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ANALYSIS OF INDIA'S CAPITAL

MARKET PROSPECTS AND THE


CURRENT STATE OF THE
GLOBAL ECONOMY.
Analysis of the Prospects of India's Capital Market and the Current
Situation of the Global Economy.

April 18th, 2024


01. Global Situation and India's Position.

02. India's Economic Potential and Capital


Market Development.

Table of 03. Current Status and Investment


Contents. Opportunities in the Indian Stock Market.

Content. 04. Market Trends and External Challenges.

05. Trends in investment inflow into India.

06. Conclusion and Prospect.


GLOBAL SITUATION
AND INDIA'S POSITION 01.
GLOBAL ECONOMIC CHALLENGES AND TRENDS

The Indian capital market is Impact of Global Economic Risks and challenges faced by
booming with vitality. Integration on India. the Indian capital market.

With rapid economic growth, the Indian Global economic integration has tightly The Indian capital market has immense
capital market has become increasingly linked India's capital market with the potential, but it needs to address multiple
active and has attracted a large number international market. While Indian risks such as policy, regulation, and
of domestic and foreign investors. businesses benefit from international economic cycles. Strengthening risk
Financial products such as stocks and resources, they also face the pressure management and enhancing market
bonds continue to innovate, providing and challenges of international transparency and competitiveness are
more channels for corporate financing. competition. crucial.
INDIA'S ECONOMIC GROWTH
AND CAPITAL BULLISHNESS
INDIA'S CAPITAL MARKET HAS HUGE POTENTIAL

The capital market is expected to make a breakthrough in the


coming years as the Indian economy continues to grow. The
rising turnover and market capitalization of shares on Indian
stock exchanges indicate increased investor confidence in
Indian companies.

IMPACT OF THE CURRENT STATE OF THE GLOBAL


ECONOMY ON THE INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET
Uncertainty in the global economy has had an impact on the
Indian capital markets, particularly trade wars and currency
exchange rate volatility. However, the Government of India had
taken a number of measures to stabilize the market, such as
reforming tax policies and strengthening regulation.
INDIA'S POSITION IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY.
THE POTENTIAL OF INDIA'S CAPITAL MARKET IS
IMMENSE.
01. In recent years, the Indian capital market has grown rapidly and become an important force in the global
emerging markets. The total market capitalization and daily trading volume of the Indian stock market
have repeatedly reached new highs, attracting a large number of domestic and foreign investors. At the
same time, the Indian bond market has also flourished, providing diverse financing channels for
enterprises.

THE CURRENT GLOBAL ECONOMIC SITUATION HAS A


PROFOUND IMPACT ON THE INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET.
02. The impact of the global economic situation on the Indian capital market cannot be ignored. For example,
a tense international trade situation could impede Indian exports, affecting the profitability of related
industries and companies. On the other hand, changes in global interest rates and monetary policies can
also affect the cost of funds and liquidity in the Indian capital market.

RISKS AND CHALLENGES FACED BY THE INDIAN


CAPITAL MARKET.
03. Despite the positive outlook for the Indian capital market, it still faces numerous risks and challenges. For
example, uncertainties in economic policies, improvement in infrastructure development, and regulatory
environment are all important factors that affect the healthy development of the market. Additionally, it is
necessary to pay attention to the spillover effects of global financial market volatility on the Indian capital
market.
INDIA'S ECONOMIC
POTENTIAL AND CAPITAL
MARKET DEVELOPMENT. 02.
INDIA'S DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND AND JOB CREATION.

THE INDIAN CAPITAL THE GLOBAL ECONOMY


MARKET HOLDS IMMENSE
POTENTIAL. FACES UNCERTAINTY.
India's economy is steadily growing, Due to factors such as trade wars and
leading to a larger middle class and a 01. 02. geopolitical tensions, the global
bigger market for businesses. The economy is slowing down and
government has introduced reforms like uncertainty is increasing. Although the
the Goods and Services Tax (GST) to help Indian capital market has potential, it
develop the capital market, making it also faces challenges from global
more appealing for investment. economic uncertainty.
FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND SUPPLY CHAIN SEPARATION

INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET POTENTIAL AND GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES

As India's economy continues to grow and become increasingly open, the capital markets are also growing rapidly. The Indian stock market has been
expanding in terms of market capitalization and trading volume, attracting a large number of domestic and foreign investors.

IMPACT OF THE CURRENT STATE OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY ON THE INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET

Global economic uncertainties have had an impact on Indian capital markets, such as trade tensions and geopolitical risks. However, India's economy is on
solid footing and is expected to withstand external shocks and maintain steady growth.

CHALLENGES TO BE ADDRESSED BY THE INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET

The Indian capital market faces regulatory, infrastructural and market transparency challenges. To ensure sustainable development, regulatory reforms need
to be strengthened, market infrastructure upgraded and disclosure and integrity systems enhanced.
PRODUCTION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS AND MANUFACTURING ATTRACTION

INDIA'S CAPITAL MARKETS ARE EXPECTED GLOBAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS HAVE LIMITED
TO CONTINUE TO GROW IMPACT ON INDIAN CAPITAL MARKETS

With the steady development of the Indian While the state of the global economy has had
economy, the rise of the middle class and the an impact on the performance of the Indian
gradual liberalization of the financial market, capital markets, the sound fundamentals of the
the outlook for the Indian capital market is Indian economy, coupled with the regulation of
optimistic. According to statistics, the total capital flows by policymakers, have made the
market capitalization and average daily trading Indian capital markets resilient to external
volume of the Indian stock market are both shocks.
growing, reflecting investors' confidence in the
market.
CURRENT STATUS AND
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN
THE INDIAN STOCK MARKET 03.
CURRENT VALUATION OF THE INDIAN STOCK MARKET.

The Indian capital market holds The global economy has experienced significant
immense potential volatility due to the impact of the pandemic

In recent years, the Indian capital market Due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic,
has developed rapidly, with a significant the global economy underwent significant
increase in the number of IPOs and market shutdowns and production halts. However,
capitalization, making it an important with the widespread distribution of vaccines,
component of the global capital market. the economy is gradually recovering.

The Indian capital market is closely India's capital market faces


interconnected with the global economy regulatory challenges

Indian capital markets have benefited from The regulatory system of India's capital
global economic recovery and, at the same
market needs further improvement, as
time, have an impact on the global
economy, making them an integral part of higher demands have been placed on
the global capital markets. market stability and investor protection.
STOCK MARKET LIQUIDITY AND INTEREST RATE CHANGES

01 02 03 04

VIGOR IMPACT CHALLENGE FUTURE


In recent years, the Indian capital The changing global economic Despite the rapid development of With the advancement of reforms and
market has shown strong growth situation has a significant impact on India's capital market, it still faces improvement of infrastructure, the
momentum. According to statistics, the Indian capital market. For instance, some challenges such as insufficient Indian capital market is expected to
the total market value of the Indian adjustments in the monetary policy of infrastructure and imperfect realize more rapid development in the
stock market has entered the top ten the Federal Reserve can trigger capital regulatory framework. These factors coming years. Investors should pay
globally, attracting a large number of flows, thereby affecting the may constrain further market close attention to market dynamics
domestic and foreign investors. performance of the Indian stock development. and seize investment opportunities.
market and bond market.
INDUSTRY GROWTH AND MARKET RESILIENCE

--------->
INDIA'S VIBRANT CAPITAL MARKETS

The Indian capital market has grown rapidly in recent years and has become a new hot
spot for global investors. According to the Reserve Bank of India, the market
capitalization of the Indian stock market has grown by more than 50 per cent in the
past five years, showing strong growth momentum.

THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC LANDSCAPE IS CHANGING

With the rise of emerging markets, the center of gravity of the global economy is
gradually shifting from the West to the East. As the second most populous country in
the world, India has enormous market potential and the development of its capital
market has a significant impact on the global economic landscape.

TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS DRIVE INNOVATION IN INDIA'S CAPITAL


MARKETS

With the advancement of technology, the Indian capital market is undergoing a digital
transformation, for example, through blockchain technology to improve the security
of transactions and artificial intelligence to help investors make more informed
decisions, bringing more opportunities and challenges to the capital market.

GLOBAL ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY AFFECTS INDIAN CAPITAL MARKETS

Uncertainties in the global economy have an impact on the Indian capital market, such
as trade wars, geopolitical risks, etc. could have an impact on the stability of the Indian
capital market and investor confidence.
MARKET TRENDS AND
EXTERNAL CHALLENGES. 04.
GLOBAL DEMAND SLOWDOWN AND ITS IMPACT.

01. Translation: Development Potential


and Opportunities in the Indian 02. Impact of the global economic
situation on the Indian capital market.
Capital Market.
India's capital market is rapidly developing The global economic situation has a significant
and is expected to witness higher growth in impact on the Indian capital market. For instance,
the coming years. With the stability of the factors such as the US monetary policy, trade
economy and the progress of reform policies, wars, and fluctuations in emerging markets can
India's capital market is poised to attract all potentially affect the performance of the
more international investors. Indian capital market.

03. Challenges and Risks in the


Indian Capital Market.
04. Impact of the current state and trends
of the global economy on the Indian
capital market.
Despite its potential for development,
the Indian capital market still faces many Global economic trends, such as trade wars,
challenges and risks, such as policy risks, technological revolutions, and climate change,
will have profound implications for the Indian
inadequate infrastructure, and market capital market. India needs to closely monitor
regulation issues. These factors may global trends in order to formulate appropriate
limit the growth of the market. strategies to adapt to these changes.
NON-DECOUPLING OF TECHNOLOGY
EXPENDITURES FROM ECONOMIC EVENTS

INDIA'S CAPITAL MARKET HAS HUGE POTENTIAL


As the second most populous country in the world, India has a large middle class and a
growing consumer market, which provides a broad space for the development of the
capital market. According to statistics, the total market capitalization and average daily
turnover of the Indian stock market have continued to grow in recent years, becoming
one of the most dynamic emerging markets in the world.

THE CURRENT STATE OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY HAS HAD A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON
INDIA'S CAPITAL MARKETS
Changes in the global economic situation have a direct impact on the Indian capital markets. For example,
volatility in international financial markets, monetary policies of major economies, international trade situation,
etc. can have varying degrees of impact on the investment climate, liquidity and market trends in the Indian
capital markets.

INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET REFORMS AND INNOVATIONS CONTINUE


The Government of India has been actively promoting capital market reforms in recent years, including measures such as strengthening
regulation, lowering restrictions on foreign ownership and introducing tax incentives, in order to attract domestic and foreign investment and
promote market innovation. These reforms have helped to enhance the competitiveness and internationalization of the Indian capital market.
POTENTIAL RESILIENCE OF THE
INDIAN MARKET
INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET HAS HUGE GROWTH POTENTIAL
India is the second most populous country in the world, with a growing middle class and
sustained growth in consumer demand, providing the capital market with a wide scope for
development. In recent years, India's capital market has performed brilliantly, with active IPOs,
private equity and venture capital investments, which have become the focus of global investors.

THE CURRENT STATE OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY HAS FAR-REACHING


IMPLICATIONS FOR INDIA'S CAPITAL MARKETS
Changes in the global economic situation have a direct impact on the Indian capital markets. For
example, a slowdown in global economic growth may reduce international investor confidence,
affecting India's exports and foreign capital inflows. However, as India gradually diversifies its
economy and strengthens its domestic consumption, its dependence on global economic
conditions will diminish.

THE OUTLOOK FOR INDIA'S CAPITAL MARKETS IS CLOSELY LINKED TO THE GLOBAL
ECONOMY
The development of the Indian capital market is closely linked to the global economy.
International economic policies, trade relations, exchange rate fluctuations, etc. may affect the
performance of Indian capital markets. Therefore, India needs to strengthen its cooperation and
interaction with international markets, while remaining vigilant to address the risks and
challenges that may arise.
TRENDS IN INVESTMENT
INFLOW INTO INDIA 05.
DOMESTIC INSTITUTIONAL AND RETAIL INVESTOR IMPACT

INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET HAS HUGE POTENTIAL


As the Indian economy continues to grow, so does the capital market. The Indian stock market ranks among the highest in the world in terms of market capitalization and trading
volume, attracting a large number of domestic and foreign investors.

THE CURRENT STATE OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY HAS HAD A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON INDIA'S CAPITAL MARKETS
Fluctuations in the global economy have a direct impact on the Indian capital markets. For example, when the United States implements a tight monetary policy, capital tends to
flow to emerging markets, driving a boom in the Indian capital market.

TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT AND INNOVATION ARE KEY DRIVERS OF INDIA'S CAPITAL MARKETS
India's growing capacity for innovation and R&D in emerging technology areas has attracted the attention of global technology companies and investors, boosting India's
capital markets.

CHALLENGES AND ISSUES TO BE ADDRESSED IN THE INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET


Despite the bright future of the Indian capital market, it still faces a number of challenges, such as inadequate regulatory regimes, lack of market transparency and poor infrastructure,
which need to be addressed by the government and regulators.
STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE AND FOREIGN INVESTMENT
PERSPECTIVES.

Global Economic Impact

Future Development Potential Despite facing numerous


challenges in the global
economy, such as trade tensions
With the continuous growth of the
Indian economy, the capital and geopolitical risks, the Indian
market has been expanding and capital market is to some extent
has become an important supported by domestic
destination for global investors. In economic policies and market
recent years, both the market environment, demonstrating a
capitalization and trading volume strong ability to withstand
of the Indian stock market have external risks.
significantly increased, reflecting
the development vitality and
potential of the capital market.
RESTORATION OF MARKET AND INVESTOR CONFIDENCE

POSITIVE OUTLOOK FOR INDIAN CAPITAL MARKETS


Benefiting from economic reforms and open-door policies, the Indian capital market has attracted significant foreign investment, continues to
expand, and is expected to maintain its growth over the next five years.

DIVERSIFICATION OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY


While the United States and Europe remain the dominant forces in the global economy, emerging market countries such as India are gradually
increasing their influence, driving a shift in the global economic landscape towards diversification.
CONCLUSION AND
PROSPECT. 06.
INDIA'S ECONOMIC RESILIENCE AND DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL

FOCUS OPPORTUNITY WORLD CAPITAL

The Indian capital market As a result of the epidemic, The Indian capital market is As India's economy grows
has experienced rapid the global economy has key to the world economy, and financial reforms
growth in recent years, with suffered a severe shock and influencing global trends. continue, its capital market
a sustained increase in stock growth has slowed. At the India's strong economic ties
is set to see more growth
turnover and the number of same time, the rise of trade
with other nations make its
listed companies, making it protectionism has opportunities, especially in
market movements globally
the center of attention for exacerbated uncertainty in new sectors like digital
significant.
global investors. the global economy. currencies.
MARKET PERFORMANCE AND SHORT- OR LONG-TERM ATTRACTIVENESS

01 02 03 04

Broad Market Technology Policy


Prospects downturn Advancement Environment

With sustained The slowdown in the The widespread use of Government policies
economic growth, the global economy has technology in the play a key role in the
Indian capital market has led to pressure on the financial sector has Indian capital market,
shown great potential Indian capital markets enhanced the efficiency and the stability of
and has become the
as well and investor and transparency of the policies and the intensity
center of attention for
confidence has been Indian capital market, of reforms have a direct
global investors.
affected. providing impetus to impact on the direction
market growth. of the market.
PREMIER GOLD STOCKS

SYSTMTXC (SYSTEMATIX CORPORATE SERVICES)

Acquisition Date: April 23th, 2024


Entry Price: INR 750.50

JFL (JHANDEWALAS FOODS LIMITED)

Acquisition Date: April 16th, 2024


Entry Price: INR 126.78

HPL (HPL ELECTRIC & POWER LIMITED)

Acquisition Date: April 16th, 2024


Entry Price: INR 312.70
SYSTMTXC (SYSTEMATIX CORPORATE SERVICES)
Purchase Date: April 15th, 2024 Purchase Price: INR 750.50
Founded by Mr. Chandra Prakash Khandelwal in 1985, the Systematix
Group has been steadfast in its ultimate mission to become one of
India's premier financial institutions, grounded in strong ethics and
trust. Since its inception in 1985, we have been dedicated to realizing
the vision of our Chairman, which has driven us to be among the
frontrunners in a variety of financial products including stocks,
derivatives, Portfolio Management Services (PMS), commodities,
currency derivatives, IPOs, mutual funds, and debt products (primary
markets).

Systematix serves a diverse clientele comprising foreign institutional


investors, domestic financial institutions, insurance companies, bank
treasuries, corporates, corporate treasuries, promoters, ultra-high-
net-worth individuals, high-net-worth individuals, and retail investors.
We proudly cater to over 40,000 registered clients, delivering services
that span investment banking, commercial banking, brokerage,
wealth management, portfolio management services, NRI services,
electronic broking, and depository services.

With a widespread presence across India, the Systematix Group


operates through 453 touchpoints in 115 cities. Our key locations
include Mumbai, Delhi, Lucknow, Jaipur, Indore, and Ujjain, anchoring
our pervasive reach in the Indian financial landscape.
PREMIER GOLD STOCKS

SYSTMTXC
Technical Analysis: The stock has consistently
maintained a position above its 20-day and 50-day
moving averages, a classic characteristic of a bullish
market, indicating a long-term upward trend. Elliot
Wave Theory suggests a key resistance at 803.5. A
breakout above this resistance level on the daily chart
has initiated a new uptrend. Therefore, it is advisable to
adopt a position that aligns with this momentum.
JFL (JHANDEWALAS FOODS LIMITED)
Acquisition Date: April 16th, 2024 Acquisition Price: INR 126.78
JFL (Jubilant FoodWorks Limited) possesses the exclusive
master franchise rights for developing and operating the
Domino's Pizza brand in India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, and
Nepal. Additionally, it holds the franchise rights for the U.S.-
based multinational chain of fried chicken fast food
restaurants, “Popeyes,” within the Indian market. The
company has inaugurated 4 new stores, bringing the total
number of outlets in Bangalore to 12.

The company reported a decrease of 39.66% in consolidated


net profit for the quarter ending December 31st, 2022, which
stood at INR 803.6 million. This is in contrast to the
consolidated net profit of INR 1331.9 million for the
corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal year.

This quarter witnessed a 10% growth in operational revenue,


amounting to INR 1331.81 million, up from INR 1210.77
million in the same period last year. JFL's total expenditure
for the third quarter of FY23 was INR 1229.79 million,
marking an 18.22% increase.
PREMIER GOLD STOCKS

JFL
From a technical perspective, the stock exhibits a long-
term bullish trend and has garnered favor in the market,
frequently hitting the upper circuit—a hallmark of a
strong stock. The market presented a brief opportunity
on the 16th, which constituted an excellent entry point
for investors. Our anticipated target for the stock's
ascent is in the vicinity of INR 126.78.
HPL (HPL ELECTRIC & POWER LIMITED)
Acquisition Date: April 16th, 2024 Acquisition Price: INR 312.70

HPL Electric & Power Limited stands as a leading manufacturer of electrical equipment in India with a formidable presence across
five key verticals: metering solutions, switchgear, LED lighting, wires and cables, and solar solutions, along with modular switches.
Our vertically integrated facilities span product design and development, component designing, tool manufacturing, and
commercial production. HPL is a storied brand within India's electrical industry, boasting a commendable track record spanning
over four decades. Our products are certified by Indian and international standards such as ISI, CE, and KEMA, and we take pride in
catering to India's growing electrical demands. In the FY 2015, we commanded the largest market share in India's electronic energy
meters sector, offering the most extensive portfolio of metering products.
PREMIER GOLD STOCKS

HPL
Technically, the stock displays a long-term uptrend,
which we have been monitoring closely. After a period
of retracement, the opportunity for buying on dips has
been seized. On the 16th, the stock successfully broke
above the 20-day moving average, establishing a
bullish signal. Entering the market with the trend and
holding for the medium term seems prudent. Our
short-term target is INR 312.70, followed by a further
goal at INR 463.85.
THANKS FOR
WATCHING.
I extend my gratitude to all the new members for their trust and for
joining us. It's been a rewarding month where we've shared three
prime 'golden' stocks: SYSTMTXC, JFL, and HPL—presenting them as
the best gifts to all members.

Each stock carries its unique advantages and potential, but investment
decisions should always be informed by thorough research and
analysis. I will continue to intermittently share quality stock picks and
the latest market insights in the group. Furthermore, I welcome your
queries and discussions about stocks at any time. It is hoped that our
shared knowledge assists everyone in achieving success on their
investment journey.

Vikas Mehta
April 18th, 2024

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