From TD-SCDMA to TD-LTE TD-SCDMA TD-LTE

Stephen Hire Aeroflex Asia Leadership in LTE Test

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Topics
Where we are today Market data Leaders or followers? Next steps 3G licensing and rollout plans Evolutionary paths

The role of TD-LTE TD-SCDMA vs 3GPP perspectives

Looking forward The Chinese mobile landscape TDD globally

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Where we are today

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Market data
National 1.33bn population 48% cellular penetration China Mobile 496.6m GSM subscribers 360,000 base stations China Unicom 141.1m GSM subscribers 170,000 base stations China Telecom 41.7m CDMA subscribers 40,000 base stations
Sources: China Mobile, China Unicom, China Telecom, Aeroflex research and public data

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Leaders or followers?

State-owned enterprises
China Mobile China Unicom China Telecom

Government direction not to be underestimated

Dont write off TD-SCDMA especially with 497m subs in the game

DoCoMo/Verizon vs MVNO model

Industry leader versus fast follower business strategy?

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Next steps

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3G licensing and rollout plans

TD-SCDMA 60,000 BTS in 238 cities in 2009 140,000 BTS 2009-2011 2m handset purchases WCDMA 80,000 BTS, 70,000 indoor solutions covering 334 cities by end of 2009 Exclusive iPhone deal CDMA 1xEV-DO Rev A 500 cities covered by end of 2009 20m handset purchases
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3G market shares

NSN 6.8%

Da Tang 12.6%

Others 6.7% Motorola 2.7%

ZTE 29.3% Huawei 21.9% AlcatelLucent 6.8% Nortel Ericsson 2.3% 10.9%

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Evolutionary paths

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2008-09

2009-12 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test

2013

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The role of TD-LTE TD-LTE

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TD-SCDMA and TD-LTE

TD-LTE positioned as next evolution in TDSCDMA family Estimates for TD-SCDMA market share unclear
1,000,000 subscribers as of July 09

TD-SCDMA likely to be China-only

Look at vendor investment as an indicator

TD-LTE trials under way

Timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices Several vendors already demonstrated working network hardware to CMCC

Trials against Aeroflex TM500 Test Mobile

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FDD v TDD top level differences

Going from FDD to TDD

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The TD-LTE ecosystem

Network Equipment Vendors
Antennas Couplers Repeaters eNodeB
Motorola NSN Huawei Potevio Ericsson ZTE ASB DaTang Internet Access Re-use of technology from TD-SCDMA Many of same suppliers will be well positioned for TD-LTE

Operators

Users

Test Equipment
eNB Test Test Mobiles Functional Capacity UE Test Protocol RF Performance

Test Labs
Joint trials with CTTL TMC RITT 7 Layers SGS Mobile TV

UE Vendors
Chipset T3G Leadcore (DaTang) Spreadtrum Chinese UE ZTE Huawei DaTang Foreign UE Tier 1 vendors

Telephony

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The role of TD-LTE

TD-SCDMA perspective
Natural progression

3GPP perspective
Commonality with FDD

Vendor perspective
Increasing use of software defined radio techniques

Operator perspective
Spectrum availability Flexible base stations

Conclusion
TD-LTE will be widely adopted in China and internationally

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Looking forward

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Operator projections for 3G

3m subs by end of 2009 50-80m subs by end of 2011
Figures reduced from earlier in year Achieved 25% 3G market share in Q2

1.3m subs June 09 100m subs by 2010 Official launch 1st August 200,000 subs by end Oct target 20m subs in first full year
2-3m iPhones potential in 2010
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The LTE Chinese Mobile Landscape

Technology is often first adopted on the east coast and progresses west over time Old standards co-exist with new
GSM TD-SCDMA/WCDMA LTE

2008/09

GSM continues to middle of next decade; increasing rural westward focus 2009/10 TD-SCDMA/WCDMA rolls out; progressively penetrates most of population LTE starts; focus on eastern and major cities

2012/13

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One global standard

There is only one LTE

Clear statement and drive from alliance of Vodafone/Verizon/China Mobile Commonality of specifications and standards activity Vendors adopting software defined radio to make it a reality

But
dont forget about multiple spectrum allocations, bandwidths and legacy handover requirements

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Summary and final thoughts

TD-SCDMA TD-LTE

Here to stay Will find a definite role

The next step for CMCC and for TDSCDMA

LTE

What else?

TDD vs FDD to disappear Both achieve widespread use

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CMCC Applications Store The worlds biggest market?

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Thank you

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Appendix not for presentation

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FDD v TDD UL PHY differences

UL Channels

PUCCH

PUSCH

PUCCH

PUSCH

Reference Signals

PRACH

Sounding

PUCCH

PUSCH

Reference Signals

PRACH

Sounding

Timing / Control / Frame Structure

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FDD v TDD DL PHY differences

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Frame Structure

FDD frame structure

TDD frame structure

Frame = 10ms

#0
Subframe = 1ms

#2

#3

#4

#5

#7

#8

#9

DwPTS GP

UpPTS

DwPTS GP

UpPTS

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