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SECTOR
Objectives
The objective of the project is to analyze three players in the banking industry in India,
namely:
1. HDFC bank : A large cap bank, with highest growth rate for last few years
2. Axis Bank: It is showing a steady growth for the last few years
3. Yes Bank : A smaller bank, newest in the industry but growing rapidly
These would be gauged to take decisions on the following fronts:
1. Short Term Investment
2. Short Term Lending
3. Long Term Investment
4. Long Term Lending
5. Strategic Decision
Ratios Used
Short Term Investment
Risk
Beta
Return
P/BV
PAT Growth
Efficiency
Performance
NII Growth
NIM
EPS
Gross NPA %
Dividend Yield
Cost/ Income
Ratio
Risk
Cash/Deposit Ratio
Funding Volatility Ratio
Strategic Decision
CAR
NPA
Use of Funds
Risk
Return on Assets
Gross NPA %
Loan Growth
Credit/Deposit Ratio
Deposit Growth
CAR
CASA Ratio
Cash to deposit
ratio
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC bank
10.79
8.81
5.46
6.02
6.46
Axis bank
7.07
6.01
5.39
5.97
6.11
Yes bank
6.97
5.69
4.88
5.58
5.92
FVR
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC bank
0.27
0.175
0.194
0.24
0.183
Axis bank
0.275
0.152
0.182
0.223
0.25
Yes bank
0.736
0.485
0.32
0.36
0.359
Return on Assets
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC bank
1.4
1.5
1.7
1.7
1.8
Axis bank
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.6
1.6
Yes bank
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.5
1.5
Credit to deposit
ratio
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC bank
76.02
76.02
80.14
81.79
81.71
Axis bank
74.65
74.65
77.58
80.03
84.71
Yes bank
77.75
77.75
73.2
72.71
79.33
Total Assets
HDFC bank
Axis bank
Yes bank
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
CAR
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC bank
16.22%
16.52%
16.80%
16.07%
16.79%
Axis bank
12.65%
13.66%
17.00%
16.07%
15.09%
Yes bank
16.50%
17.90%
18.30%
14.40%
15.60%
GNPA ratio
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC bank
1.05
1.02
0.97
0.9
Axis bank
1.01
0.94
1.06
1.22
1.34
Yes bank
0.23
0.22
0.2
0.31
0.41
destination for long term lending. Its CAR is also sufficient due to
which it has very less dilution risk. It has shown slower growth than
HDFC in BS sheet size for past some years and would be looking to
speed it up, for which it require long term capital. This makes it an
attractive entity for parking long term funds.
Yes Bank may also be considered for lending, as it has shown very
rapid growth in its profits as well as gross block in the past five
years. It also has a sufficient CAR percentage and very low NPAs as
compared to the other players.
Beta
Present
HDFC bank
0.694
Axis bank
1.31
Yes bank
1.51
P/BV
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC bank
4.3
4.08
4.1
4.13
4.13
Axis bank
3.03
2.08
1.84
8.98
2.97
Yes bank
2.84
2.77
2.65
2.09
2.92
2012
2013
PAT
2011
HDFC bank
3,92,64,009
Axis bank
Yes bank
2014
2015
P/BV
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC bank
4.3
4.08
4.1
4.13
4.13
Axis bank
3.03
2.08
1.84
8.98
2.97
Yes bank
2.84
2.77
2.65
2.09
2.92
NII
HDFC
bank
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
10,54,31,28 12,29,67,73 15,81,11,21 18,48,26,33 22,39,56,69
3
7
5
7
2
11,95,16,33 14,22,41,38
Axis bank 6,56,29,828 8,01,77,450 9,66,62,633
4
2
Yes bank 1,24,69,299 1,61,56,369 2,21,87,899 2,71,62,603 3,48,78,372
Growth
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC bank
16.63%
28.58%
16.90%
21.17%
Axis bank
22.17%
20.56%
23.64%
19.01%
Yes bank
29.57%
37.33%
22.42%
28.41%
NIM
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC
bank
4.2
4.2
4.5
4.4
4.4
Axis bank
3.65
3.59
3.53
3.81
3.92
Yes bank
2.9
2.8
2.9
2.9
3.2
Cost
Income
ratio
HDFC
bank
Axis bank
Yes bank
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
27.43
24.74
25.25
23.18
23.2
22.69
13.83
20.66
12.45
19.45
13.43
19.81
14.41
20.07
16.15
GNPA
ratio
HDFC
bank
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
1.05
1.02
0.97
0.9
Axis bank
1.01
0.94
1.06
1.22
1.34
Yes bank
0.23
0.22
0.2
0.31
0.41
EPS
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
HDFC
bank
81.72
21.32
27.33
34.18
39.13
Axis bank
80.21
100.03
107.59
25.78
30.12
Yes bank
20.53
27.03
35.29
43.5
46.17
Dividend
yield (%)
HDFC
bank
Axis bank
Yes bank
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
165
215
275
342.5
400
140
160
180
200
230
25
40
60
80
90
ROE (%)
HDFC
bank
Axis
bank
Yes bank
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
16.74
18.69
20.34
21.28
19.37
19.34
20.29
18.53
17.43
17.75
21.13
23.07
24.81
25.02
21.33
Margin and C/I Ratio indicating efficiency are impressive. However, low ROE is a
concern but that can be due to expansion. Also, NPAs are relatively higher then
HDFC that are increasing over time.
HDFC bank has high P/BV and it seems to be overvalued at the moment. C/I has
decreased over time but is still higher than other banks. But the growth till now
has been exemplary. At this moment, investor can wait for correction in price and
then invest as it has a diversified portfolio and can give good returns.
Yes Bank is showing very fast growth, with high ROE and NIM and very low
NPAs. The bank has large expansion plans too. Also, P/BV shows undervaluation
of the stock. This makes it a good choice for a person with high risk appetite.
Strategic Decision
CAR
HDFC
bank
Axis bank
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
52.69%
48.40%
47.43%
44.81%
44.03%
15.09%
CASA
HDFC
bank
Axis bank
16.22%
16.52%
16.80%
16.07%
16.79%
12.65%
13.66%
17.00%
16.07%
41.10%
41.54%
44.38%
45.01%
44.78%
Yes bank
16.50%
17.90%
18.30%
14.40%
15.60%
Yes bank
10.34%
15.04%
18.95%
22.03%
23.12%
HDFC Bank
HDFC has a wide network of branches in the country, it has 4,014 branches all over
Axis Bank
With increase in CASA we can see some improvement in NIM as low cost
Yes Bank
Has strong presence in northern and western India; should focus on
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