Market Profile
Market Profile
Market Profile
Now you will wonder, what this market profile now? and how it differs from volume
profile?
In a nutshell, both profiles will look like same and fundamentals will remains same,
but there is a difference how both profiles get plotted.
Volume Profile.
Market Profile 1
It is true representation of volume distribution.
Volume Focused: It displays the total volume traded at each price level,
highlighting where most of the trading activity occurred.
High Volume Nodes (HVNs): Areas with high trading volume, indicating strong
support or resistance levels.
Low Volume Nodes (LVNs): Areas with low trading volume, indicating
potential breakout or breakdown zones.
Market Profile.
It is true repression of market distribution. This is also called as TPO - Time Price
Opportunity.
Time and Price Focused: It plots price against time, organizing price levels
into time brackets (typically 30-minute intervals) to create a distribution of
prices over a trading session.
TPO (Time Price Opportunity): Each time bracket where the market traded at
a certain price is marked, often with letters or blocks, forming the profile.
Bell Curve Shape: The resulting profile often resembles a bell curve, showing
the distribution of prices over time.
Initial Balance: The price range established in the first hour of trading,
providing an early indication of the day's potential range and volatility.
Market Profile 2
Comparison
Focus
Volume Profile: Emphasizes volume traded at each price level.
Visualization
Volume Profile: Displayed as a horizontal histogram alongside the price axis.
Key Concepts
Volume Profile: High Volume Nodes (HVNs), Low Volume Nodes (LVNs), and
volume-based support/resistance levels.
Market Profile: Value Area, Point of Control (POC), Initial Balance, and TPO
count.
Purpose
Volume Profile: Identifying key support and resistance levels, understanding
volume distribution, and price acceptance.
Market Profile 3
Both Volume Profile and Market Profile are valuable tools for traders, each offering
unique insights into market behavior. Volume Profile focuses on where trading
activity is concentrated at different price levels, helping to identify support and
resistance. Market Profile, on the other hand, provides a time-based view of
market activity, highlighting the market structure and value areas over a trading
session. Depending on their trading strategies and what they aim to analyze,
traders might choose to use one or both tools in conjunction to gain a
comprehensive understanding of market dynamics.
Profile Shapes
P Profile
The P-shaped profile resembles the letter "P" when plotted on a chart. This shape
indicates a market that has experienced a strong buying interest, often after a
significant news event or breakout from a consolidation phase. Here’s what the P-
shaped profile typically signifies:
1. Initiative Buying: The market opens and sees a burst of buying activity, often
pushing prices higher quickly. This initial phase results in a spike in volume at
higher price levels as buyers are aggressive and drive the prices up.
2. Balance at Higher Levels: After the initial surge, the market starts to balance
out and the trading volume accumulates at these higher price levels. The wide
part of the "P" shows the area where most of the trading volume has taken
place, indicating that buyers and sellers have found a temporary equilibrium.
Support Levels: The base of the "P," where the volume was initially low but
increased significantly, can act as a strong support level. If the price returns to
Market Profile 4
this level, it's likely to see buying interest again.
Fade the Edges: Traders sometimes look to trade against the extreme ends of
the profile. In a P-shaped profile, the bottom edge (the tail) represents a
potential support area.
Trading Strategies
Breakout Confirmation: Traders may look for confirmation of a breakout when
a P-shaped profile forms. If prices remain stable at higher levels and volume
continues to accumulate, it suggests a sustainable upward movement.
Pullback Entries: Some traders wait for a pullback to the high-volume node
(the thick part of the "P") to enter long positions, betting that this area will act
as support.
Volume Clusters: Identifying volume clusters within the P-shaped profile can
help pinpoint exact entry and exit points. High volume nodes within the profile
are critical areas to watch.
Example Scenario
Imagine a stock that has been trading in a range. Suddenly, positive earnings are
reported, causing the stock to gap up at the opening bell. The initial surge pushes
the price significantly higher, and heavy trading volume is seen at these new,
higher levels. As the day progresses, the price stabilizes and most of the trading
activity is concentrated at the higher prices, forming a P-shaped volume profile.
This pattern suggests that the market has reacted positively to the earnings news,
and the higher price level is accepted by traders.
Market Profile 5
b Profile
The lowercase "b"-shaped profile resembles the letter "b" when plotted on a
chart. This shape indicates a market that has experienced strong selling interest,
typically after an initial drop in prices, followed by stabilization and balance at
lower levels. Here’s what the lowercase "b"-shaped profile typically signifies:
1. Initiative Selling: The market opens and experiences a significant drop due to
strong selling activity. This phase results in high trading volume at lower price
levels as sellers are aggressive and drive the prices down.
2. Balance at Lower Levels: After the initial sell-off, the market stabilizes and
trading volume accumulates at these lower price levels. The wide part of the
Market Profile 6
"b" indicates where most of the trading volume has taken place, showing that
buyers and sellers have found a temporary equilibrium at these lower prices.
Resistance Levels: The top of the "b," where the volume was initially high
before dropping off, can act as a strong resistance level. If the price returns to
this level, it is likely to see renewed selling interest.
Fade the Edges: Traders sometimes look to trade against the extreme ends of
the profile. In a lowercase "b"-shaped profile, the upper edge (the tail)
represents a potential resistance area.
Trading Strategies
Breakdown Confirmation: Traders may look for confirmation of a breakdown
when a lowercase "b"-shaped profile forms. If prices remain stable at lower
levels and volume continues to accumulate, it suggests a sustainable
downward movement.
Pullback Entries: Some traders wait for a pullback to the high-volume node
(the thick part of the "b") to enter short positions, betting that this area will act
as resistance.
Example Scenario
Imagine a stock that has been trading in a range. Suddenly, negative news is
reported, causing the stock to gap down at the opening bell. The initial selling
pressure pushes the price significantly lower, and heavy trading volume is seen at
Market Profile 7
these new, lower levels. As the day progresses, the price stabilizes and most of
the trading activity is concentrated at the lower prices, forming a lowercase "b"-
shaped volume profile. This pattern suggests that the market has reacted
negatively to the news, and the lower price level is accepted by traders.
Summary
Shape: Resembles a lowercase "b"
D Profile
1. Equilibrium: The market has found a balance between buyers and sellers,
resulting in a bell-shaped distribution of volume. The price fluctuates within a
defined range where most trading activity occurs.
Market Profile 8
2. High-Volume Node (HVN): The widest part of the "D" represents the high-
volume node, or the price level where the most trading activity has taken
place. This level is often seen as fair value by both buyers and sellers.
3. Tails: The narrow ends of the "D" represent the tails, which are areas of lower
trading volume at the extremes of the price range. These tails indicate price
levels that were tested but rejected by the market.
Support and Resistance: The high-volume node acts as a magnet for price,
serving as a strong support or resistance level. The tails represent potential
reversal points, as they indicate price levels that were not accepted by the
market.
Range Trading: This profile suggests that the market is range-bound, and
trading strategies should focus on this range.
Trading Strategies
Range Trading: Traders can buy at the lower end of the range (support) and
sell at the upper end of the range (resistance), capitalizing on the market's
tendency to revert to the mean (the high-volume node).
Fade the Extremes: Traders may look to fade the price when it moves to the
tails of the profile, expecting it to revert back to the high-volume node.
Example Scenario
Imagine a stock that has been trading within a defined price range for several
days. The volume profile for this period shows most of the trading activity
concentrated around a central price level, with volume tapering off towards the
Market Profile 9
higher and lower extremes of the range. This pattern forms a "D"-shaped profile,
indicating that the market views the central price level as fair value, with buyers
and sellers agreeing on this range.
Summary
Shape: Resembles the letter "D"
Characteristics
Balanced Profile: Reflects market equilibrium where trading is concentrated
around a central price level.
B Profile
The uppercase "B"-shaped profile in volume profile analysis, often referred to as a
double distribution profile, is a distinctive pattern indicating a market with two
distinct areas of high volume at different price levels. Here’s a detailed
explanation:
Market Profile 10
The uppercase "B"-shaped profile resembles the letter "B" when plotted on a
chart. This shape indicates a market that has experienced significant trading
activity at two separate price levels, suggesting periods of consolidation or
acceptance at these levels. Here’s what the uppercase "B"-shaped profile
typically signifies:
1. Two Areas of High Volume: The profile features two distinct high-volume
nodes (the wider parts of the "B"), separated by an area of lower volume.
These two high-volume areas represent price levels where the market has
found equilibrium twice, often because of changes in market sentiment or
reaction to news events.
2. Volume Valleys: The area of lower volume between the two high-volume
nodes is called the volume valley. This indicates a price range that was
transited quickly, with little trading activity, suggesting it may act as a support
or resistance zone in the future.
Support and Resistance: The high-volume nodes act as powerful support and
resistance levels. The lower volume area between them can also act as a pivot
zone where price may move quickly if revisited.
Market Acceptance: The double distribution pattern shows areas where the
market has accepted price levels. These are key zones for traders to watch, as
they can provide clues about future price movements.
Trading Strategies
Trading the Edges: Traders often look to trade at the edges of the high-
volume nodes, entering positions when price approaches these areas,
expecting them to act as support or resistance.
Breakout or Breakdown: If the price moves out of one high-volume node and
enters the lower volume area, traders may look for potential breakouts or
Market Profile 11
breakdowns. Quick price movement can be expected in the volume valley.
Reversion to Mean: In some cases, traders may look for reversion to the mean
trades, expecting the price to return to one of the high-volume nodes if it
strays too far.
Example Scenario
Imagine a stock that has been trading at a lower price range for a while, creating a
high-volume node at these levels because of prolonged consolidation. Suddenly,
positive news is released, causing the stock to surge to a higher price range. After
the initial spike, the stock consolidates again at this new higher level, creating a
second high-volume node. The resulting volume profile resembles an uppercase
"B," with two distinct areas of high trading activity separated by a lower volume
range.
Summary
Shape: Resembles an uppercase "B"
Summary.
Market Profile 12
In volume profile analysis, there are several distinct profile shapes that traders use
to understand market sentiment and behavior. Each profile shape indicates
different market conditions and potential future price movements. Here are the
main types of volume profiles:
1. P-Shaped Profile
Description: Resembles the letter "P"
Key Characteristics:
2. b-Shaped Profile
Description: Resembles the lowercase letter "b"
Key Characteristics:
Key Characteristics:
Market Profile 13
Two high-volume nodes separated by a low-volume area
Key Characteristics:
5. Spike Profile
Description: Sharp, narrow volume spike at a specific price level
Key Characteristics:
Market Profile 14
B-Shaped: Double distribution with two high-volume areas, indicating two
accepted price levels.
Spike: Sharp volume increase at a specific price level, indicating potential for
quick reversal or continuation.
Each volume profile type provides valuable insights into market behavior and
helps traders make informed decisions based on the observed volume distribution
and price action.
Market Profile 15