pattern 1: Bullish Engulfing

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 103


What is a Bullish Engulfing Pattern

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 104


Target and Stop Loss of Bullish Engulfing Pattern

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 105


When to buy – Buy whenever 30 mins candle closes above buying level in case of daily chart
Buy whenever daily candle closes above buying level in case of weekly chart

Stop loss – Low of Candle setup or below support line whichever is low

Target – Near by next resistance ( Swing high or Trendline resistance or horizontal resistance)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 106


Candle Pattern 2: Bearish Engulfing

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 107


Target and Stop Loss of Bearish Engulfing Pattern

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 108


Bullish and Bearish Engulfing at a glance

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 109


Candle Pattern 3: Hammer

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 110


Sample Charts of Hammer

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 111


Sample Charts of Hammer on Support

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 112


Candle Pattern 4: Shooting Star

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 113


Sample Charts of Shooting Star & Hammer

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 114


Candle Pattern 5: Doji (Indecisive Candle)

Paathshaala Gyan: We will only trade when its Morning/Evening Doji Star

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 115


Candle Pattern 6: Morning Star

Paathshaala Gyan: 3rd candle should close


above at least 50%-60% body of 1st candle

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 116


Example of Morning Star

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 117


Candle Pattern 7: Evening Star

Paathshaala Gyan: 3rd candle should close


below at least 50%-60% body of 1st candle

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 118


Example of Evening Star

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 119


Blending of candles results into Hammer/Shooting Star

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 120


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 121
40% of total capital 40% of total capital 20% of total capital

Futures Quick Traders Positional Traders Medium Term Investors Long Term Investors

Capital 12 Lacs (only if capital more than 12) 10 lacs 10 lacs 10 lacs 10 Lacs

Total No. of Maximum trades 20 40 in a month 16 - 20 in a month 60 In a year 20-25 in a year

Maximum open position 4 or 5 6 or 7 5 or 6 13-15

Risk Reward 1:1.25 or 1.5 as per resistance 1:1 1:1.5 or 2 as per resistance 1:2 as per pattern 1:3
Book half profit on 70% of risk covered SL swing low or Trendline support SL below important support zone SL below important support zone on weekly TF
SL Previous day low

Risk Per trade 2% of capital maximum 0.5% of capital 0.75% of capital 1% of capital 2% of capital

Qty Per trade 5000/SL size 7500/SL size 10000/SL size 20000/sl size
Allocation should not be more than 15% of portfolio in 1 stock Allocation should not be more than 15% of portfolio

Accuracy 60% 60% 50% 55% 50%


Only Professional Traders Part time trader (1.5 hr in a day and Market hrs) Weekend indepth analysis and followup on weekday Weekend indepth analysis and followup on weekday

Approx Profit may vary as per qty 40,000 per month 30,000 per month (16trades) 390000 in a year 400000 in a year
Yearly Return 48% 36% 39% 40%

Prefer only Sectorial Move/Peer Trading or Only when


Nifty is above 20ema and making higher higher on hourly
tf

Preferable Setups Double Breakout Double Breakout with volume Confirmation Weekly Confirm Chart Pattern with high volume Breakout Same as Medium Term but fundamentally also strong
Multiple Touch Ascending Triangle (Buy in 2 Parts (BO & Retest or in rising Trendline support zone)
AT/Consolidation Bo Rectangle Weekly Morning Star on Support ( Half qty)
Pattern in a Pattern Multiple Touch Trendline/HZ Breakout Monthly 7-8 Years Breakout
( on reversal from retest in all these) Daily Time frame AT & Rectangle with Prior Uptrend
Daily Morning Star on support Weekly Hammer on Support
Consolidation

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 123
Moving Average
The moving average can be used to identify buying and selling opportunities with its own merit. When the stock
price trades above its average price, it means the traders are willing to buy the stock at a price higher than its
average price. This means the traders are optimistic about the stock price going higher. Therefore one should
look at buying opportunities. Likewise, when the stock price trades below its average price, it means the traders
are willing to sell the stock at a price lesser than its average price. This means the traders are pessimistic about
the stock price movement. Therefore one should look at selling opportunities. We can develop a simple trading
system based on these conclusions.
Popular Moving Averages
10 Days SMA/EMA – Short term or Quick
20 Days SMA/EMA – Positional
50 Days SMA/EMA – Medium term
200 Days SMA/EMA – Long term

*Generally price bounce from these levels in trending market


*For breakout trades prefer, price should be above mentioned respective moving average
*One can follow exponential moving average as per his/her trading style.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


❖ For breakout trades prefer, price should be above mentioned respective moving average

❖ Moving averages are useful only in Trending Market, either in uptrend or downtrend.
(It will act as support and Resistance only when price respecting MA)

❖ Use Reversal candle or Trendline support to make buy entry in rising moving average or vice versa

❖ Do not Trade for short term when price is too far from 20 days MA ( 15-20%)
Do not Invest for medium term when price is too far from 50 Days MA (35-40%)
Do not Invest for Long term term when price is too far from 200 Days MA (100%)

❖ Try to place SL below Respective moving average in trending market.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


Use all these rules only in trending market, means whenever MA rising or falling

• Only for trailing SL for Investment, once you buy as per chart patterns and stock moves in your favour
then use this.

❖ For Short term (3-6 months) keep trailing SL till the time 10days ema above 20 days
(For practice – Wipro, BOB, DELTA, Havells, Jindal steel -2021)

❖ For Medium & Long term(1.5-2 years)term keep trailing SL till the time 10ema above 20ema on weekly
(for practice IEX, INFY, JK cements, MFSL, VEDL, - 2021)

❖ For Purely long term (5-7 years) Keep trailing SL till the time 10ema above 20ema on monthly
(For practice HUL, Asian, Aarti Ind, Adani ent, Bajfin, Eicher motors )

❖ Moving averages useful for Convergence – 10,20,50,100,200, buy on big long breakout after convergence

Paathshaala Gyan – Convergence is key to identify multibaggers

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


Gap Analysis
A Gap in a chart is essentially an empty space between one trading period and the previous trading period. They usually form because of
an important and material event that affects the security, such as an earnings surprise or a merger agreement.
This happens when there is a large-enough difference in the opening price of a trading period where that price and the subsequent price
moves do not fall within the range of the previous trading period.
Common Gap
As its name implies, the common gap occurs often in the price movements of a security. For this reason, it’s not as important as the other
gap movements but is still worth noting. These type of gaps often occur as a result of commonly occurring events, such as low-volume
trading days or after an announcement related to stock. These gaps often fill quickly, moving back to the pre-gap price range.

Consider such gaps as small support & Resistance zone on chart and trade accordingly with reversal candles when gap fill

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


Breakaway Gap
A breakaway gap occurs at the beginning of a market move – usually after the security has traded in a consolidation pattern, which happens when
the price is non-trending within a bounded range. It is referred to as a breakaway gap as the gap moves the security out of a non-trending pattern
into a trending pattern.
While the breakaway gap generally doesn’t fill like the common gap, it will in some cases. The gap will often provide support or resistance for the
resulting move.

Don’t Jump to buy on breakout if there is gap up opening without any positive news, wait for gap to fill and
reversal candle on 15-30 mins or Buy on closing confirmation of breakout with previous candle low as sl.
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
Exhaustion Gap
This is the gap that forms at the end of a trend and is a negative sign that the trend is about to reverse. This usually occurs at the last thrusts of a
trend (typically marked with panic or hype), but can also be the point when weaker market participants start to move in or out of the security.
The exhaustion gap usually coincides with an irrational market philosophy, such as the security being touted as “a can’t-miss opportunity” or
conversely as something to “avoid at all costs”. To identify this as an exhaustion gap or the last large move in the trend, the gap should be marked
with a large amount of volume. Because the exhaustion gap signals a trend reversal, the gap is expected to fill. After the exhaustion gap, the price
will often move sideways before eventually moving against the prior trend.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


RSI – Relative Strength Indicator
Developed by J. Welles Wilder

Selling at overbought Level ( reversing from over bought levels 65). Buying at oversold level (reversing from oversold levels 40)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), developed by J. Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.
The RSI oscillates between zero and 100. Traditionally the RSI is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


Basic Rules of RSI
1) Buy whenever RSI Coming back to normal zone from over sold zone i.e. from 40
(only and only if 3 conditions of buying on support with candles or consolidation satisfied.

2) Sell whenever RSI Coming back to normal zone from over bought zone i.e. from 65
(only and only if 3 conditions of Selling on Resistance with candles or consolidation satisfied.

3) Buy with breakout whenever RSI rising towards 70 from 65 (quick and positional Traders).
(Prefer Fresh and first time slow rise)
4) Sell with breakdown whenever RSI falling towards 30 from 40 (quick and positional Traders).
(Prefer fresh and first time slow fall )

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


Paathshaala Gyan – Trade only with rules of candles

Check only when RSI is coming in to normal zone from oversold zone and compare only with
recent swing lows of RSI (diff should be more than 7-8 points in both lows)

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


Paathshaala Gyan – Trade only with rules of candles

Check only when RSI is coming in to normal zone from overbought zone and compare
only with recent swing highs( Diff should be more than 7-8 Points)
MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA
Paathshaala Gyan:

* Use RSI reversal from overbought (85+) and oversold Zone(15+) for profit booking in

Futures trades ( 15mins tf)


Cash trades (1 day tf)
Short Term Investments ( 1 week)

* Aggressive Traders can use divergence on 30 mins or 15 mins TF for early entry when stock is on support on higher TF

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA


Trendline along with Horizontal Support/Resistance

Paathshaala Gyan - Combine Trend Line with Horizontal Support and Resistance.
BEST TRADE SETUP, DO NOT MISS THEM FOR QUICK BIG GAINS

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 137


Breakout moves

Paathshaala Gyan:- For getting 70% accuracy, trade those breakout where price consolidates near resistance, not falling
*FOR QUICK TRADERS CONSOLIDATION IS A SUCCESS MANTRA.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 138


Breakdown

Paathshaala Gyan:- For getting 70% accuracy, trade those breakdown where price consolidates near resistance, not falling
*FOR QUICK TRADERS CONSOLIDATION IS A SUCCESS MANTRA.

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 139


Trendline along with Horizontal Support/Resistance

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 140


Trendline along with Horizontal Support/Resistance

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 141


Trendline along with Horizontal Support/Resistance

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 142


MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 143
When to buy and Sell
When to buy When to Sell

Buy on horizontal or trendline Support , If any Bullish reversal candle Sell on horizontal or trendline Resistance, If any Bearish reversal
(as per rules) and you can anticipate any Chart pattern in respective candle with volume and you can anticipate any Chart pattern in
time frame. (Except Quick Traders anyone can use) respective time frame.
Quick & Positional traders: Buy when price breaks resistance of Quick & Positional traders: Sell when price breaks support of clear
clear text book chart pattern. text book chart pattern.
Medium Term : Buy when price closes above the resistance of any Medium Term : Sell when price closes below the support of any
textbook chart pattern with higher volumes (conservative) textbook chart pattern with higher volumes (conservative)
If missed or don’t want to buy on breakout because of any reason, If missed or don’t want to Sell on breakdown because of any reason,
Buy on reversal from retest or rising trendline on confirmation of Sell on reversal from Retest or falling trendline on confirmation of
bullish candle formation bearish candle formation.
PAATHSHAALA GYAN- PAATHSHAALA GYAN-
FOR HIGH ACCURACY IN BREAKOUT, TRADE THOSE SETUPS WHERE FOR HIGH ACCURACY IN BREAKDOWN, TRADE THOSE SETUP WHERE
PRICE CONSOLIDATES BEFORE BREAKOUT PRICE CONSOLIDATES BEFORE BREAKDOWN
OR OR
SWING LOW IS VERY CLOSE TO BREAKOUT OR TOUCH POINTS SWING HIGH IS VERY CLOSE TO BREAKDOWN OR TOUCH POINTS
ATLEAST 4 BEFORE BREAKOUT . ATLEAST 4 BEFORE BREAKOUT .

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 144


What is the Stop Loss
Stop Loss Stop Loss

Find nearest support (for all traders and investors) and place SL Find nearest resistance (for all traders and investors) and place SL
below that (horizontal and sloping Trendline) above that (horizontal and sloping Trendline)
Quick traders: can place previous day low also as SL Quick traders: can place previous day high also as SL

Medium Term & Positional: Swing low (its same as first point), if Medium Term & Positional: Swing high (its same as first point), if
Swing low is far then find another swing low on small time frame Swing high is far then find another swing high on small time frame

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 145


Important Paathshaala Gyan
For Buying For Selling

▪ If price is rising continuously since 3-4 days, don’t buy on ▪ If price is falling continuously since 3-4 days, don’t sell on
breakout (higher chances of profit booking on resistance)Buy breakdown (higher chances of profit booking on support) Sell after
after consolidation consolidation
▪ If Stop loss is too big, avoid that trade (so its compulsory to ▪ If Stop loss is too big, avoid that trade (so its compulsory to identify
identify SL before buying SL before buying)
▪ Avoid those breakouts where price has already moved up by 8- ▪ Avoid those breakdowns where price has already moved down by
10% in previous session 8-10% in previous session

Not applicable on Monthly Breakout of more than 7-8 years

MARKET PAATHSHAALA BY CA RAHUL RANKA 146

You might also like