Professional Documents
Culture Documents
HEALTH
OF SURVIVORS IN UKRAINE
IN 20-YEARS DYNAMICS
AFTER
THE CHERNOBYL
CATASTROPHE
%
Волинська
20
Житомирська
Київська
15
17,1 Рівненська
Черниговская
10 15,1
5 8,3
2,0 3,2
0
Population health
in Ukraine
Data of Ministry of Health
Long-term screening separated the survivors into the following categories
subject for prolonged monitoring:
1-liquidators of the accident, especially people who took part in the liquidation of the
consequences of the accident in 1986-87 and those who were removed from the
highest risk zones of first-priority;
2-persons evacuated in 1986 and relocated during the next 20 years from the
evacuation zones and the first-priority relocation zones;
3-people living on the radioactively polluted territories with significant density of
cesium-137, strontium-90, plutonium in the soil;
4-people born from irradiated parents (liquidators of the accident evacuated
and relocated people).
5-Risk groups also include persons irradiated in utero and those with thyroid
irradiated by radioisotopes of iodine at the age of 0-18 years at the time of the
accident.
Dynamics of the total number of survivors -1997-2006yy.
1 493 195
17
16
15
14
рождаемос ть
с мертнос ть
13
12
11
10
8
1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006
22 на 1000
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
Роки
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
1 група обліку 2 група обліку 3 група обліку 4 група обліку
Dynamics of collective dose of radiation exposure and
mortality of irradiated people and all people in Ukraine.
.
Смертність, х1000 КД
22 100
20
18 80
16
14 60
12
10 40
8
6
4 20
2
0 0
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Роки
Колективна доза опромінення (КД)
Смертність постраждалого населення
Смертність населення
Chernobyl catastrophe health
effects
Stochastic effects
1. Thyroid
Children from 17.3 thousand communities (60% from all communities of Ukraine)
had an excess of irradiation dose rate limits to thyroid ( dose on thyroid more 50 mGy)
Number of thyroid cases in children and adolescents (0-18 years old at
the time of the Chernobyl accident.).
400 370
359
350
350 15-18 331
0-14 284
85 92
300 105
88
251 249
250 67
192 197 81 69
200 183
147 54 61
150 129 66
118 274 278
43 243 245
46 217
100 35
62 69 170 180
138 136
50 37 20 23 104 117
25 22 83 83
19 13
14 11 42 46
11 24
0 8 11 11
86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04
Thyroid cancer in Children born before accident, after
accident (I. Komissarenko, 2005).
120 113
105
100 95
1970-1989 y. 91 1990-2005y.
94
295 (10) patients 80
81
3124 (560) patients
73
60 58
54
48
41
40
33
21 21
20 15
12 1313
7 8
4 4
11 3 32 11 12 2 2
0
600 588
549
420 452
422 400
400 368
323 377
355
300 306
249
237 238
200 212 191 228
111
100 79
28 45
21
Доброкачественные Злокачественные
Cancer thyroid in adults
45
А Середня поглинута Liquidators cancer increasing by 9-
Стандартизовані показники на
40 еквівалентна доза
35
30
зовнішнього
опромінення всього
fold (for female- by 13-fold);
тіла 50-200 мЗв
25
Amongst evacuees – by 6-fold;
100000 осіб
20
15
10 Among residents of radioactive-
5
0
contaminated territories – by 4.1-
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
fold.
Населення України УЛНА
(Source – National Report of Ukraine, 2006)
50 14
В Середня поглинута еквівалентна доза С
Стандартизовані показники на
Стандартизовані показники на
12
10
0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
5
Dynamics of thyroid cancer incidence rate
in Ukraine, Kiev, Zhytomir regions, Kiev
4 city and the territories most heavily
contaminated with radionuclides
3
in 1980-2004.
2
0
Age-standardized average annual thyroid
1962-
1969- Females
cancer incidence rates in Ukraine in separate
1964
1972 1977-
1979 1989-
1993-
Males time periods (males and females)
1992 1997-
1996 2001-
2000 2004
INDICIES OF NEUROONCOLOGIC MORBIDITY
DYNAMICS AMONG YANGER CHILDREN IN
UKRAINE
The pre-Chernobyl period (1981-1985) –
49 cases.
100
количество наблюдений
1986-1990 - 75 cases (1,9 -fold increase);
10
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
growth. количество больных
To account a decrease in birth rate
and natural reduction of absolute quantity
of children, the growth of average index 5,8 80
70
4
98
99
99
00
00
-1
-1
-1
-2
-2
81
86
91
96
01
19
19
19
19
20
children aged under 3 years. злокачественные доброкачественные
LEUKEMIA IN UKRAINE!
What we know?
The preliminary analysis of infant leukaemia incidence in Kyiv city
after Chernobyl within 1986-1997 period showed also an increase in
acute myeloid leukaemia and B-cell acute lymphoblast leukaemia
[Gluzman et al., 1999].
30
25
Relative frequency, %
20
Clean-up workers
15
General population
10
0
Chronic Multiple Large Non- Chronic
lymphocytic myeloma granular Hodgkin's myelogenous
leukemia lymphocytic lymphoma in leukemia
leukemia leukemization
phase
Lymphoma (ICD-9 200-203) incidence rates in the districts
most heavily contaminated with radionuclides.
NOTE
Tumour site Sex Period (age standardised rate Rate ratio 2/1
(code ICD-9) standard error) (95% CI)
1980-1990 (1) 1991-1999 (2)
All solid cancers (140-203) Males+females 160.83 2.12 186.71 3.17 1.12 - 1.22
Buccal cavity, pharynx Males+females 10.48 0.54 12.08 0.77 0.98 - 1.36
(140-149)
Digestive system (150-159) Males+females 47.80 1.12 51.14 1.55 0.99 - 1.15
Respiratory system (160- Males+females 25.63 0.83 27.21 1.12 0.96 - 1.18
165)
Skin (172, 173) Males+females 15.49 0.63 14.71 0.80 0.83 - 1.08
Breast (174) Females 16.82 0.97 25.31 1.67 1.25 - 1.81
Female genital organs Females 20.83 1.06 20.21 1.59 0.81 - 1.16
(180-184)
Prostate (185) Males 7.59 0.70 10.90 0.99 1.11 - 1.86
Bladder (188) Males 8.68 0.76 9.35 0.95 0.83 - 1.40
Brain (191) Males+females 3.40 0.36 4.11 0.63 0.83 - 1.77
Thyroid (193) Males+females 1.70 0.24 6.69 0.76 2.56 - 6.07
Lymphoma (200-203) Males+females 4.86 0.43 6.52 0.71 1.01 - 1.79
Prostate cancer (ICD-9 185) incidence rates in the districts
most heavily contaminated with radionuclides.
According to international evaluation, prostate cancer does not belong to
radiosensitive form of cancer. Study prostate cancer incidence rate grew
up rapidly in 1987 and since then was much higher than in pre-accidental
period. (FGI ,2004)
Breast cancer (ICD-9 174) incidence rates in the districts
most heavily contaminated with radionuclides.
Close attention should be drawn to breast cancer. After six or
seven years of a stable level of breast cancer incidence rate
(with small fluctuations) a sharp increase has been observed
since 1992. This form of cancer belongs to radiosensitive form
of malignancies and needs close attention in the future.
50,00
45,00
Contaminated areas:
35,00 1980-1989: 0.06 ± 0.38
1990-1999: 1.06 ± 0.19
1980-1999: 0.78 ± 0.18
30,00
25,00
20,00
15,00
10,00
5,00
-
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Other malignant tumor morbidity: all tumors in
liquidators and evacuees people
250
Because of different latency period of
Стандартизовані показники на
A Доза не встановлена
200
radiogenic forms of cancer there have to be
100000 населення
150
drawn close attention to cancer of breast,
100
50
lung, esophagus, stomach, bowl, ovary,
0 lymphomas (multiple myeloma) etc.
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
350 В
300
100000 населення
250
200
150
100 Середня поглинута еквівалентна доза
50 зовнішнього опромінення 10-30 мЗв 50-200 Зв
0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
4
Частота, %
3
1 Середня частота
Хромосомний тип
0 Нестабільні маркери
1 2 Стабільні маркери
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
18
The cytogenetic examination
show the higher of aberrant Частота
8 Частота
стабильных
6 аберраций
4
0 100 200 300 400
The doses of red Эквивалентная доза на красный костный мозг, мЗв
bone morrow
10—376 mSv
The frequency of chromosome aberrations in lymphocytes of periphery blood of
children, which were exposed in utero (group 1) and living in radionuclide
pollution territories (group 2) (M m)
Types of chromosome Group 1 Group 2
aberrations n=8, (1600 metaphases) n=8, (1600 metaphases)
Frequency (%) Frequency (%)
Translocations 0,37 0,10 0,18 0,10
Deletions 1,25 0,30 0,68 0,20
Inversions 0,31 0,10 0,12 0,07
Dicentric 0,06 0,05 0,06 0,05
Circles 0,12 0,07 0
Insertions 0,31 0,12 0
Pare fragments 0,06 0,05 0,18 0,10
Single fragments 0,12 0,07 0,06 0,05
It was testified that after irradiation in utero children, investigated in 14-16 years age,
accumulated the cell clones with specific types of cytogenetic anomalies (which did not lead
to cell death, such as inversions, inserts, reciprocal translocations). It allows to suppose that
in future we can meet with the reproductive problems in children, which were born after 1986
y and obtained low doses of ionizing radiation in utero. This process can complicate the
forming of gametal cells ( the meiosis).
An increased frequency rate of chromosome
aberrations was found in children who had been
exposed to combined 131 I and 137 Cs radiation.
The influence of thyroid pathology on induction of
chromosome non-stability in human somatic sells
was demonstrated.
A deferred cytogenetic effects has been found in
successive cell generations in the progeny of
irradiated parents proving for real transmission
of chromosome non- stability.
(National Report of Ukraine, 2006)
Where’s mutants!
Later 20 years after Chernobyl catastrophe the experimental
investigations in 30-km zone and numerous investigations in humans
permit to make the follow unfavorable conclusions:
the main problem of habitants of ecologic naturally changes is not
in received dose of irradiation, but in their newness;
the main population consequences there not in the decreasing of
mutants, but pauperization of genetic found: from reproduction
go out the genes what it is responsible for sensibility of organisms
to new radioecological conditions. So, survive the individuals with
the least specialized genotypes.
The mutants did not born!
Because first of all maybe the gametes don’t develop into from
defective pre meiosis cells, or the embryos are eliminating on early
stage of development, or its not able to implantation.
The contribution of Chernobyl accident in changes of humans
gene found should be estimated through several years because the
generation what was born after accident only now start in
reproductive period.
The risk of spontaneous abortion, cumulative year dose
and fact of residing on contaminated territories.
OR ДІ OR ДІ
Dose 1,36 1,14-1,63 1,23 1,00-1,53
Up to 5,0mSv 1,33 1,09-1,63 1,22 0,96-1,55
5,0mSv and more 1,42 1,10-1,83 1,26 0,94-1,70
Countries
2006
UKRAINE 268 815-?
Belarus 200 000 -?
Russian Federation 200 000 -?
Armenia 2200
Azerbaijan 6000
Georgia 2000
Kazakhstan 30000
Kyrgyzstan 1810
Latvia 5020
Lithuania 7124
Moldova 4500
Uzbekistan 10000
Tajikistan 2150
Turkmenistan 2000
Estonia 3000
Israel 1056
USA 4000 ?
Liquidators DOSIMETRY
Doses of radiation to which liquidators and emergency
clean-up workers were subjected are in the average
0
/00
* - достоверность различия в сравнении с контрольной группой 4246
4500
3736
4000
* *
3500
2617
3000
* 3085±260
2500
2039,9±180 3060±142
2000 1347
1500 1999±111
1548,4±162,9
1000
1415.8±103
500
0
КГБ, МВД 1985 г. 1987 - 1995 1996 - 2004 Уровень 2004 г.
I период II период
796,6
800
700
ВС-УЛА на ЧАЕС 762,3
638,7
600
430,7
400 411,6
333,3 338,6 310,3 383,9 y = 27,851x + 125,24
321,8 324,6 410,4
386,7 R2 = 0,8916
300 240,0
314,4
253,3 270,0
302,0
283,1 Контрольна група
200 263,9
206,4 212,8
195,3
100
0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
роки
Prevalence of psychological disorders in liquidators
(2005, FGI project)
40 % 90
35 80
30 80,5
25 70
Liquidators
20 60
15 Ukrainian
10 population 50
5 40
0
All mental Depression 30
disorders
20
22,4
21,4 20,4
10
0
<0,25 Зв >0,25 Зв SIP - вхідний Україна
контроль (ВООЗ)
600
8
7
500
6
Frequency
RR
400
5
300 4
200
3
2
100
1
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700
0
Total dose, mSv
<8,9 8,9~11 11~18,7 18,7~24 >24
Доза
Distribution of irradiation dose ratio
The risk of cataract development in liquidators
(UACOS) in liquidators. Dose cGy and age (< 40, 40-55, >55 old)
350
% фізіологічної вігітності
Evacuees and Resettled
survivors
164 700 thousand- 52 000
families in 2006 INCIDENCE
and PREVALENCE
The evacuated adult population disability
indices since 1988 to 2003 increased from
4,6% to 103,4%.
National Report, Ukraine 2006
‰ 4000
3000
2000
1000
0
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Роки
Захворюваність Поширеність
25
20
15
10
0
<0,2 0,3-0,75 0,75-2,0 >2,0
(Stepanova E.I., 2006)
Children irradiated in utero.
Thyroid Dose exposure – in the range 0,1 - 28,5 Gy (I-131,132,129, );
Dose of hole-body irradiation - 5,0 - 376,0 mSv due to external
gamma –radiation and internal radiation ( Cs -137 and Sr-90).
Especially high are the doses to the fetal thyroid. There were children from Pripyat (33.8%)
who had been exposed in utero to thyroid doses >1 Sv; (13.2%) received in utero fetal doses
of >100 mSv.( Nyagu A.I., Stepanova E.I., Repin V.S. and all.,2000, 2004)
4,80%
0,10% Внешнее гамма
облучение
2,30% Облучение
щитовидной железы
Внутреннее облучение
от Cs-137
Внутреннее облучение
от Sr-90
92,80%
Distribution of children by periods of
cerebrogenesis at the time of explosion
(April 26th, 1986)
% Exposed group
40 in Pripyat
(n=154) P>0.05
35 Comparison
group from Kiev P>0.05
(n=143)
30
P<0.01
25 In exposed group there
P>0.05 are less children who
20 were at the earliest
stages of prenatal
15 development (0–7
weeks after
10 conception) that could
be explained with
5 abortions and
0–7 8–15 16–25 26+ miscarriages due to
Weeks after fertilisation the Chernobyl accident
Dose on embryo and foetus distribution
(ICRP-88)
20–40
40–60
60–80
10.4–20
80–100
100–120
140–160
160–180
180–200
200–220
220–240
240–260
260–269.2
Dose range, mSv
0–200
201–400
401–600
601–800
801–1000
1001–1200
1201–1400
1401–1600
1601–1800
1801–2000
2001–2200
2201–2400
2401–2600
2601–2800
2801–3000
3001–3200
3201–3210.5
600
Dose range, mSv
200
0,4 40,9
According to the model by ICRP-88 0
there is a strong influence of gestational 0–7 8–15 16–25 26+
age on the thyroid doses in utero: later Weeks of gestation
intrauterine period at the time of exposure —
higher the thyroid doses in utero
Intelligence of children (WISC)
Full scale IQ
120 There are significant (P<0.001) differences
on intelligence of exposed children:
118
a lower total IQ due to a lower verbal IQ
116 and a higher rate of disharmonic intellect
than unexposed children.
114 A radioneuroembriological effects has been
identified for cases intrauterine exposes on
112 the 8th and later weeks of gestation with
110 exposure of the embryo and fetus to more
20mSv and doses of thyroid gland in utero
108 more 300mSv.
Exposed group Comparison
in Pripyat group from Kiev
(n=140) (n=136)
Diseases of Nervous System (G) and Mental and Behavioral
Disorders (F)according to the ICD-10 in children.
Prenatally exposed children have more neuropsychiatric disorders than the
control children from Kiev for the following categories: 1) paroxysmal states;
2) organic mental disorders; 3) neurotic, stress-related and somatoform
disorders; 4) disorders of psychological development; 5) childhood behavioural
and emotional disorders.
% Exposed group
% 60 in Pripyat
90 P<0.001 P<0.001 (n=154)
Exposed group
80 Comparison
in Pripyat 50 P<0.01 group from Kiev
(n=154)
70 (n=143)
Comparison
group from Kiev 40
60
(n=143)
50 30 P>0.05
40 P<0.001
P<0.05
20
30
20 10 P<0.01
P<0.01 P>0.05
10 P<0.05 P>0.05 P>0.05 P<0.05 P>0.05
0 0
Healthy F06 & F07 F40–F48 F51 F70 F80–F89 F90–F98
Healthy G40 G43 G44 G47 G80 G90
(assumed)
Mother’s stress events
16 Mothers of children evacuated from Pripyat
14 experienced much more (P<0.001)
12 real stress events
(evacuation, lack of
10 information about relatives, migration,
8 difficulties of medical care, etc.)
6 There is a significant (P<0.001) mental health
4 problems in mothers of children evacuated from
Pripyat: PTSD (0,001)
2
Depression (0,001)
0
Exposed group Comparison Somatoform disorders (0,001)
in Pripyat group from Kiev anxiety, insomnia (0,001)
(n=136) (n=62)
Social dysfunction (0,04)
Severe depression(0,01)
Children born by exposed parents
also demonstrate poor health.
The number of healthy children is 2,5-9,2%
(control group - 18,6-24,6%). This cohort is
characterized by a retardation of biological
age, immunity disorders, more often
manifest external disembriogenetic
stigmata, minor malformations of internal
organs and congenital malformations,
enhanced mutations processes both in
indicator cells and target cells. National Report, 2006
There is a continuous increase in the following changes in the
state of health of children in various cohorts under observation:
- among children who were born to Chernobyl liquidators there
has been an increase in the incidence of illnesses of the central nervous system,
congenital birth defects and rare forms of genetic anomalies;
- among children who were exposed during the period of intra-uterine gestation, there is
a high risk of developing chronic somatic pathologies, disorders of the thyroid gland,
pathologies of bone and cartilage, psychological disorders and the development of tumors;
- among those who were children or adolescents at the time of Chernobyl accident and
subjected to combined exposure to cesium and iodine there have been registered the
highest risk of tumors and other illnesses of the thyroid gland.
-Experts predict a further increase in pathologies of the thyroid, which will make a
robust contribution to the deterioration of the general health of affected populations,
and the disruption of reproductive health of young women;