Professional Documents
Culture Documents
I HC BCH KHOA
KHOA HA
Nng 12/2011
20A
20A
20A
20B
20B
20B
1
25
22
3
2
28
24
4
3
30
27
3
4
32
30
5
5
35
33
5
Bi gii:
N
S = m( u Y u ) 2 min
u= 1
Khi :
p dng phng php bnh phng nh nht cho hai bin b0 v b1 ta c h phng trnh sau:
5
b0 mu
u= 1
5
b0 mu tu
u= 1
5
b1 mu tu
u= 1
5
b1 mu t2u
u= 1
5
mu yu
u= 1
5
mu yu tu
u= 1
Thay vo ta c:
5
mu
=
u= 1
5
mu tu
=
u= 1
5
mu yu
=
u= 1
Ta c:
Gii h trn ta
c kt qu sau:
5
mu tu =
u= 1
5
2
mu t u =
u= 1
5
mu yu tu =
u= 1
+
+
612b1
18956b1
b0
-7.9694
b1
1.1722
20
612
558
20b0
612b0
558
18956
17343
=
=
558
17343
ng trnh sau:
25
28
30
32
35
Kt qu yu, %
22
24
27
30
33
cho mu
p dng
cng thc:
N
S = ( u Y
u= 1
Bi gii:
u
) 2 min
Thay vo ta c:
5
= 5
u= 1
5
tu = 150
u= 1
5
yu = 136
u= 1
5
yu t2u =
u= 1
Ta c:
Gii h ta
c kt qu
sau:
5
t3u = 140220
u= 1
5
t2u = 4558
u= 1
5
yu tu = 4147
u= 1
128011
5
t4u
u= 1
5b0
150b1
4558b2
136
150b0
4558b1
140220b2
4147
4558b0
140220b1
4354482b2 =
b0
12.086
b1
-0.1646
b2
0.022
= 4364482
128011
25
28
30
32
35
Kt qu yu, %
22
24
27
30
33
mu
Bi gii:
N
S = m( u Y
p dng cng thc:
u= 1
) 2 min
Thay vo ta c:
5
mu
=
20
u= 1
5
mu tu = 612
u= 1
5
mu yu = 558
u= 1
5
3
mu t u =
u= 1
5
2
mu t u =
u= 1
5
mu yu tu =
u= 1
5
5
2
mu yu t u = 545139 mu t4u
u= 1
u= 1
593898
18956
17343
18806504
Ta c:
20b0
612b0
+
+
612b1
18956b1
+
+
18956b0
593898b1
Gii h trn ta
c kt qu
sau:
b0
7.02366
b1
=
b2
=
Kt qu ta thu c phng trnh
dng sau:
y = 7.02366+0.16839t+0.01659t2
0.16839
0.01659
18956b2
593898b2
=
=
558
17343
18806504b2
17343
Bi tp 4
Lp quy hoch thc nghim nghin cu nh hng ca 10 yu t n qu trnh sao cho cac h s c trng
cho cc hiu ng tuyn tnh khng hn hp vi cc hiu ng tng tc cp. Bit rng cc tng tc b bn, b
ba v tng tc cp ca yu t th nhtv th hai khng ng k.
BI LM
I. T VN
Lp TPB 210-n'
S th nghim N= 210-n'. Nh vy, gim s th nghim th n' phi l ln nht.
+ Nu n' = 7 th phi lp TY 23,nh vy s yu t b sung l 7trong khi cc hiu ng
tng tc cp, tng tc b ba c th b qua( xp x bng 0) l: C32+C33=4 <7 .Suy ra phi bt
u t n'=6, v
C 42 C 43 C 44 11 6
x9 x1 .x 2 .x3 .x 4
Ti tng phn xc nh : 1 x1 .x 2 x3 x5
1 x1 .x 2 .x3 .x 4 x9
To tng phn xc nh tng hp1: x x x
4 5 9
Nh vy b1 1 235 1459 ...
+ Nu n' = 6 ta c K1:
C 42 C 43 C 44 11 6
Nhng theo k th 2
C 43 4 6
C 44 1 6
u khng tha mn, vy vi n'= 6 ta khng th chn c h thc tha mn yu cu.
+ Nu n' =5 ta c:
K 1: C 52 C 53 C 54 C 55 26 5
C 52
K 2:
b qua
tha mn
C 53 10 5
4
C5 5
tha mn
C 53 C 55 11 5
tha mn
2105
*Lp TY 25
*Chn hi thc sinh: x 6
x1 x 2 x 3
x 7 x1 x 2 x 4
x 8 x1 x 2 x 5
x 9 x1 x 3 x 5
x10 x1 x4 x5
1 x1 x 2 x3 x6 (1)
1 x1 x 2 x 4 x7 (2)
1 x1 x 2 x5 x8 (3)
1 x1 x3 x5 x9 (4)
1 x1 x4 x5 x10 (5)
*To tng phn xc nh tng hp:
1 (1)(2) x1 x2 x6 x7
1 (1)(3) x1 x3 x6 x8
1 (1)(4) x1 x4 x6 x9
1 (1)( 2 )( 3) x 4 x 5 x 6 x 7 x 8
1 (1)( 2 )( 4 ) x 3 x 5 x 6 x 7 x 9
1 (1)( 2)(5) x 3 x 4 x 6 x 7 x10
1 (1)(5) x1 x5 x6 x10
1 (1)( 3)( 4 ) x 2 x 5 x 6 x 8 x 9
1 (2)(3) x2 x3 x7 x8
1 (2)(4) x2 x4 x7 x9
1 (1)( 4 )( 5) x 2 x 3 x 6 x 9 x10
1 (2)(5) x2 x5 x7 x10
1 ( 2 )( 3)( 4 ) x 1 x 5 x 7 x 8 x 9
1 (3)(4) x3 x4 x8 x9
1 (3)(5) x3 x5 x8 x10
1 (4)(5) x4 x5 x9 x10
1 ( 2)(3)(5) x1 x 4 x 7 x 8 x10
1 ( 2)( 4)(5) x1 x 3 x 7 x 9 x10
1 (3)( 4)(5) x1 x 2 x 8 x 9 x10
1 (4)(5) x4 x5 x9 x10
1 (1)(2)(3)(4) x1x2 x3 x4 x6 x7 x8 x9
1 (1)(2)(3)(5) x1x2 x3 x5 x6 x7 x8 x10
1 (1)(2)(4)(5) x1x2 x4 x5 x6 x7 x9 x10
1 (1)(3)(4)(5) x1x3 x4 x5 x6 x8 x9 x10
1 (2)(3)(4)(5) x2 x3 x4 x5 x7 x8 x9 x10
1 (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) x6 x7 x8 x9 x10
*Xc nh iu kin hn hp cc hiu ng :
b1 1 236 247 258 359 4510 13467 13568 12569 12345610 14578
1234579 125710 12389 124810 134910 2345678 45679 356710 689 346810 246910
34789 7810 237910 23458910 1246789 12367810 167910 14568910 13578910 25678910
b 2 2 136 147 158 12359 124510 23467 23568 569 345610 24578
34579 5710 389 4810 234910 1345678 1245679 123456710 12689 12346810 146910
1234789 127810 137910 13458910 46789 367810 267910 24568910 23578910 15678910
23457910 257 238910 248 349 1234567810 14567910 13567 168910 13468 12469
13478910 178 12379 1234589 24678910 23678 679 45689 35789 1256789
2.Trng hp 2:
5
*Lp TY 2
*Chn h thc sinh
x6 x2 x3 x4 x5
x 8 x1 x 2 x 4 x 5
x 10 x 1 x 2 x 3 x 4
x 7 x1 x 3 x 4 x 5
x 9 x1 x 2 x 3 x 5
1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6 (1)
1 x1 x3 x 4 x5 x 7 ( 2)
1 x1 x 2 x 4 x5 x8 (3)
1 x1 x 2 x3 x5 x9 ( 4)
1 x1 x 2 x3 x 4 x10 (5)
*To tng phn xc nh tng hp:
1 (1)(2) x1 x2 x6 x7
1 (1)( 2 )( 3) x 4 x 5 x 6 x 7 x 8
1 (1)(3) x1 x3 x6 x8
1 (1)( 2 )( 4 ) x 3 x 5 x 6 x 7 x 9
1 (1)(4) x1 x4 x6 x9
1 (1)(5) x1 x5 x6 x10
1 (2)(3) x2 x3 x7 x8
1 (2)(4) x2 x4 x7 x9
1 (2)(5) x2 x5 x7 x10
1 (3)(4) x3 x4 x8 x9
1 (1)( 3)( 4 ) x 2 x 5 x 6 x 8 x 9
1 (1)( 3)( 5) x 2 x 4 x 6 x 8 x10
1 (1)( 4 )( 5) x 2 x 3 x 6 x 9 x10
1 (3)(5) x3 x5 x8 x10
1 ( 2 )( 3)( 4 ) x 1 x 5 x 7 x 8 x 9
1 ( 2)(3)(5) x1 x 4 x 7 x 8 x10
1 ( 2)( 4)(5) x1 x 3 x 7 x 9 x10
1 (4)(5) x4 x5 x9 x10
1 (1)(2)(3)(4) x1x2 x3 x4 x6 x7 x8 x9
1 (1)(2)(3)(5) x1x2 x3 x5 x6 x7 x8 x10
1 (1)(2)(4)(5) x1x2 x4 x5 x6 x7 x9 x10
1 (2)(3)(4)(5) x2 x3 x4 x5 x7 x8 x9 x10
1 (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) x6 x7 x8 x9 x10
*Xc nh iu kin hn hp ca hiu ng:
b1 1 123456 3457 2458 2359 23410 267 368 469 5610 12378
12479 125710 13489 135810 145910 145678 135679 1346710 125689 1246810 1236910
5789 47810 37910 28910 2346789 23567810 24567910 34568910 1234578910 1678910
b2 2 3456 123457 1458 1359 23410 167 12368 12469 125610 378
479 5710 23489 235810 245910 245678 235679 2346710 5689 46810 36910
125789 1247810 1237910 18910 1346789 13567810 14567910 1234568910 34578910 2678910
247910 257 348910 358 459 4567810 3567910 3467 2568910 2468 2369
1578910 1478 1379 1289 1234678910 1235678 1245679 1345689 2345789 6789
*Trong trng hp ny th cc h s c trng cho hiu ng tuyn tnh khng hn hp vi cc
hiu ng tng tc cp nhng cc hiu ng c bc lin k lai hn hp vi nhau.
3. Trng hp 3
5
*Lp: TY 2
*Chn h thc sinh :
x 6 x1 x
x3
x 7 x1 x 2 x 5
x 8 x1 x 2 x 4
x9 x3x
x5
x10 x1 x 2 x3 x 4 x5
1 x 1 x 2 x 3 x 6 (1)
1 x1 x 2 x 5 x 7 ( 2 )
1 x1 x 2 x 4 x 8 (3)
1 x3 x 4 x5 x9 (4)
1 x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x10 (5)
*Tao tng phn xc nh tng hp:
1 (1)( 2 ) x 3 x 5 x 6 x 7
1 (1)(2)(3) x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6 x7 x8
1 (1)( 2 )( 4 ) x 4 x 6 x 7 x 9
1 (1)(2)(5) x1 x 2 x 4 x 6 x 7 x10
1 (1)( 5 ) x 4 x 5 x 6 x 10
1 ( 2 )( 3) x 4 x 5 x 7 x 8
1 (2)(4) x1 x2 x3 x4 x7 x9
1 (1)( 3 )( 4 ) x 5 x 6 x 8 x 9
1 (1)(3)(5) x1 x 2 x 5 x 6 x 8 x10
1 (1)( 4 )( 5 ) x 3 x 6 x 9 x 10
1 ( 2 )( 3 )( 4 ) x 3 x 7 x 8 x 9
1 (1)( 3) x 3 x 4 x 6 x 8
1 (1)(4) x1 x2 x4 x5 x6 x9
1 ( 2 )( 5) x 3 x 4 x 7 x10
1 (3)(4) x1 x2 x3 x5 x8 x9
1 (3)( 5) x 3 x 5 x 8 x 10
1 ( 4 )( 5) x1 x 2 x 9 x10
1 (2)(3)(5) x1 x 2 x 3 x 7 x8 x10
1 ( 2 )( 4 )( 5 ) x 5 x 7 x 9 x 10
1 ( 3 )( 4 )( 5 ) x 4 x 8 x 9 x 10
1 (1)(2)(3)(4) x1 x2 x6 x7 x8 x9
1 (1)( 2 )( 3)( 5 ) x 6 x 7 x 8 x10
b1 1 236 357 248 13459 234510 13567 13468 24569 145610 14578
23479 134710 23589 135810 2910 2345678 14679 246710 15689 256810 136910
13479 234710 13589 235810 1910 1345678 24679 146710 25689 156810 236910
23789 137810 257910 248910 16789 267810 13567910 345689 13468910 14578910 2345678910
347 12358910 358 129 1234567810 467910 12467 568910 12568 369 378910
12378 489 12678910 678 1235679 1234689 1245789 3456789
III. NHN XT
T bi ton trn ta nhn thy rng: Nu chn h thc sinh l tich ca ca k tha s th ta c 2
kh nng sau y vi k >=2 ta c:
+ k chn : Th cc hiu ng bc lin nhau s hn hp vi nhau v khi k = 2 th hiu ng tuyn
tnh s hn hp vi cc hiu ng tng tc cp.
+ k l : Cc h s c trng cho cc hiu ng tuyn tnh khng hn hp vi cc hiu ng tng
tc cp v cc hiu ng lin k khng hn hp vi nhau.
Nh Vy nu lp TBP 2n-n' ta nn chn h thc theo iu kin sau tha mn c 2 iu kin trn:
* Chn n'
2 i 1
m
n n'1 Vi n-n' l
n'
C
i 1
nn'
m
*Chn h thc sinh
n n'
1
2
Vi n-n' chn
xi x j xl x m ... x k
Vi k =2i + 1
i = 1m
n n'1
2
n n'
1
2
Vi n-n' l
Vi n-n' chn
mn yu cu.
24578
.... ..... ..
468
12469
10
1236910
5610
378
x 4 x5
10
136910
.. ..
378910
iu kin trn:
Vi n-n' chn
Vi n-n' chn
Bi tp 5: Hy cho bit tm thc nghim, khong bin thin, mc trn, mc di ca s liu thc nghim
chu nh hng ca hai yu t nhit trong khong (20-400c) v t (1-5M)
Bi gii:
Bng s liu:
X10
X20
=
=
(X 1 +X 1)/2
+
(X 2 +X 2)/2
=
=
30
3
1
2
=
=
(X+1 -X-1)/2
(X+2 -X-2)/2
=
=
10
2
u
1
2
3
4
x1u(0c)
-1
1
-1
1
y
y1
y2
y3
y4
x2u(M)
-1
-1
1
1
u thc nghim
Bi tp 6:
C0
Tm thc nghim:
Bi gii:
7
= Cu /N =
u= 1
= Cu+1 - Cu =
b0
b1 =
15
2
xu = (Cu - C0 )/
2
11
19
-2
7
21
32
3
13
21
-1
4
15
26
0
5
17
27
1
6
19
29
2
7
21
32
3
7
xu yu = 68
u= 1
7
yu /N =
u= 1
24.57
7
7
xu yu / x2u = 2.43
u= 1
u=1
Bi tp 7: Biu din cc s liu thc nghim bng phng trnh bc hai theo bng s liu sau y:
u
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
tu,h
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
wu=yu(kg)
15.2
20.5
25.3
30.6
36.1 42.1 59.5
Bi gii:
t0
Tm thc nghim:
7
= tu /N =
u= 1
= tu+1 - tu =
-3
14
2
xu = (tu - t0 )/
2
10
3
12
4
14
20.5
25.3
30.6
-2
-1
229.3
7
xu yu
=
u= 1
28
7
x4u
u= 1
7
x2u yu = 984.1
u= 1
7
7
b1= xu yu / x2u = 6.68
u= 1
u=1
186.9
= 196
5
16
6
18
7
20
7
2
b2x u
u= 1
5
4
b 2 x
u= 1
7
yu
u= 1
7
2
yu x u
u= 1
s liu sau y:
Bi tp 8:
u
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
x1
Cho s liu thc nghim sau y.Xc nh phng trnh thc nghim
v sau kim tra bng hai tiu chun student v Fisher
ct chnh
ct ph
kt qu
x2
x3
x1x2
x1x3
x2x3 x1x2x3 yu1 yu2 yu3 Yu
-1
-1
1
1
-1
-1
1
1
0
-1
1
-1
1
-1
1
-1
1
0
-1
-1
-1
-1
1
1
1
1
0
Bi gii:
1
-1
-1
1
1
-1
-1
1
1
1
-1
-1
-1
-1
1
1
1
-1
1
-1
-1
1
-1
1
-1
1
1
-1
1
-1
-1
1
b0=
b1=
b2=
b3=
b12=
b13=
8
yu /N =
u= 1
8
yux1 /N =
u= 1
8
yux2/N =
u= 1
8
yux3/N =
u= 1
8
yux12/N =
u= 1
8
yux13/N =
u= 1
81.875
-0.625
4.375
13.125
9.375
-4.375
73
58
54
84
100
98
77
105
89
69
58
59
94
106
90
85
95
83
68
64
52
92
109
97
78
100
86
70
60
55
90
105
95
80
100
86
8
yux23/N
b23=
-1.875
=
u= 1
8
yux123/N
b123=
-1.875
=
u= 1
Vy y=81.875-0.625x1+4.375x2+13.125x3+9.375x12-4.375x13-1.875x23-1.875x1x2x3
1/ Phng sai theo hng:
u
(yu1-u)2
(yu2-u)2
(yu3-u)2 1+2+3
S2yuk
1
9
1
4
14
2
4
4
16
24
3
1
16
9
26
4
36
16
4
56
5
25
1
16
42
6
9
25
4
38
7
9
25
4
38
8
25
25
0
50
9
9
9
0
18
2/ Phng sai ti hin tng th nghim ca cuc th nghim:
8
2
S yuk = S2(yuk)/N = 18
u= 1
7
12
13
28
21
19
19
25
9
S2(yk)/ m =
S(bi)
S2(y)/N =
(S2(bi) =
0.75
0.87
t(0.95;16)=2.12 v S(bi)=0.87
Vy (bi)= 1.84
i chiu vi cc h s trong phng trnh trn th ta thy rng h s bi= -0,63 l khng
ngha(|bi|<).
Vy phng trnh lc ny c dng sau:
y=81.875+4.375x2+13.125x3+9.375x12-4.375x13-1.875x23-1.875x1x2x3
6/ Kim tra tiu chun Fisher:
Theo phng trnh thu c theo tiu chun student ta c:
b0 b1
b2
b3
b12
b13
82
4.375
13.125
9.375
-4.375
b23
b123
-1.88 -1.875
2
= 1.92
Bi tp 9 :
x2
Mc c s
0.4
840
Khong bin thin
0.15
100
Mc trn(+)
0.55
940
Mc di(-)
0.25
740
* M hnh c chn l m hnh tuyn tnh. Khi ta c :
x3
60
60
120
0
x4
graphit
Gch chu lu
y = b0+b1x1+b2x2+b3x3+b4x4
Thc nghim c thc hin l TYP : 24-1 suy ra N=8(TN)
Vi biu thc sinh : x4=x1x2x3. Cc th nghim khng lp li
Ma trn QHTN v cc kt qu c cho bng sau:
Ma trn quy hoch thc nghim
x0
x1
x2
STT
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
-1
1
-1
1
-1
1
-1
1
1
-1
-1
1
1
-1
-1
x3
x4
1
1
1
1
-1
-1
-1
-1
1
-1
-1
1
-1
1
1
-1
y
100
81
95
36
130
69
90
64
STT
1
2
3
Phng sai ti hin:
yu
y u -y0
(y u -y )2
80
82
78
0
2
2
0
4
4
S2th=
3
80
y0u /3
=
u= 1
3
8
(y0u -y0)2 =
u= 1
3
(y0u -y0)2 /(n0-1) = 4
u= 1
b1=
b2=
b3=
b4=
8
y/N
u= 1
8
yx1 /N
u= 1
8
yx2/N
u= 1
8
yx3/N
u= 1
8
yx3/N
u= 1
83.125
20.625
11.875
-5.125
-9.375
0.71
t1 = 29.17
Khi :
t2= 16.79
t3= -7.25
t4= -13.26
Tra bng tp(f) vi p=0.05 v f=n0-1= 3-1=2 ta c tp(f)=4.3
R rng ta thy | tj | >tp(f) do cc h s hi quy u c ngha v phng trnh hi quy
* Kim tra tiu chun Fisher:
Theo phng trnh thu c trn ta c:
b0
b1
b2
b3
b4
83.125
STT
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
20.625
11.875
Ta c bng s liu sau:
u
y
-5.125
-9.375
y - u (y -u )2
100
81
95
36
130
69
101.125
78.625
96.125
36.125
130.125
70.125
-1.125
2.375
-1.125
-0.125
-0.125
-1.125
1.26563
5.64063
1.26563
0.01563
0.01563
1.26563
90
64
87.625
65.125
2.375
-1.125
5.64063
1.26563
8
S t t = (y -u )2/(N -L) = 5.46
u= 1
2
F= S t t/S2t h =
1.365
Tra bng F1-p(f1,f2); p=0.05, f1=3,f2=2 ta c F1- p(3,2) =19.2
2
Tn
Mc c s
H s bj
Khong bin thin
bj. j
Bc j
Bc lm trn
2.b3.1/2.b2 =
-2.5895
x3
x4
0.4
20.625
0.15
3.0938
0.0261
0.03
840
11.875
100
1187.5
10
10
60
-5.125
60
-307.5
-2.5895
-2.6
0.43
0.46
850
860
57.4
54.8
-9.4
Gch
chu la
"
Th nghim th 9
Th nghim tng tng
Th nghim tng tng
Th nghim th 10
Th nghim th 11
Th nghim th 12
0.49
0.52
0.55
0.58
0.61
0.64
870
880
890
900
910
920
52.2
49.6
47
44.4
41.8
39.2
"
"
"
"
"
"
y
108
196
366
313
p en.