Cc sinh vin i hc Cng nghip Thnh

ph H Ch Minh c v qu hay khng?

Cc yu t nh hng n vic ra quyt
nh v qu ca sinh vin.
Mc nh hng ca mi yu t

T nhng kt qu thu c rt ra cc bi
hc l thuyt v thc tin cho mn kinh t
lng

Pht phiu thm d trc tip

L thuyt lu chn (theory of choice)

T l bng
kho st
hp l 165/200

Hi quy

Kim nh v khc phc

BNG KHO ST:

CC YU T NH HNG N VIC V QU CA SINH VIN
I HC CNG NGHIP DP L 30/4 - 1/5
Cu hi:
1. Dp l 30/4 1/5 va ri bn c v qu hay khng? ( c/ khng)
2. 2. Khong cch t ni bn sng v hc tp n qu nh ca bn l bao
nhiu?(km)
3. Chi ph cho mt ln v qu ca bn c i ln v ( ph xe c, n ung, qu...)
l bao nhiu?
4. Bn ang l sinh vin nm my?
5. Dp l va ri bn c ngh my ngy? (ngy)
6. Gia nh, bn b c nh hng n quyt nh v qu ca bn? (khng,
khng ng k,c cht cht, nh hng, nh hng ln, rt nh hng)
Chn thnh cm n cc bn ginh thi gian tr li phiu kho st, nhng
thng tin trn ca cc bn s gip chng ti rt nhiu trong vic hon thnh
tiu lun kinh t lng.
Chc cc bn lun thnh cng!

chi ph trung bnh

chi ph cao nht

chi ph thp nht

552,24

5000

10

khong cch trung bnh

khong cch xa nht

khong cch gn nht

668,31

3600

47

thi gian ngh trung bnh

nhiu nht

t nht

4,9

10

kt qu vic v qu

v qu

48%

nh hng t gia nh
bn b
19% 16%
9%
25%
9%
22%

0 im
1 im
2 im
3 im
4 im

52%

li

2% s nm hc

21%

28%

49%

sinh vin nm 1
sinh vin nm 2
sinh vin nm 3
sinh vin nm 4

M HNH TNG QUT

Khong cch

Thi gian ngh

Y = 1 + 2X1 + 3X2 + 4X3+ 5X4 + 6X5

S nm hc
nh hng t gia nh bn b
Chi ph v qu
S la chn v qu ca sinh vin

Coefficientsa
Standardiz
ed

Model
1(Constant)

Unstandardized

Coefficient

95% Confidence

Coefficients

Interval for B

Std. Error

Beta

Sig.

Lower

Upper

Bound

Bound

0.507571

.130

3.910

0.0001

.251

.764

-0.000058

0.000070

-.826

.410

.000

.000

-0.000315

.000

-.382 -3.931

0.0001

.000

.000

0.067875

.020

.232

3.462

0.0007 0.029153

.107

0.040016

.022

0.132446

1.851

.066

-.003 0.082708

-0.074255

0.041585

-.128 -1.786

.076

-.156

chi phi
-.079

khoang cach

anh huong tu gia

dinh ban be
thoi gian nghi

so nam hoc

.008

T bng s liu c x l bng phn mm

SPSS ta c phng trnh:
Y = 0,507571 0.000058X1

0.000315X2 + 0,067875X3
+ 0,040016X4 0,074255X5

Coefficientsa
Standardiz
ed

Model
1(Constant)

Unstandardized

Coefficient

95% Confidence

Coefficients

Interval for B

Std. Error

Beta

Sig.

Lower

Upper

Bound

Bound

0.507571

.130

3.910

0.0001

.251

.764

-0.000058

0.000070

-.826

.410

.000

.000

-0.000315

.000

-.382 -3.931

0.0001

.000

.000

0.067875

.020

.232

3.462

0.0007 0.029153

.107

0.040016

.022

0.132446

1.851

.066

-.003 0.082708

-0.074255

0.041585

-.128 -1.786

.076

-.156

chi phi
-.079

khoang cach

anh huong tu gia

dinh ban be
thoi gian nghi

so nam hoc

.008

KHC PHC - TM M HNH MI

S dng phn mm SPSS loi tr dn tng bin ra

khi m hnh u tin s l bin t lin quan nht.
Loi b bin chi ph
Chi ph

Khong cch

Chi ph

-0.725

Khong cch

-0.725

Coefficientsa
Standard
ized
Unstandardized Coeffici
Coefficients

95% Confidence

ents

Interval for B

Std.
Model

.513

(Constant)

Error

Lower
Beta

.130

0.00036

.000

Sig.

3.963

Loi b bin chi ph

khoang cach

-.441

6.582

Upper

Bound Bound

.000

.257

.769

.000

.000

.000

anh huong tu
gia dinh ban

.067

.020

.230 3.445

.001

.029

.106

.040

.022

.131 1.839

.068

-.003

.082

-.075

.042

.071

-.157

.007

be
thoi gian nghi

Loi b bin thi gian ngh

so nam hoc

-.130

1.816

Coefficientsa
Standar
dized
Unstandardized Coeffici

Coefficients

95% Confidence

ents

Interval for B

Std.
Model

1(Constant)

.656

khoang cach

Error

0.0003
66
anh huong tu
gia dinh ban
be

Loi b bin s nm hc

so nam hoc

Lower Upper

0.0666
72

-.045

Beta

.104
0.00005
5

.020

.038

Sig.

6.283 0.0000

-.444

6.593

0.0000

.228 3.381 0.0009

-.077

1.168

.244

Bound Bound
.450

.862

.000

.000

0.02773
0

-.120

.106

.031

Coefficientsa
Standar
dized

95%

Unstandardized

Coeffic

Confidence

Collinearity

Coefficients

ients

Interval for B

Statistics

Std.
Model
1(Constant)

Error Beta

.576773

.080

khoang cach

Lower Upper Toleran

t
7.25

Sig.

Bound Bound ce

VIF

0.0000 .420

.734

6.63 0.0000 .000

.000

.957

1.044

.106

.957

1.044

4
-

-0.000368 .000 -.447

6
anh huong tu

gia dinh ban

be

.067066

.020 .229

3.39
8

.001

.028

m hnh 1

m hnh 2

m hnh 3

m hnh 4

0.507571

0.513

0.656

0.576773

(0.001)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

-0.000058

-0.000302

(0.41)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

-0.000315

0.67

0.066672

0.067066

(0.0001)

(0.01)

(0.0009)

(0.001)

0.067875

0.4

-0.045

(0.0007)

(0.68)

(0.244)

0.040016

-0.75

(0.006)

(0.71)

-0.074255
(0.076)

-0.000366 -0.000368

V m hnh hp l trong trng hp ny l:

Y = 0,576773 0.000368 X2 + 0,067066 X3
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.001)

THIT LP M HNH MI

Y = 1 + 2X1X2 +3 X3X4 + 4X5

Coefficientsa
Standardiz
ed

Model
1 (Constant)

Unstandardized

Coefficien

95% Confidence

Coefficients

ts

Interval for B

Std. Error

Beta

Sig.

Collinearity Statistics

Lower

Upper

Bound

Bound

Tolerance

VIF

0.529047

.091

5.791

0.00000

.349

.709

-9.978E-8

.000

-.297 -4.204

0.00004

.000

.000

.982

1.019

0.015174

.004

.298 4.167

0.00005

.008

.022

.962

1.040

-0.081101

.041

-.140 -1.971

0.04944

-.162

.000

.978

1.022

X1X2

X3X4

so nam
hoc

T BNG KT XUT TRN TA C M HNH HI QUY

Y = 0.529047 (9.978E-1)X1X2 + 0.015174X3X4 0.081101X5
(0.000)

(0.00004)

(0.00005)

(0.04944)

y l m hnh hi quy y cc bin v cc bin u c

ngha mc ngha 5%, k vng ca cc bin trng khp vi mong
mun m chng ta a ra t u bi.

Sau khi tin hnh hi quy , kim nh, khc phc

tm ra m hnh hp l nht th chng ta c kt
qu sau:
Y = 0.529047 (9.978E-8)X1X2 + 0.015174X3X4 0.081101X5

D BO:
Chi ph tng
=> vic v qu s gim
Thi gian ngh tng
=> vic v qu tng
Hc cng lu
=> kh nng v qu cng gim

CHNH SCH:
Kim sot gi xe trong dp l
u i dnh cho sinh vin
T chc cc hot ng vui chi,
gii tr, cc hot ng x hi cho
sinh vin li
Sinh vin cn ch ng hn trong
vic sp xp thi gian
Tn dng thi c kinh doanh

Trong phn trnh by c tng

cng bao nhiu bn kt xut?

Th t loi b ba bin trong m hnh?