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BT Thong Ke Kinh Te
BT Thong Ke Kinh Te
BI 8
bi :Cng ty ngoi thng X cn kim tra t l
khng t tiu chun cht lng l hng 1500000
hp hoa qu xut khu. Hy xc nh s mu
cn la chn iu tra thc t, bit rng yu cu
chnh xc ca ti liu suy rng l:
- Phm vi sai s khng vt qu 0,5%
- Trnh tin cy ca ti liu vi xc sut 0,954 v
ti liu lch s cn cho bit thm: T l khng t
tiu chun trong cc cuc iu tra ln trc l
1,999%; 2%;1,889%. iu kin sn xut khng c
g thay i so vi cc cuc iu tra ln trc.
BI GII :
Theo bi ta c N=1500000
Phm vi sai s khi suy rng kt qu l p =0.005
Trnh tin cy 0.954 t 2
p 0.005
Ta c: p p .t p 0.0025
t 2
Gi n l biu s mu la chn kim tra thc t.
p dng CT: f (1 f ) n
p . 1
n N
Vi (*)
f (1 f ) n
p 0.0025 1 6.25.106
n N
Vi f=1.999%.Thay vo (*) ta c :
0.01959 1500000 n
6.25.106 29385 0.01959n 9.375n
1500000.n
n 3128
Vi f=2%
Thay vo (*) ta c:
0.019599 1500000 n 6
6.25.10
1500000n
29400 0.0196 9.375n
n 3129
Vi f = 1.889%
Thay vo (*) ta c :
0.01889 1 0.01889 1500000 n 6
6.25.10
n 1500000
0.01853 1500000 n 9.375n
27795 0.01853n 9.375n
n 2959
Phn t im gt theo S im gt
nng sut
kg
0.99-1.05 10
1.05-1.11 15
1.11-1.17 35
1.17-1.23 75
1.23-1.29 55
1.29-1.35 10
Theo bi ta c
Gi n l s n v tng th mu :n=200 ( im gt )
200 10000
N= 500.000 (im gt )
4
t
C 0.954 t 2
Gi x l nng sut bnh qun ca 200
im gt .
1.02 1.194 10 1.08 1.194 15 1.14 1.194 35 1.2 1.194 75 (1.26 1.194)2 55 (1.32 1.194)2 10
2 2 2 2
200
3
5.004 10
Thay vo ta c sai s trung bnh chn mu
2
n
x 1
n N
x
5.004 103 1 200
200 500000
5.001103
c: x t x x 2 5.00110 0.01
3
1.184 X 1.204
Sn lng la v ma ca hp tc x (Q)
592000 Q 602000
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