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Solar PV Payback Calculation
Solar PV Payback Calculation
Input cells such as PV system cost, utility emergy price, PV module degradation rate, etc. can be entered in order to calculate o
It assumes a net metering policy similar to the State of Arkansas (as of 2020).
Sophisticated tools, such as a SAM model (https://sam.nrel.gov/), are available to conduct more accurate financial analysis.
The calculator does not include the cost of capital, meaning no interest to be paid for the initial cost of the PV system.
Certain costs, such as the Operation & Maintenance, are built in formulas based on research from the past decade, and could
The calculator does not include depreciation method, which is an income tax deduction that allows business owners to recove
ers in the state of Arkansas.
entered in order to calculate outputs including internal rate of return, net present values, etc., and display a cash flow diagram
uld be designed to generate roughly 85 to 100% of customer's annual electricity usage (kWh/year)
pically tilt around 25 degree in our location, an angle close to the latitude in this region. Array azimuth
t is facing south direction.
odule Degradation Rate, based on Jordan et al., 2016 (see Tab "References").
PV Production Data
Enter State: Arkansas For simplicity, an annual production of 1450 kWh/kW is a good
angled at 25 degrees due south in any location within the state
Year (Rule-of-thumb) 1450 kWh/kWp
For locations other than the state of Arkansas, data from PVWa
First year production value 26,100
PV System Specifications
DC Rating: 180 kW
DC to AC Derate Factor: 1.2
AC Rating: 150 kW
Array Type: Fixed
Array Tilt: 25 degrees
Array Azimuth: 180 degrees
Energy Value
Cost of Electricity 0.1 $/kWh
450 kWh/kW is a good estimate for a fixed-tilt PV solar system
ocation within the state of Arkansas.
Utility Retail Rate 0.1 $/kWh Retail rates: retail rates for commercial businnes in Arkan
0.11 per kWh. The ratail rates are calculated by dividing
Net Metering Rate? Y "Monthly electricity use, kWh/mo." on your monthly ele
Net Meter Excess Generation Rate 0.1 $/kWh Net meter excess generation rate equals the retail rate b
policy. In some states, this rate can be lower than the ret
Utility Rate Inflation Percentage 2% per year rates to solar customers).
as 2% per year.
TAX RATE AND DISCOUNT RATE INPPUTS
Federal Investment Tax Credit Rate 26% (ITC) Federal Investment Tax Credit Rate for installing PV systems
State Tax Credit Rate Federal and state income tax rates for calculating pre-tax ben
savings from the PV system
Federal Income Tax Rate 25%
Discount rate for calculating net present values (NPV) of futur
State Income Tax Rate 5.9%
-1491 -1520 -1551 -1582 -1613 -1646 -1679 -1712 -1746 -1781
-55,800
$28,868 $29,357 $29,854 $30,360 $30,874 $31,397 $31,929 $32,470 $33,020 $33,579
$27,377 $27,836 $28,303 $28,778 $29,261 $29,751 $30,250 $30,758 ### $31,798
-$49,267 -$21,430 $6,873 $35,651 $64,912 $94,663 ### ### ### ###
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
256,337 255,568 254,801 254,037 253,275 252,515 ### ### ### ###
M, and equipment costs (CellJ11, a expense of a replacement inverter at year 10) that occur over time in the Cash Flow section of
ulated in Row 15. The cashflow at the beginning of the project (Year 0) was the Net Cost of the PV system. The values remain
change to positive at year 5. This indicates that the PV system will generate enough energy savings in the first 5 years to recove
ote that this result is based on the assumption that the customer is successful in the REAP grant application (25% of the project
19) is the multiplication of the SystemSize and the AnnualYield (Cell G17) in Tab "PVWattsDataInput". The system is predicted to
V Module Degradation Rate" (Cell B12 in "SystemData").
time savings are calculated in Cell B20 and B21.
17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
nistrative fees, etc. In this tab, the inverter replacement is under the
based on Table 4-1 of the same report (DOE, 2012).
ble property. Qualifying solar energy equipment is eligible for a cost
-1817 -1853 -1890 -1928 -1967 -2006 -2046 -2087 -2129 -2171
$34,148 $34,727 $35,315 $35,913 $36,521 $37,140 $37,769 $38,409 $39,060 $39,721
$32,331 $32,873 $33,424 $33,985 $34,555 $35,134 $35,723 $36,322 $36,931 $37,550
$195,274 $228,147 $261,572 $295,556 $330,111 $365,245 $400,968 $437,290 $474,221 $511,771
17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
248,750 248,004 247,260 246,518 245,778 245,041 244,306 243,573 242,842 242,114
$200,000
$100,000
$0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
-$100,000
-$200,000
-$300,000
Years
Cumulative Cash Flow chart
Plotted of the Row of cumulative returns/cash flow (Row 15 of the "CashFlow" tab) as y-axis, and year (Row
16) as x-axis of the "CashFlow" Tab.
The value of the first year's cash flow reflects the net cost of the project. As annual on-site electricity
production offsets consumption from the utility, the cashflow becomes positive several years after the
onset of the system service. From that point on, cash flow maintain positive.
PV System Financial Results
Simple Payback 8 Years
Net Present Value (NPV) $175,020
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 12%
# of Yr to Cost Recover 11 This cell value is a look up (static) of Row 15 of Tab "CashFlow",
c) of Row 15 of Tab "CashFlow", when Cumulative return changes from negative to positive, or whenever the bar flips from negative to po
e bar flips from negative to positive on the CashFlowChart.
References used in the calculator:
Jordan, D.C. et al., Compendium of photovoltaic degradation rates. Progress in Photovoltaics: Res Appl. 24:978-989 (htt
US Department of Energy,2012. SunShot vision study: Feb. 2012. NREL Report No. BK5200-47927 (https://www.energy
oltaics: Res Appl. 24:978-989 (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/pip.2744)
eciation-solar-energy-property-macrs
200-47927 (https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2014/01/f7/47927.pdf).