Allegheny Tech (ATI)

Industry: Steel
ATI
Allegheny Tech

Price: $48.31

Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Thu Nov 17 14:24 EST 2011
$48.31

Power Gauge Rating

ATI - Very Bearish

The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for ATI is very bearish due to very negative expert opinions, poor financial metrics, weak earnings performance and bearish price/volume activity. Expert opinions about ATI are very negative which is evidenced by analysts revising earnings estimates downward. ATI's financial metrics are poor due to a high long term debt to equity ratio.
TM

Financial Metrics

Earnings Performance

Price/Volume Activity

Expert Opinions

News Sentiment Rating

Bullish
ATI Allegheny Tech October 26, 2011

Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for ATI is bullish. There is currently a significant positive sentiment within news stories concerning ATI.

TM

News Sentiment :Positive

Power Trend - 5 Year Chart

The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential.

High Potential

Neutral

Low Potential

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Financials & Earnings

Financial Metrics

Financial Metrics Rating

LT Debt/Equity Ratio

Bearish
ATI's financial metrics are poor. The company is carrying too much long term debt and has relatively low revenue per share. The rank is based on a high long term debt to equity ratio and high price to sales ratio.

Price to Book Value

Return on Equity

Price to Sales Ratio

Business Value

Assets and Liabilities

Ratio Current Ratio LT Debt/Equity TTM 2.69 0.43

Valuation
Ratio Price/Book Price/Sales TTM 1.85 1.27

Returns
Ratio Return on Invest Return on Equity TTM 6.4% 9.9%

Earnings Performance

Earnings Performance Rating

Earnings Growth

Bearish
ATI's earnings performance has been weak. The company has a history of weak earnings growth and has not met analysts' earnings estimates. The rank is based on poor EPS growth over the past 3-5 years, worse than expected earnings in recent quarters, an upward trend in earnings this year, a relatively high projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.

Earnings Surprise

Earnings Trend

Projected P/E Ratio

Earnings Consistency

5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth

12/06 Revenue(M) Rev % Growth EPS EPS % Growth 4,936.60 39.46% $5.74 60.34% 12/07 5,452.50 10.45% $7.35 28.05% 12/08 5,309.70 -2.62% $5.71 -22.31% 12/09 3,054.90 -42.47% $0.33 -94.22% 12/10 4,047.80 32.50% $0.72 118.18%

EPS Estimates
Factor Quarterly EPS Yearly EPS Factor 3-5 year EPS Actual EPS Prev $0.16 $0.72 Actual EPS Growth 7.46% EST EPS Current $0.56 $2.46 Est EPS Growth 15.00% Change +0.40 +1.74 Change +7.54

EPS Surprise
Estimate Latest Qtr 1 Qtr Ago 2 Qtr Ago 3 Qtr Ago $0.61 $0.73 $0.49 $0.30 Actual $0.63 $0.70 $0.54 $0.31 Difference $0.02 $-0.03 $0.05 $0.01 % Difference 3.28 -4.11 10.20 3.33

EPS Quarterly Results

FY 12/09 12/10 12/11 Qtr 1 $0.06 $0.19 $0.58 Qtr 2 $-0.14 $0.37 $0.63 Qtr 3 $0.01 $0.01 $0.59 Qtr 4 $0.39 $0.16 Total $0.32 $0.73 -

Fiscal Year End Month is December.

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Price Trend & Expert Opinions

Price/Volume Activity

Price/Volume Activity Rating

Relative Strength vs Market

Bearish
Price and volume activity for ATI is bearish. ATI is experiencing sustained selling and has underperformed the S&P 500 over 26 weeks. The rank for ATI is based on its relative weakness versus the market, negative Chaikin money flow, a negative Chaikin price trend and a positive Chaikin price trend ROC.

Chaikin Money Flow

Price Trend

Price Trend ROC

Volume Trend

Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index

Chaikin Money Flow

Chart shows whether ATI is performing better or worse than the market.

Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.

Price Activity
Factor 52 Week High 52 Week Low % Change YTD Rel S&P 500 Value 72.74 32.78 -9.85%

Price Activity
Factor % Change Price - 4 Weeks % Change Price - 24 Weeks % Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P % Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P Value 25.84% -25.60% 23.09% -20.93%

Volume Activity
Factor Average Volume 20 Days Average Volume 90 Days Chaikin Money Flow Persistency Value 2,568,642 2,736,911 36%

Expert Opinions

Expert Opinions

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Very Bearish
Expert opinions about ATI are very negative. Analysts are lowering their EPS estimates for ATI and short interest in ATI is high. The rank for ATI is based on analysts revising earnings estimates downward, a high short interest ratio and optimistic analyst opinions.

Short Interest

Insider Activity

Analyst Opinions

Relative Strength vs Industry

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Current Current Qtr Next Qtr 0.56 0.77 Current Current FY 2.46 7 Days Ago % Change 0.57 0.77 -1.75% 0.00%

Analyst Recommendations
Factor Mean this Week Mean Last Week Change Mean 5 Weeks Ago Value Buy Buy -0.08 Buy

EPS Estimates Revision Summary

Last Week Up Curr Qtr Curr Yr Next Qtr 0 0 0 0 Down 1 0 0 1 Last 4 Weeks Up 0 0 1 0 Down 5 3 2 8

30 Days Ago % Change 2.65 -0.19

Next Yr

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The Company & Its Competitors

ATI's Competitors in Steel

Company ATI SUTR MASC HAYN CRS RTI Power Gauge Historic EPS growth 7.46% 4.02% -13.15% -0.37% 4.39% 21.19% Projected EPS growth 15.00% 25.00% 12.00% Profit Margin 3.98% 3.24% 8.51% 5.13% 5.02% 1.01% PEG 1.31 0.10 7.28 PE 22.18 3.08 9.13 24.92 27.76 Revenue(M) 4,048 432 138 1,675 432

News Headlines for ATI Allegheny Technologies Completes Acquisition of Ladish - May 9, 2011 BRIEF: Allegheny Technologies sells debt - Jan 5, 2011 Tripp Levy PLLC Announces That a Shareholder Lawsuit Has Been Filed on Behalf of Ladish Shareholders Regarding Ladishs Buyout Dec 28, 2010 2 local companies making acquisitions - Nov 18, 2010 Allegheny Technologies boosts hold in aerospace - Nov 18, 2010

Company Details ALLEGHENY TECH 1000 SIX PPG PLACE PITTSBURGH, PA 15222 USA Phone: 4123942800 Fax: 412-394-3034 Website: http://http://www.alleghenytechnolo gies.com Full Time Employees: 9,200 Sector: Basic Materials

Company Profile Allegheny Technologies Incorporated is one of the largest and most diversified producers of specialty materials in the world. The company's talented people use innovative technologies to offer growing global markets a wide range of specialty materials including stainless steel, nickel-based and cobalt-based alloys and superalloys, titanium and titanium alloys, specialty steel alloys, zirconium and related alloys, and tungsten-based specialty materials. The goal is to be the low cost, high quality supplier to global markets. (PRESS RELEASE)

Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe. Chaikin Stock Research(CSR) is not registered as a securities broker dealer or investment advisor with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. CSR is not responsible for trades executed by users of this research report, our web site or mobile app based on the information included herein. The information presented in this report does not represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or any financial instrument nor is it intended as an endorsement of any security or investment. The information in this report is generic by nature and is not personalized to the specific financial situation of any individual. The user bears complete responsibility for their own investment research and should seek the advice of a qualified investment professional before making any investment decisions. Copyright (c) 1978-(Present) by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc ("ZACKS"). The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) includes the confidential and proprietary information of ZACKS, (2) may not be copied or redistributed, for any purpose, (3) does not constitute investment advice offered by ZACKS, (4) are provided solely for informational purposes, and (5) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate or timely. ZACKS shall not be responsible for investment decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, use of this information, data, analyses or opinions. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. ZACKS is not affiliated with Chaikin Power Tools. This report from Chaikin Power Tools is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1

Data Provided by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com

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