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Applications in Economics
Game Theory
Game theoryis the study ofmathematical models of conflict
and cooperation between intelligent rational decision-makers.
Game theory is mainly used in economics,political science,
andpsychology, as well aslogic,computer science,biology
andpoker.
Originally, it addressedzero-sum games, in which one person's
gains result in losses for the other participants.
Game theory considers situations where agents (households or
firms) make decisions as strategic reactions to other agents
actions.
Game Theory
One of the most general problems in economies is outguessing
a rival.
For example, a firm seeks to determine its rivals most profitable
counterstrategy to its own current policy.
Game theory provides an avenue for economists to investigate
and develop descriptions of strategic interaction of agents.
Theory emphasizes study of rational decision-making based
on assumption that agents attempt to maximize utility.
The Game
A game-theory model is composed of
a set of players.
the payoffs to each player for every possible list of strategy choices
by the players.
(30,1)
C (1,30)
(10,10)
S
Bonnie
(5,5)
(30,1)
C (1,30)
(10,10)
(5,5)
(30,1)
C (1,30)
(10,10)
(5,5)
(30,1)
C (1,30)
(10,10)
But wait !!
They can do better, cant they. What happens if both
remain silent.
Each will serve a sentence of 5 years which is
definitely better than the situation of Nashs
equilibrium in which both serve a sentence of 10
years. Hence the equilibrium is inefficient.
This is a simultaneous game. But what if it was
sequential?
This illustrates situation, common in economics, where
cooperation (not confessing) can improve welfare of all
players.
Nash Equilibrium
Crispy Nikki
Boosts
production to 2
million
Co-operation
In general, agents attempt to cooperate
Agents defecting from cooperative agreements are
usually not observed in societies
Agents often instead cooperate, motivated by feelings of
solidarity or altruism
In business agreements, defection is relatively rare.
One can ensure the co-operation of other individual in two
ways:
By repeating the game infinite times.
Or playing tit for tat, or the grim strategy.
Preemption Games
Market niches
Threats
Firm 1 could threaten firm 2 by stating it will
produce the product regardless of what firm 2
does.
Consider two competing firms advertising
Boeing
Develop SuperJumbo
Stay Out
Airbus
Develop SuperJumbo
-100A,-100B
500A,0B
Stay Out
0A, 500B
0A,0B
Boeing
Develop SuperJumbo
Stay Out
Airbus
Develop SuperJumbo
-100A, 10B
500A,0B
Stay Out
0A, 610B
0A,0B
Conclusion
A powerful tool, BUT
outcomes are very sensitive to the protocols
there may be many equilibria
sometimes players commonsense tells them what to do despite multiple
equilibria
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