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WEEKLY TRADING HIGHLIGHTS & OUTLOOK

3rd Dec, 11

S&P CNX NIFTY

OPEN

4769.30

HIGH

5062.55

LOW

4754.80

CLOSE

5050.15

Change(pts)

340.10

Change (%)

7.22%

MARKET OUTLOOK

The NIFTY open on an extremely bullish note and maintained its strength throughout the week. The nifty registered a high of 5062 and closed at 5050, a gain of 340 (7.22 %) points. The index has recovered 410 points from the recent lows of 4639 levels after witnessing a strong decline of over 760 points in last month. However, the index would need to cross the key resistance line of 5068 (being the 61.8 % retracement from 04 Nov highs of 5326 to 23 Nov lows of 4640) and only a sustained move above these levels would lead to an index rally to the levels of 5168 / 5200/5220 (declining trend line). In case the nifty fails to get past this resistance of 5068 level, it could be confined in the range of 5068 4640 levels for the upcoming sessions. The immediate support for the nifty are placed at 5000 /4920 followed by the 4800 levels.

WEEKLY TRADING HIGHLIGHTS & OUTLOOK

3rd Dec, 11

BSE - SENSEX
OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE Change(pts) Change (%) 15890.80 16888.84 15888.28 16846.83 1151.40 7.34

MARKET OUTLOOK

The SENSEX open on an extremely bullish note and maintained its strength throughout the week. The SENSEX registered a high of 16888 and closed at 16846, al gain of 1151 (7.34 %) points. The index has recovered 1400 points from the recent lows of 15478 levels after witnessing a strong decline of over 2400 points in last month. However, the index would need to cross the key resistance line of 16853 (being the 61.8 % retracement from 04 Nov highs of 17702 to 23 Nov lows of 15478) and only a sustained move above these levels would lead to an index rally to the levels of 17186 / 17350/17400 (declining trend line). In case the SENSEX fails to get past this resistance of 16853 levels, it could be confined in the range of 16853 15478 levels for the upcoming sessions. The immediate support for the SENSEX is placed at 16700 /16430 followed by the 16000 levels.

Key Levels & Averages


INDEX SENSEX NIFTY BANK-NIFTY Close Support-1 Support-2 Resistance-1 Resistance-2 8 DMA 34 DMA 200 DMA

16846 5050 9172

16430 5000 9000

16000 4920 8810

16000 5068 9360

17350 5168 9700

16330 4897 8816

16635 4995 9132

17561 5274 10415

WEEKLY TRADING HIGHLIGHTS & OUTLOOK


TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS

3rd Dec, 11

CLOSE (CMP)

87.15

SUPPORT-1

84.75

SUPPORT-2

83.60

RESISTANCE-1

90.00

RESISTANCE-2

94.00

Steel Authority of India Limited CMP ` 87.15 Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:The most important observation to be made on the charts of Steel Authority of India Limited is the positive divergence displayed by indicators. They signal that the declining movement of the price could have lost force and in all likelihood give some kind of a bounce back. In the short term we expect the share price to head towards the target of ` 90/ ` 94 levels. Also in the weekly chart it has formed a two bar reversal pattern with an increase in trading volume. We recommend buy at current levels and again on pullback to the levels of ` 85- ` 85.75 with a stop loss placed below ` 83.30.
CLOSE (`CMP) SUPPORT-1 83.90 80.00

SUPPORT-2 RESISTANCE-1

77.00 86.50

RESISTANCE-2 52 week-High

88.50 129.50

52 week-Low

50.00

Hexaware Technologies Limited CMP ` 83.90 Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:The share price movement of Hexaware Technologies Limited appears to be forming a complex Head & Shoulder pattern. A Head & Shoulder is a bearish pattern as it is associated with strong price decline once the share price records a breakout from its neckline. In the case of Hexaware the neckline is placed at the levels of ` 81.20. The measuring implications of the pattern suggest that following a breakout the share price could head towards the following price levels: ` 75 / ` 72 We recommend traders to sell at current price and again on pullback to the levels of ` 85-` 86 with a stop placed above ` 88.60 for targets of ` 78 / 75.

WEEKLY TRADING HIGHLIGHTS & OUTLOOK

3rd Dec, 11
CLOSE (`CMP) SUPPORT-1 50.15 48.40

SUPPORT-2

47.00

RESISTANCE-1

53.50

RESISTANCE-2 52 week-High

57.00 117.40

52 week-Low

44.35

Punj Lloyd Limited CMP - ` 50.15 Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:The share price of Punj Lloyd Limited has been falling for past few months. The important point to be noted in this fall is that the momentum indicator is rising. This indicates that the stock is witnessing positive divergence. On the daily chart the stock has closed above its near term moving average. The stock has also formed a bullish reversal candlestick pattern on the weekly chart indicating more upside for the stock. We recommend a buy at current level and again on pullback towards the levels of ` 48.8 -- ` 49.2 and stop loss placed below ` 47.40 for targets of 52 / 54/ 57.50.

CLOSE (`CMP) SUPPORT-1

83.00 81.00

SUPPORT-2

79.00

RESISTANCE1

87.00

RESISTANCE2

90.00

52 week-High

205.40

52 week-Low

62.85

Escorts Limited CMP` 83.00 Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:The share price of Escorts Limited has fallen from the highs of `120 to the levels of `62.85 levels and retraced back 50% of the fall. Currently the stock is trading in 23.60% and 50% retracement range. Another point to be noted is that the stock has registered a break-out form its cluster of moving averages. This breakout has occurred with a significant jump in trading volumes, validating the said breakout. The MACD indicator is giving fresh buying signal and indicates strength in the current up-move. We recommend a buy at current levels with a stop loss placed below the level of ` 79.80 for the targets of `87/ `90.

WEEKLY TRADING HIGHLIGHTS & OUTLOOK

3rd Dec, 11
CLOSE (`CMP) SUPPORT-1 424.55 412.00

SUPPORT-2 RESISTANCE-1

402.00 465.00

RESISTANCE-2 52 week-High

480.00 451.25

52 week-Low

290.00

Havells India Limited CMP` 424.55 Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:The Share price of Havells India Limited has been trading sideways since past few months. This consolidation is forming an ascending triangle pattern. The stock is also trading above its cluster of moving average. A weekly close above the range `432--`435 will confirm the fresh up move for the stock. The momentum indicators are also in bullish trajectory. Traders should look to initiate long positions above the `432 for price targets to levels of ` 462 / ` 480. We recommend all long positions be protected with a stop placed below ` 389.40.

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