Credit migration refers to changes in the credit quality or rating of debt instruments like loans or bonds over time. Credit migration risk is the risk that the overall credit quality of a portfolio will deteriorate, without allowing for adjustments to compensation for the increased default risk. For example, in a student loan portfolio without prepayment penalties, the portfolio becomes exposed over time to retaining a greater proportion of higher-risk loans, without being able to increase interest rates to account for the higher default risk. Credit migration risk also affects corporate bonds - if a bond receives a downgrade in its credit rating, its price often declines due to changed investor perceptions of its riskiness, even if the downgrade does not directly cause the price change.
Credit migration refers to changes in the credit quality or rating of debt instruments like loans or bonds over time. Credit migration risk is the risk that the overall credit quality of a portfolio will deteriorate, without allowing for adjustments to compensation for the increased default risk. For example, in a student loan portfolio without prepayment penalties, the portfolio becomes exposed over time to retaining a greater proportion of higher-risk loans, without being able to increase interest rates to account for the higher default risk. Credit migration risk also affects corporate bonds - if a bond receives a downgrade in its credit rating, its price often declines due to changed investor perceptions of its riskiness, even if the downgrade does not directly cause the price change.
Credit migration refers to changes in the credit quality or rating of debt instruments like loans or bonds over time. Credit migration risk is the risk that the overall credit quality of a portfolio will deteriorate, without allowing for adjustments to compensation for the increased default risk. For example, in a student loan portfolio without prepayment penalties, the portfolio becomes exposed over time to retaining a greater proportion of higher-risk loans, without being able to increase interest rates to account for the higher default risk. Credit migration risk also affects corporate bonds - if a bond receives a downgrade in its credit rating, its price often declines due to changed investor perceptions of its riskiness, even if the downgrade does not directly cause the price change.
portfolio's credit quality will materially deteriorate over time without allowing a re pricing of the constituent loans to compensate the creditor for the now higher default risk being undertaken. EXAMPLE
credit migration risk in Student Loan
Portfolios: When prepayment penalties are not imposed, a long-dated student loan portfolio is exposed to the risk of retaining a greater proportion of poor credits as time unfolds than was anticipated at origination. And because spreads are inflexible after origination, the creditor may no longer be fairly compensated for default risk. Cr ed it R atin g R is k Af fec ts C or por ate Bo nd s
CREDIT MIGRATION risk describes the risk
of the potential for direct loss due to internal/ external ratings downgrade or upgrade as well as the potential indirect losses that may arise from a credit migration event, also referred to as credit-rating risk or downgrade risk. The key here is what investors perceive. For example, many times when a corporate bond has its credit rating lowered, its price will go down as well. The reality is, however, that its not the credit rating going down that directly lowers the price. Instead, its the perceived value of that bond in the minds of investors that is responsible for the price drop. So there is more to it than simply the credit rating as that is only one of the things investors take into account when determining the price of a corporate bond. This also means that the price of a bond can also go down before an interest rate drop. The price of a bond can also decline because of other investor concerns. Likewise, any raise in the interest rate of a bond may also lead to the bonds price going up. THANK YOU