Professional Documents
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Interest Rate Risk, Bonds and Immunization-S
Interest Rate Risk, Bonds and Immunization-S
Money market
Government Bonds, US T-Bills
Municipal Bonds
Corporate Bonds
FIXED-INCOME
SECURITIES
BONDS
Coupon payment .
Face value.
Time to maturity.
EXAMPLE:
EXAMPLE:
6 mo. 12 mo.
mo.
Rs 450 Rs 450
10,450
18 mo. .. 54 mo.
Rs 450
Rs 450
60
Rs
Reinvestment Risk
Capital Gains Risk (Price Risk)
REINVESTMENT RISK?
REINVESTMENT RISK?
MATCHING CASH
FLOWS
PRICE-YIELD
RELATIONSHIP
Yield Implied interest rate of the
bond
Also known as Yield to Maturity (YTM).
Let,
P : Price of Bond
F : Face value of Bond
C : Coupon Payment per year.
: yield to maturity
PRICE-YIELD
RELATIONSHIP
F
P
n
[1 ( / m)]
C/m
k
k 1 [1 ( / m)]
or
F
C
1
P
n
n
[1 ( / m)]
[1 ( / m)]
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
30000
Price
PRICE-YIELD CURVES
Price Yield Curves
60000
50000
40000
20000
10000
20.00%
19.00%
18.00%
17.00%
16.00%
15.00%
14.00%
13.00%
12.00%
11.00%
10.00%
9.00%
8.00%
7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
Yield
30000
20000
Price
PRICE-YIELD
RELATIONSHIPS
60000
40000
10000
20.00%
19.00%
18.00%
17.00%
16.00%
15.00%
14.00%
13.00%
12.00%
11.00%
10.00%
9.00%
8.00%
7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
Yield
PRICE-YIELD
RELATIONSHIPS
Convexity Price decreases at a
60000 decreasing rate with increasing Yield.
50000
Price
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
20.00%
19.00%
18.00%
17.00%
16.00%
15.00%
14.00%
13.00%
12.00%
11.00%
10.00%
9.00%
8.00%
7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
Yield
PRICE-YIELD
RELATIONSHIPS
60000
50000
Price
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
20.00%
19.00%
18.00%
17.00%
16.00%
15.00%
14.00%
13.00%
12.00%
11.00%
10.00%
9.00%
8.00%
7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
Yield
PRICE-YIELD
SENSITIVITY
45000
40000
35000
30000
Price
3
25000
10
20000
20
30
15000
10000
5000
0
Yield
DURATION
MACAULAY DURATION
n
( k / m)c
/[1 ( / m)]
k 1
PV
where
PV
c
k 1
/[1 ( / m)]
DURATION
d PVk
dP
.
d k 1 d
DURATION
Since,
ck
PVk
k
[1 ( / m)]
therefore
dPVk
( k / m)c k
k 1
d
[1 ( / m)]
DURATION
Therefore,
d PVk
dP
d k 1 d
(k / m) PVk
1
DP
1 ( / m )
k 1 [1 ( / m)]
FIRST ORDER
APPROXIMATION
Therefore,
dP
DM P
d
P DM P
DURATION OF
PORTFOLIO
Pi : Total Value of the ith security.
Di : Duration of the ith security.
Value of Portfolio:
P = P1 + P2 +Pm.
Duration of Portfolio:
D = w1D1 + w2D2 + .wmDm,
CONVEXITY
d P
C
P
2
d
CONVEXITY
Therefore,
1
C
P
d PVk
2
k 1 d
2
P[1 ( / m)]
ck
k (k 1)
2
k
m
[1 ( / m)]
k 1
CONVEXITY
Convexity is proportional to the
weighted average of tktk+1.
1
C
2
P[1 ( / m)]
k (k 1)
PV
k
2
m
k 1
CONVEXITY OF
PORTFOLIO
Convexity of Portfolio:
C = w1C1 + w2C2 + .wmCm,
where, wi = Pi/P for i = 1,..,m.
SECOND ORDER
APPROXIMATION
PC
2
P DM P
( )
2