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Natural Gas - Roll No 9187 B
Natural Gas - Roll No 9187 B
Natural Gas - Roll No 9187 B
1 http://business.mapsofindia.com/india-gdp/industries/oil-natural-gas.html
Natural Gas Industry in India
GDP-Highlights
In 2009-10, the demand for natural gas is expected to be
225 million metric standard cubic meters per day (mmscmd)
According to a recent Mckinsey report, Gas in 2020: A
Perspective, “Demand for gas in India would surge by 9-
10% annually to about 115 to 135 billion cubic meter
(BCM) by 2020.”
Indian petroleum demand depends highly on import of oil
and natural gas.
The area of interest for the Indian Oil and Natural Gas
Industry is to search for petroleum in both offshore and
onshore blocks
Indian Energy Demand Scenario
Gas
Total Energy
Hydro Nuclear Coal
Year Oil (MTOE) Consumption in
(MTOE) (MTOE) (MTOE) (MTOE) BCM
MTOE
2007-08 11 4.4 216 140 40 33 410
2011-12 12 17 257 166 44 49 496
2016-17 18 31 338 214 64 71 665
2021-22 23 45 464 278 97 108 907
2026-27 29 71 622 365 135 150 1222
2031-32 35 98 835 486 197 219 1651
% Growth
Source: 6% Energy Policy,
Integrated 11%of the Gov., August
6% 2006 5% 7% 7.2
Assumptions: (1) GDP growth assumed to be 9% (2) Population growth assumed to be 1.1% (3) Includes only commercial energy requirements
10
Natural Gas Consumption in India
Summary of Natural Gas Study
Electricity Sector
Sector Scenarios
Demand Driver Current Condition Plausible Future Scenarios
Most plants have access to cheap Cheap gas supplies decline and gas
Price and availability of gas
government-regulated gas prices move to market levels
Asia Pacific 84.2 90.4 90.2 88.7 90.7 104.6 115.3 92.1
Europe 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1
Middle East 76.9 94.5 98.1 98.1 98.1 98.3 98.3 98.3
North Africa 31.3 31.3 31.9 35.0 36.4 41.4 42.8 42.8
North America 0.8 0.2 - - - - - -
South America 16.2 18.7 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 16.2 9.4
West Africa 21.7 23.8 25.0 27.9 30.1 30.3 29.7 24.6
Total: 235.2 263.0 268.6 273.2 278.7 298.1 306.3 271.2
LNG Demand
Region 2,010.0 2,011.0 2,012.0 2,013.0 2,014.0 2,015.0 2,020.0 2,025.0
Asia Pacific 122.1 132.2 141.9 145.9 156.3 168.1 186.6 227.5
Europe 60.4 69.4 71.2 72.2 75.3 81.1 148.1 169.0
North America 34.6 44.8 43.6 39.3 26.9 26.0 20.7 17.3
South & East Africa - - - 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
South America 3.2 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.4 5.5 5.9
Total: 220.2 250.4 260.9 261.8 263.2 279.9 361.3 420.2
Surplus/Deficit 15.0 12.6 7.7 11.4 15.5 18.2 (55.0) (149.0)
Source: Wood Mackenzie 19
Conclusions
Demand size and uncertainty could influence supply
infrastructure decisions.
Gas demand is highly dependent on policies outside
the gas sector.
The electricity mix in India is unlikely to change
dramatically
Coal sector reform may undercut climate change
objectives
Non-climate policies could have a large impact on
carbon emissions
Bibliography
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page
http://petroleum.nic.in/
http://www.indiaenergyportal.org/overview_detail.php
http://www.financialexpress.com/news/natural-gas-
could-keep-indias-growth-engines-running/488199/
http://pesd.stanford.edu
http://business.mapsofindia.com/india-
gdp/industries/oil-natural-gas.html
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/i
ndicators/Manufacturing-helps-GDP-grow-74-in-
FY10/articleshow/5996613.cms