Unit 4 IG ECO
Unit 4 IG ECO
The public sector in every economy plays a major role, as a producer and employer. Governments
work locally, nationally and internationally. Here are the roles they play in the economy:
Economic Growth: economic growth refers to an increase in the gross domestic product
(GDP), the amount of goods and services produced in the economy, over a period of time.
More output means economic growth. But if output falls over time (economic recession), it
can cause:
fall in employment, incomes and living standards of the people
fall in the tax revenue the govt. collects from goods and services and incomes,
which will, in turn, lead to a cut in govt. spending
fall in the revenues and profits of firms
low investments, that is, people won’t invest in production as economic
conditions are poor and they will yield low profits.
Price Stability: inflation is the continuous rise in the average price levels in an economy
during a time period. Governments usually target an inflation rate it should maintain in a year,
say 3%. If prices rise too quickly it can negatively affect the economy because it:
reduces people’s purchasing powers as people will be able to buy less with the
money they have now than before
causes hardship for the poor
increases business costs especially as workers will demand higher wages to
support their livelihood
makes products more expensive than products of other countries with low
inflation. This will make exports less competitive in the international market.
Full Employment: if there is a high level of unemployment in a country, the following may
happen:
the total national output (goods produced) will fall
government will have to give out welfare payments (unemployment benefits) to
the unemployed, increasing public expenditure while income taxes fall – causing
a budget deficit
large unemployment causes public unrest and anger towards the government.
Balance of Payments Stability: economies export (sell) many of their products to overseas
residents, receive income and investment from abroad, import (buy) goods and services from
other economies, and make investments in other countries. These are recorded in a country’s
Balance of Payments (BoP).
Exports > Imports = Surplus in BoP
Exports < Imports = Deficit in BoP
All economies try to balance this inflow and outflow of international trade and payments and
try to avoid any deficits because:
if it exports too little and imports too much, the economy may run out of foreign
currency to buy further imports
a BoP deficit causes the value of its currency to fall against other foreign
currencies and make imports more expensive to buy, while a BoP surplus causes
its currency to rise against other foreign currencies and make its exports more
expensive in the international market.
Income Redistribution: to reduce the inequality of income among its citizens, the
government will redistribute incomes from the rich to the poor by imposing taxes on the rich
and using it to finance welfare schemes for the poor. All governments struggle with income
inequality and try to solve it because:
widening inequality means higher levels of poverty
poverty and hardship restricts the economy from reaching its maximum
productive capacity.
Budget: a financial statement showing the forecasted government revenue and expenditure in the
coming fiscal year. It lays out the amount the government expects to receive as revenue in taxes and
other incomes and how and where it will use this revenue to finance its various spending endeavours.
Governments aim for its budgets to be balanced.
Government spending
Governments spend on all kinds of public goods and services, not just out of political and social
responsibility, but also out of economic responsibility. Government spending is a part of the aggregate
demand in the economy and influences its well-being. The main areas of government spending
includes defence and arms, road and transport, electricity, water, education, health, food stocks,
government salaries, pensions, subsidies, grants etc.
To supply goods and services that the private sector would fail to do, such as public goods,
including defence, roads and streetlights; merit goods, such as hospitals and schools;
and welfare payments and benefits, including unemployment and child benefits.
To achieve supply-side improvements in the economy, such as spending on education and
training to improve labour productivity.
To spend on policies to reduce negative externalities, such as pollution controls.
To subsidise industries which may need financial support, and which is not available from
the private sector, usually agriculture and related industries.
To help redistribute income and improve income inequality.
To inject spending into the economy to aid economic growth.
Increased government spending will lead to higher demand in the economy and thus aid
economic growth, but it can also lead to inflation if the increasing demand causes prices to
rise faster than output.
Increased government spending on public goods and merit goods, especially in infrastructure,
can lead to increased productivity and growth in the long run.
Increased government spending on welfare schemes and benefits will increase living
standards, and help reduce inequality.
However too much government spending can also cause ‘crowding out’ of private sector
investments – private investments will reduce if the increase in government spending is
financed by increased taxes and borrowing (large government borrowing will drive up interest
rates and discourage private investment).
Tax
Governments earn revenue through interests on government bonds and loans, incomes from fines,
penalties, escheats, grants in aid, income from public property, dividends and profits on government
establishments, the printing of currency etc; but its major source of revenue comes from
taxation. Taxes are compulsory payments made to the government by all people in an economy.
There are many reasons for levying taxes on the economy:
It is a source of government revenue: if the government has to spend on public goods and
services it needs money that is funded from the economy itself. People pay taxes knowing
that it is required to fund their collective welfare.
To redistribute income: governments levy taxes from those who earn higher incomes and
have a lot of wealth. This is then used to fund welfare schemes for the poor.
To reduce consumption and production of demerit goods: a much higher tax is levied on
demerit goods like alcohol and tobacco than other goods to drive up its prices and costs in
order to discourage its consumption and production. Such a tax on a specific good is
called excise duty.
To protect home industries: taxes are also levied on foreign goods entering the domestic
market. This makes foreign goods relatively more expensive in the domestic market, enabling
domestic products to compete with them. Such a tax on foreign goods and services is
called customs duty.
To manage the economy: as we will discuss shortly, taxation is also a tool for demand and
supply side management. Lowering taxes increase aggregate demand and supply in the
economy, thereby facilitating growth. Similarly, during high inflation, the government will
increase taxes to reduce demand and thus bring down prices. More on this below.
Classification of Taxes
Taxes can be classifies into direct or indirect and progressive, regressive or proportional.
Direct Taxes are taxes on incomes. The burden of tax payment falls directly on the person or
individual responsible for paying it.
Income tax: paid from an individual’s income. Disposable income is the income left after
deducting income tax from it. When income tax rise, there is little disposable income to spend
on goods and services, so firms will face lower demand and sales, and will cut production,
increasing unemployment. Lower income taxes will encourage more spending and thus higher
production.
Corporate Tax: tax paid on a company’s profits. When the corporate tax rate is increased,
businesses will have lower profits left over to put back into the business and will thus find it
hard to expand and produce more. It will also cause shareholders/owners to receive lower
dividends/returns for their investments. This will discourage people from investing in
businesses and economic growth could slow down. Reducing corporate tax will encourage
more production and investment.
Capital gains tax: taxes on any profits or gains that arise from the sale of assets held for
more than a year.
Inheritance tax: tax levied on inherited wealth.
Property tax: tax levied on property/land.
Advantages:
High revenue: as all people above a certain income level have to pay income taxes, the
revenue from this tax is very high.
Can reduce inequalities in income and wealth: as they are progressive in nature – heavier
taxes on the rich than the poor- they help in reducing income inequality.
Disadvantages:
Reduces work incentives: people may rather stay unemployed (and receive govt.
unemployment benefits) rather than be employed if it means they would have to pay a high
amount of tax. Those already employed may not work productively, since for any extra
income they make, the more tax they will have to pay.
Reduces enterprise incentives: corporate taxes may demotivate entrepreneurs to set up new
firms, as a good part of the profits they make will have to be given as tax.
Tax evasion: a lot of people find legal loopholes and escape having to pay any tax. Thus tax
revenue falls and the govt. has to use more resources to catch those who evade taxes.
Indirect Taxes are taxes on goods and services sold. It is added to the prices of goods and services
and it is paid while purchasing the good or service. It is called indirect because it indirectly takes
money as tax from consumer expenditure. Some examples are:
GST/VAT: these are included in the price of goods and services. Increasing these indirect
taxes will increase the prices of goods and services and reduce demand and in turn profits.
Reducing these taxes will increase demand.
Customs duty: includes import and export tariffs on goods and services flowing between
countries. Increasing tariffs will reduce demand for the products.
Excise Duty: tax on demerit goods like alcohol and tobacco, to reduce its demand.
Advantages:
Cost-effective: the cost of collecting indirect taxes is low compared to collecting direct taxes.
Expanded tax-base: directs taxes are paid by those who make a good income, but indirect
taxes are paid by all people (young, old, unemployed etc.) who consume goods and services,
so there is a larger tax base.
Can achieve specific aims: for example, excise duty (tax on demerit goods) can discourage
the consumption of harmful goods; similarly, higher and lower taxes on particular products
can influence their consumption.
Flexible: indirect tax rates are easier and quicker to alter/change than direct tax rates. Thus
their effects are immediate in an economy.
Disadvantages:
Inflationary: The prices of products will increase when indirect taxes are added to it, causing
inflation.
Regressive: since all people pay the same amount of money, irrespective of their income
levels, the tax will fall heavily on the poor than the rich as it takes more proportion of their
income.
Tax evasion: high tariffs on imported goods or excise duty on demerit goods can encourage
illegal smuggling of the good.
Progressive Taxes are those taxes which burdens the rich more than the poor, in that the rate of
taxation increases as incomes increase. An income tax is the perfect example of progressive
taxation. The more income you earn, the more proportion of the income you have to pay in taxes, as
defined by income tax brackets.
For example, a person earning above $100,000 a month will have to pay a tax rate of 20%, while a
person earning above $200,000 a month will have to pay a tax rate of 25%.
Regressive Taxes are those taxes which burden the poor more than the rich, in that the rate of
taxation falls as incomes increase. An indirect tax like GST is an example of a regressive tax
because everyone has to pay the same tax when they are paying for the product, rich or poor.
For example, suppose the GST on a kilo of rice is $1; for a person who earns $500 dollars a month,
this tax will amount to 0.2% of his income, while for a richer person who earns $50,000 a month, this
tax will amount of just 0.002% of his income. The burden on the poor is higher than on the rich,
making its regressive.
Proportional Taxes are those taxes which burden the poor and rich equally, in that the rate of
taxation remains equal as incomes rise or fall. An example is corporate tax. All companies have to
pay the same proportion of their profits in tax.
For example, if the corporate tax is 30%, then whatever the profits of two companies, they both will
have to pay 30% of their profits in corporate tax.
Taxes can have various direct impacts on consumers, producers, government and thus, the entire
economy.
The main purpose of tax is to raise income for the government which can lead to higher
spending on health care and education. The impact depends on what the government spends
the money on. For example, whether it is used to fund infrastructure projects or to fund the
government’s debt repayment.
Consumers will have less disposable income to spend after income tax has been deducted.
This is likely to lead to lower levels of spending and saving. However, if the government
spends the tax revenue in effective ways to boost demand, it shouldn’t affect the economy.
Higher income tax reduces disposable income and can reduce the incentive to work.
Workers may be less willing to work overtime or might leave the labour market altogether.
However, there are two conflicting effects of higher tax:
Substitution effect: higher tax leads to lower disposable income, and work
becomes relatively less attractive than leisure – workers will prefer to work less.
Income effect: if higher tax leads to lower disposable income, then a worker may
feel the need to work longer hours to maintain his desired level of income –
workers feel the need to work longer to earn more.
The impact of tax then depends on which effect is greater. If the substitution
effect is greater, then people will work less, but if income effect is greater, people
will work more
Producers will have less incentive to produce if the corporate taxes are too high. Private firm
aim on making profits, and if a major chunk of their profits are eaten away by taxes, they
might not bother producing more and might decide to close shop.
Fiscal Policy
Fiscal policy is a government policy which adjusts government spending and taxation to
influence the economy. It is the budgetary policy because it manages government expenditure and
revenue. The government aims for a balanced budget and tries to achieve it using fiscal policy.
A budget is in surplus when government revenue exceeds government spending. While this is good,
the economy hasn’t reached its full potential. The government is keeping more than it is spending, and
if this surplus is very large, it can trigger a slowdown of the economy.
A budget is in deficit, when government expenditure exceeds government revenue. This is undesirable
because if there is not enough revenue to finance the expenditure, the government will have to borrow
and then be in debt.
When there is a budget deficit, the government employs contractionary fiscal policy, where govt.
spending is cut and tax rates are increased.
Fiscal policy helps the government achieve its aim of economic growth, by being able to influence the
demand and spending in the economy. It also indirectly helps maintain price stability, via the effects
of tax and spending.
Expansionary fiscal policy will stimulate growth, employment and help increase prices.
Contractionary fiscal policy will help control inflation resulting from too much growth. But as we will
see later on, controlling inflation by reducing growth can lead to increased unemployment as output
and production falls.
Monetary Policy
Monetary Policy
Supply-side policies
However, the reliance on public expenditure and tax cuts mean that the
government may run large budget deficits. Deregulation and
privatisation will also reduce government intervention in the economy,
which may prompt market failure.
This diagram shows ‘actual growth’ as the economy realizes its potential
growth. In order to experience potential economic growth, the PPC
would have to shift outwards.
Recession
Recession is the phase where there is negative economic growth, that
is real GDP is falling. This usually happens after there is rapid economic
growth. High inflation during the boom period will cause consumer
spending to fall and cause this downturn. Workers will demand more
wages as the cost of living increases, and the price of raw materials will
also rise, leading to firms cutting down production and laying off
workers. Unemployment starts to rise and incomes fall.
Causes of recession:
Financial crises: if banks have a shortage of liquidity, they reduce
lending and this reduces investment.
Rise in interest rates: increases the cost of borrowing and
reduces demand.
Fall in real wages: usually caused when wages do not increase in
line with inflation leading to falling incomes and demand.
Fall in consumer/business confidence: reduces both supply and
demand.
Cut in govt. spending: when government cuts spending, demand
falls.
Trade wars: uncertainty in markets, and thus businesses will be
reluctant to invest during a trade war, causing supply to fall.
Supply-side shocks: e.g. rise in oil prices cause inflation and
lower purchasing power.
Black swan events: black swan events are unexpected events that
are very hard to predict. For example, the COVID-19 pandemic in
2020 which disrupted travel, supply chains and normal business
activity, as well as consumer demand, has caused recessions in
many countries.
Consequences of recession:
Firms go out of business: as demand falls, firms will be forced to
either reduce production to a level that is sustainable or close shop.
Unemployment: cuts in production will cause a lot of people to
lose work.
Fall in income: cuts in production also causes a fall in incomes.
Rise in poverty and inequality: unemployment and lack of
income will pull a lot of people into poverty, and increase inequality
(as the rich will still find ways to earn).
Fall in asset prices (e.g. fall in house prices/stock market):
recessions trigger a crash in the stock markets and other asset
markets as investors’ and consumers’ confidence in the well-being
fall of the economy during a recession. The shares owned by
investors will be worth less.
Higher budget deficit: due to falling consumption and incomes,
the government will see a fall in tax revenue, causing a budget
deficit to grow.
Permanently lost output: as firms go out of business and
employment falls, it results in a permanent loss of output, as the
economy moves inwards from its PPC.
If the economy
was producing at A on its PPC, a recession will cause production to
fall to B.