BOP Noiembrie 2010 Prezentare Final English

Barometer of Public
Opinion
November 2010
Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010
16 noiembrie, 2010
Information about the poll
The poll was conducted on site by the Institute for Marketing and Polls
IMAS-INC Chiinu
Amount of the sample: 1 104 people aged 18 and more;
Representativeness: The sample is representative for the adult population
of the Republic of Moldova, with a maximal error of +3.0%
Period of data gathering : October, 17 November, 7, 2010. The
interviews were conducted at the respondents domicile.
The analysis of the sample structure obtained on site revealed the
concordance between the distribution of the population according to the
available statistical data and those obtained, with the admissible statistical
deviation. A difference was remarked within the structure women/men,
women being over-represented, and within age groups, young people aged
18-29 being under-represented.
The results shown below are balanced. The difference between balanced
and non-balanced data does not overpass 1,2% with regard to any
question.
16 noiembrie, 2010
Is our country moving towards a right or a

wrong direction?
DK, 12.00%
NA, 3.10%
The direction is
right, 24.50%
The direction is
wrong, 60.40%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Is our country moving towards a right or a

wrong direction?
90%
82%
79%
67%
66%
64.30%
60%
59%
59%
56%
56%
52%53%
51%
56%
54.60%
53%
53%55%
49%
48%
46%
44%
41%
39%37%
36%
33%31%
33%36%
32%
29%
29%
29% 29.10%
28%
26%28%
21.80%
21%
17%
52%
22%
16%
5%
8%
Fe
b
M .98
ar
A 98
ug
'0
Ja 0
n'
N 01
ov
'0
A 1
pr
'
N 02
ov
M '02
ay
"0
3- 3
N
M ov
ay
'
N 04
ov
'0
Fe 4
bD 05
ec
-0
A 5
pr
-0
6- 6
N
o
7- v
M
a
7- y
N
o
A v
pr
O 08
ct
M 08
ar
-0
9
9J
D ul
ec
10 09
-M
ay
0%
The direction is right
The direction is wrong
16 noiembrie, 2010
Assess the activity of the new Government

(led by Vlad Filat)
Bad, 19.60%
Very bad, 10.50%
Neither good, nor
bad, 34.80%
Very good, 3.50%

Rather good,
20.40%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Assess the activity of the new Government

(led by Vlad Filat)
11%
11%
7%
Very bad
20%
18%
19%
Bad
35%
37%
29%
Neither good, nor bad
20%
20%
24%
Rather good
4%
6%
6%
Very good
0%
10%
9-Nov
20%
10-May
30%
40%
10-Nov
16 noiembrie, 2010
Please state the most important three

achievements of Government led by Vlad Filat?
(total)
12.2
8.2
6.2
4.6
4.2
4.0
2.3
16.0
15.8
Providing aids to victims of flood

Improving the relations with the EU
Improving the relations with neighbour countries
Road renovation
Encouraging foreign investments
Raising the living standards
Liberalisation of visas
Other
No achievements
51.5
DK/NA
0
10
20
30
40
50
16 noiembrie, 2010
60
Please state the most important three failures of

Government led by Vlad Filat?
(total)
High prices for products
9.2
No raise/indexation of pensions and salaries
7.3
Increase of unemployment
6.7
Low salaries
5.2
Increase of corruption
4.7
No houses were built for victims of flood
2.9
The electoral promises were not fulfilled

The problem of the 7th of April 2009 was not
solved
Damanged roads
2.6
2.1
2.0
Other
20.1
No failures
4.5
DK/NA
59.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
16 noiembrie, 2010
70
Assess the present income of your family

70%
60%
It is not enough at least for the essential

It is enough just for the essential
It is enough for a decent living but we cannot afford buying any expensive things
We succeed to buy some expensive things after cutting spending in other areas
We have everything we need, with no restrictions
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
M
ar
A .98
u
g.
Ja 00
n.
N 01
ov
A .01
p
r.
N '02
ov
.0
3- 2
M
N ay
ov
.0
4- 3
M
N a
ov y
.
Fe 04
bD 05
ec
A 05
p
r0
6- 6
N
7- ov
M
N ay
ov
A 07
p
rO 08
ct
M .0 8
ar
.0
9- 9
D Jul
ec
M .09
ay
N .10
ov
.1
0
0%
16 noiembrie, 2010
M
ar
A .98
u
g.
Ja 00
n
N .01
ov
A .01
p
r.
N '02
ov
.
3- 02
M
N ay
ov
.0
4- 3
M
N a
ov y
.
Fe 04
b
D -05
ec
A 05
p
r0
6- 6
N
7- ov
M
a
7- y
N
A ov
p
rO 08
ct
M -08
ar
-0
9- 9
D Ju
ec l
M .09
ay
N .10
ov
.1
0
Assess the present income of your family
100%
Poor

Not poor
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Which is the most important source of

information for you? (two options, total)
Television
87.00%
Radio
34.50%
Internet
20.30%
Friends, neighbours
16.60%
Newspapers
16.00%
Family
10.10%
Job mates
3.90%
Rumours
1.90%
Opinion polls
1.20%
Local government
0.30%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Which TV channels do you get informed from the

oftenest? (two options, total)
Moldova 1
48.30%
Prime TV
46.60%
NIT
28.20%
PRO TV
23.60%
Jurnal TV
8.70%
TV7 (NTV)
6.80%
Publika TV
6.20%
2 Plus
Basis: the
respondents for
whom television is
one of the most
important sources
of information
3.50%
N4
2.60%
STS (CTC)
2.40%
Eu TV
1.20%
Other TV channel
3.20%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Which radio stations do you get informed from the

oftenest? (two options, total)
R a d io M o ld o v a
55.30%
R a d io N o r o c
H it F M
V o c e a B a s a r a b ie i
Radio Sntatea
Antena C/Prime FM
Russkoe Radio
Kiss FM
Pro FM
Europa Plus
Auto Radio
Radio Nova
Other radio station
27.50%
13.50%
13.00%
13.00%
9.10%
8.30%
4.10%
2.40%
2.20%
0.60%
0.30%
7.90%
0%
10%
20%
Basis: the
respondents for
whom radio is one
of the most
important sources
of information
30%
40%
50%
60%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Which institution holds the largest political power in

the Republic of Moldova, in your opinion?
DK/NA, 24.8
Presidency, 17.4
Other, 0.3
All have equal

power, 24.9
Government, 17.1
Parliament, 15.5
16 noiembrie, 2010
Which institution should hold the largest political

power in the Republic of Moldova?
DK/NA, 19.3
None, 0.1
Presidency, 27.1
All should have
equal power, 22.6
Parliament, 17
Government, 13.8
16 noiembrie, 2010
In the Republic of Moldova, judges are appointed

by the President, in other countries-by the people.
What method do you consider as the most
appropriate for the Republic of Moldova?
DK/NA, 17.5
Judges appointed
by the President,
29.9
Judges should be
elected by the
people, 52.6
16 noiembrie, 2010
To what extent does the Orthodox Church of

Moldova get involved in politics, in your opinion?
DK/NA, 22.4
To a very large
extent, 8
No involvement, 7
To a very small
extent, 6.7
To a large extent,
32.8
To a small extent,
23.1
16 noiembrie, 2010
Should the church get involved in politics, in your

opinion?
DK/NA, 7.1
Yes, 12.1
No, 80.8
16 noiembrie, 2010
How many official languages should there be in

the Republic of Moldova?
More than two,

1.3 DK/NA, 3
Two, 38.3
One, 57.4
16 noiembrie, 2010
To what extent do you trust in ?

No trust / Not so much trust / Some trust / Very much trust
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
-41.3%
-30.4%
-23.9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
0.5% 19.9%
-25.6%
80%
100%
Parties
20.0%
1.5%
Trade unions
-33.4%
-31.7%
23.7%
1.4%
Courts
-34.3%
-30.6%
25.5%
3.3%
President
26.9%
2.6%
Parliament
27.8%
1.7%
Police
-29.8%
-35.7%
-32.0%
-31.1%
-14.8%
-24.9%
-25.3%
-31.7%
-28.5%
-34.5%
-20.2%
-16.6%
-9.5%
-27.4%
-22.4%
-24.9%
-11.1% -11.2%
26.1%
3.9%
NGO-s
28.8%
2.2%
Banks
3.3%29.0%
6.6%
8.0%
6.2%
Government
41.3%
Local government
41.2%
Army
50.6%
36.4%
Media
37.3%
Church
16 noiembrie, 2010
Which political personality do you trust in

the most? (open-ended question)
18.2%
V la d F ila t
16.7%
V la d im ir V o r o n in
10.0%
M a r ia n L u p u
4.8%
M ih a i G h im p u
Dorin Chirtoac
2.4%
Other
3.0%
No trust in anybody
18.6%
DK
11.5%
NA
14.9%
16 noiembrie, 2010
To what extent do you trust in the following political

personalities?
-1.6%
-27.4%
-0.3%
-36.2%
-1.8%
-28.6%
-4.4%
-1.4%
-2.6%
-8.4%
-6.2%
-29.3%
-40.0%
-29.2%
-42.3%
-39.8%
-27.2%
-20.4%
-38.6%
14.1%
-25.3%
25.9%
-23.9%
23.9%
-27.3%
-20.8%
-40.9%
-35.6%
-36.9%
-42.6%
-17.6%
-16.7%
-32.9%
17.9%
7.7%
15.7%
11.1%
1.4%
1.0%
Vlad Filat
Vladimir Voronin
Marian Lupu
Dorin Chirtoac
Mihai Ghimpu
Serafim Urechean
Dumitru Diacov
8.3%
0.5%
Iurie Roca
7.2%
0.5%
Vladimir urcan
6.2%
6.4%
-17.9%
6.8%
-13.9%
9.7%
6.9%
-18.7%
-19.8%
14.3%
21.7%
-27.4%
-33.7%
-30.2%
-18.1%
28.9%
-23.1%
-54.4%
-23.1%
-18.5%
1.5%
Vitalia Pavlicenco
0.7%
Sergiu Mocanu
0.1%
Veaceslav Until
6.6%
0.2%
Valeriu Pasat
4.5%
0.3%
Victor elin
-60%
-40%
20%
60%
I-100%
have not-80%
heard about
I No trust
I Not-20%
so much 0%
trust I Some
trust 40%
I Very much
trust
16 noiembrie, 2010
To what extent do you trust in the following political

personalities? (dynamics, BOP)
25.6%
24.6%
M ih a i G h im p u
Nov.
10
25.2%
43.1%
42.5%
V la d F ila t
10May
45.2%
33.3%
35.6%
42.9%
Marian Lupu
Dumitru Diacov
50.6%
35.8%
36.2%
Vladimir Voronin
Serafim Urecheanu
Nov.
09
30.8%
30.0%
Dorin Chirtoac
39.3%
17.1%
16.3%
21.1%
12.1%
10.3%
14.0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Rate of participation - controverses

The polls are conducted on samples extracted
from the population which is EFFECTIVELY
PRESENT in the country! Consequently, the
polls conclusions concern only the population
which is in the country at the time of conducting
the poll!
Rate of participation (CEC) = Number of
participants in the election /Total electors
(percentage).
Rate of participation (poll) = Number of
participants in the election /Total electors
present (!) in the country.
16 noiembrie, 2010
Did you take part in the referendum held on 5th of

September on the modification of the method to
elect the President of the country?
DK/NA, 3.3
No, 38.3
Yes, 58.4
16 noiembrie, 2010
Example
The poll shows a rate of participation of 58.4%;

Number of emigrated people approximately 450 thousand
Total electors on the list 2.6 million
Electors who are effectively present in the country 2.6 million 0.45
million = 2.15 million
Participants in the election according to the poll 2.15 million X 58.4%
= 1.26 million
Rate of participation calculated according to CEC = 1.26 million/2.6
million = 48.3%
Comment: About 18-19% of respondents either said an untruth
(because it is better, in their opinion), or are not aware of what
happens in the country, therefore, the responses to some questions
should be analyzed cautiously, and interpreted!
16 noiembrie, 2010
Will you go to voting, if legislative election is held next

Sunday?
DK/NA
4.00%
I would not go, for sure
4.00%
I would probably not go

I would probably go
I would go, for sure
I would go, I am absolutely
sure
2.50%
12.10%
16.30%
61.10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Example
The poll shows a rate of participation of 77.4%
Number of emigrated people approximately 450
thousand
Total electors on the lists 2.6 million
Electors effectively present in the country 2.6
million 0.45 million = 2.15 million
Participants in the election according to the
survey 2.15 million X 77.4% = 1.66 million
Rate of participation calculated according to
CEC = 1.66 mln/2.6 million = 64%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Will you go to voting, if legislative election is

held next Sunday?
DK/NA
I would not go, for sure
I would probably not go
I would probably go
I would go, for sure
I would go, I am absolutely
sure
Dec-09
10-May
Nov-10
6%
5%
4.00%
4%
6%
4.00%
5%
5%
2.50%
14%
15%
12.10%
20%
20%
16.30%
51%
49%
61.10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Which party would you vote for, if legislative election is

held next Sunday in the Republic of Moldova?
Party of Communists
25.6%
Liberal-Democratic Party
21.4%
Democratic Party
9.9%
Liberal Party
8.6%
National-Liberal Party
0.7%
People's Christian-Democratic Party
0.6%
"Moldova noastra" Alliance
0.5%
"European Action" Movement
0.4%
Humanist Party
0.3%
"Moldova Unita" Party
0.3%
Centrist Union
0.2%
"Pentru neam si tara" Party
0.2%
"Patriotii Moldovei" Party
0.2%
Social-Democratic Party
0.1%
I would not vote
Percentage of the
total sample!
5.1%
DK
NA
0%
17.1%
9.0%
10%
20%
30%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Comment
The poll shows a rate of undecided people of 26.1% (DK + NA)

Number of emigrated people approximately 450 thousand
Total electors on the lists 2.6 million
Electors effectively present in the country 2.6 million 0.45 million =
2.15 million
Undecided according to the poll 2.15 million X 26.1% = 0.56 million
Do not take part in the election, according to the poll 2.15X5.1% =
0.11 million ; undecided plus absent = 0.67 million ; or, this is the
real rate of non-participation, the rest 2.3 million 0.67 million =
1.63 million are the real participants in the election.
Conclusions: there is a myth about the high percentage of
undecided people; the fight is probably given for the electorate of
parties.
16 noiembrie, 2010

Party of Communists
37.1%
31.0%
Democratic Party
14.3%
Liberal Party
12.5%
1.0%
0.9%
0.7%
0.6%
Humanist Party
0.4%
0.4%
Centrist Union
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0%
Percentage from the

sub-sample of
decided respondents
(68.9% of the total
sample)!
10%
20%
30%
40%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Composition of Parliament (scenarios, 1)
Liberal Party, 13
Party of
Communists, 39
Democratic Party,
16
LiberalDemocratic Party,
33
16 noiembrie, 2010

27.7%
Party of Communists
24.6%
Democratic Party
12.1%
Liberal Party
10.5%
0.9%
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Centrist Union
0.1%
0.1%
Humanist Party
0.1%
I would not vote
0.3%
Percentage of the
sub-sample I would
go to voting, I am
absolutely sure, 675
respondents, 61.1%
of the total sample!
DK
NA
0%
13.5%
7.4%
10%
20%
30%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Party of
Communists, 33
Democratic Party,
17
Liberal Party, 14
37
16 noiembrie, 2010

26.2%
Party of Communists
25.6%
Democratic Party
11.7%
Liberal Party
10.2%
0.8%
0.7%
0.6%
"European Action" Party
0.5%
Centrist Union
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
"Moldova unita" Party
0.2%
0.1%
Humanist Party
0.1%
I would not vote
0.2%
Percentage of the
sub-sample I would
go to voting, I am
absolutely sure plus
I would go to voting, I
am sure, 855
respondents!
DK
NA
0%
14.9%
7.5%
10%
20%
30%
16 noiembrie, 2010
Party of
Communists, 35
Democratic Party,
16
Liberal Party, 14
36
16 noiembrie, 2010
THANK YOU!
ANY QUESTIONS?
16 noiembrie, 2010

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Barometer of Public

Information about the poll

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Is our country moving towards a right or a

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Is our country moving towards a right or a

The direction is right

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

The direction is wrong

Assess the activity of the new Government

Very good, 3.50%

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Assess the activity of the new Government

Neither good, nor bad

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Please state the most important three

Providing aids to victims of flood

Please state the most important three failures of

No raise/indexation of pensions and salaries

No houses were built for victims of flood

The electoral promises were not fulfilled

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Assess the present income of your family

It is not enough at least for the essential

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Assess the present income of your family

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Which is the most important source of

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Which TV channels do you get informed from the

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Which radio stations do you get informed from the

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Which institution holds the largest political power in

All have equal

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Which institution should hold the largest political

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

In the Republic of Moldova, judges are appointed

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

To what extent does the Orthodox Church of

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Should the church get involved in politics, in your

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

How many official languages should there be in

More than two,

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

To what extent do you trust in ?

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Which political personality do you trust in

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

To what extent do you trust in the following political

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

To what extent do you trust in the following political

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Rate of participation - controverses

Did you take part in the referendum held on 5th of

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

The poll shows a rate of participation of 58.4%;

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010

Will you go to voting, if legislative election is held next

I would not go, for sure

I would probably not go

Institutul de Politici Publice, 2010