unit - 4 a | Ube fe Gales data given below bo determine © a) the larek Cquones tend line and b) tie prediccedt Value $1 2003 Sales | Yeo Tuned laab 100 iaat Wo 1998 laa ; laaq | 130 | 2800 134 200) | \52 2002, | \by | oe minimize compurakens, bransyoim ‘fie value Of (Cleime) to Gimper tubers In Wile Cate » desiqnake yar \aae as year ', 1aa1 aS year 2 eke - ee | let us consider the year (lime fenad) a2 ‘x’ The deaqnated Yeare laa, 1a47, 194g , IAAT, ACCS es eet Boot , 8002 ave Gimpliffed as 1» 227> Eee weapeceiv cy lec us denote ine Gales value as “aerive Peri alee (4) “ t 166 a No 4 | aa 4 | \80 | 6 Vey | \ea 4 Vey | ou 289 emmy dd ; a Soe. SS 1 + n Gs sy 54 = 1a) | ba a) lek equiare frend Une Ye at boo be say ny af n(xy® = BAG TUN) Cai) a) Wyo <9 (uy a= y- br = 1ay= 10-46 (KY = sani, Y= S4-Ib +101 b 2 we 4 4 Ae * dale ik tao AN, & ‘i 16, Ae Aa 14a BE iyo | Keys Abib) Precitced Value Jer Bans Sales x8 Y= 84-16 + 10 ub (8) We 1984 Are Analyete | Gtoas Number | Anrwal > | Pevcentk of Armual 4 | Volume Volume ae oe | Tay | 1,500 yea | Rab | 9,000 343 | Loa 3200 Ne Mia \660 os Pas 620 2B a2 66 On 5b 63 on Qui 3a ol V20 30 O14 se £2 >\00.0 | What ave te appropriate ABc qnoum oF iwentrny tkeme ? ean:| Bek | AMMWAL Volume | Percent IE AY | Anwat Veage | Ran 7 '2600 Mea BH600 ‘ a Rab Aco eee | 200-00 toa 3200 We bee i Mia | i660 L 83 ae ; estes” ae } 14ae 5 | ma | 66 ure fe ; a Ee ki |} 10-6 1 O-l | 22 3g aun 20 | VD 30 ol | a + =e eateqonzing the terns » Anna Cunmulakive Altnual yeaqe aoa Veane annual veage fercentagqe Fu 5r500 oneee ae | 2aa100 371200 \ | = Aiuavo My 3 saa0 apis ee 136 ee 13 ‘iG A12828q 664 lo: & 4a63A9-6 Qur 2g fies | Vao = | aasucs.¢ 63 j Tob | AanuoApe aleqony Gummy | Arwuwat Percent: of lace | Theme he o Ui ilies | A Tay eee a | | eae 1160 es | C | Pas, 18.661, Qu ,Va0 | 800 | aa | | #2 100 Assume tak gusan te a éovority Pledge coordinater | wit fous Jobs and only Afriee pledges. The babe below | gives te expecced time Jo ath pledae bo de eath job Tob 1 | goby A\ice 4 8 Barcava a ie Fennifer | 3 1 eae a om 1 teal Ty the wishes to Minimize thie Hme taken, to thom Ghowd Gre asqn whith jpb? aoln* Cine, Were ave 4 Tobs fur only 2 Pedyes, we add a dummy You»[Jeb ! Jee 2 | Jobs etl: ee = lane a Senntyer a | 4 ee | Dummy ° 3 ° Gubbatk tre Gnalleck a th each ow with otev cements TaN Toba bs eu Alice ' | aaares 5 Barbora. ie o ° 4 Jennifer = 1 2 te Dummy ° ° ° ° Girilowy , Sublyatk 4Me folumm elements , asaqn bs wosel on Zeros, Job\ Soba Tobs | Deby, i | Nice (9) rs g he G s | Bota. 4 5 ce) A | Senniger (c) 2 4 | | 1 ee Sos| @ B (0) | — |Te opkimat Sob asaqnment » Ae > bi Barbera > ‘Sob 3 Tenntjyer > Toba Damme 1 > Toby Thy Aces Not qet dime Ahw ik 6 asstoynect tn Daerneny Exponential 6maotfening, % Used to Foretase curtemobile, batten} Golee Theo values op + We examina %=0'8 and &:0 5 and evaluate Re aturrau, oF each GmootAing lonstane Whith v6 prestvable (assume the Forecask for January wae | aa \akkeries) attuol Gales one given belowo » + a Monte. Gales - Fevetack | eM Tarwery | 0 te, a | Feloouny ay | Mora as | | | Aga 4 May 3 June \b Gan i) 4-0-9 Feapy tla AFo oan + (iro ary o-app FOAM Frep > (08x 20) + (o.axvar)*® ay +40 Fmar > (exat)+ (ax to): 20-8 % At Fam = 8x18) + (OA Xai) sb AY Ib Fina = (o-exiu) + (0 axib) = 144214 = + (0 2xy 2 (aaels Fame = (0 8x13) c ) Dewtabons \OE - Fe) 2 ' | 6 2 ) a i) aro Foadet ( a) EE Feo SDE T(iroByh, =O SPETOE A: Fp = 0-6 (a0) +0-5(a3) = 2! Fmar2 offal) + oS (aie a]5(\8) 10-681) 19 Faps = 0 Fmay = © Bl) + 0-6 (18) ob | Faune * 0613) +0 6 (ib) = 16 mee i) Month Gales Fovetoot | Devia on | 4:06 | \- FEI Tan Qo RA | 4 feb al ai Lo | t May i | a 6 ae Ma | 12 i Moy \3 \b ; June Ib 16 Map = le = 264 6 te Ging. Mean abedute detakion (a- as)ieless . Volur A=0-3 Vo preevabk 7 the acual demand in unite jor We 2a werghted 38 mont tighest fo te The tate below aivee Pade to-month pened Lomeuk moaiing oucaoe where Ye werdfive one lakek monte and cleecend te order & 322! com le fa us eee Demand 0 wo6 }10@ | io {a | hy fieol 120] ia | tyo | || Mont | Pemand. Wa ade ulead \ 1co tld — a \o8 _ | ieee heater 100 eer = loy3 as HOB NOBINS = jot. 64 ! ANe jobs one to be dome ak Custom Finite Chop. a5 Oa to Dake Promutd (in days om Finwh Today) . A 2 2 % 8 3 ei 6 la D - i M 4 Vetermine ond compare te eprect F Hie Gcheduling sat methods a) Fore (xl come, Foot Sewed) , By EDN Com: or Aue dave) and ©) GPT Comalieck Processing ime)a) PCRS People WD orvive Foree Ser Th 4fiio method, More {he job are Given & Prtorihy Coquene Protess Mine Flac ime | Ove Cote tenes i Courualdvey A a 6 b @ \o Ps ‘ f Vo | ‘2 ib Dd 4 a0 | so a € j an | 4 4 Totals a) 64 a3 ») EDD Th tes methed» We jos are allaned ausrding bo \meiy due dates, \obe with the Aue dates amne\ra, Fret one awarded a Free Chance) oPT fame WOU KE Hern Te Vee metfod , We jor lateness