The Demographic

Transition
 Demographic Transition

The demographic transition theory is a

generalized description of the changing
pattern of mortality, fertility and
growth rates as societies move from
one demographic regime to another
The term was first coined by
the American demographer
Frank W. Notestein in the
mid-twentieth century, but it
has since been elaborated and
expanded upon by many
others.
 Four stages to the classical
demographic transition model

Stage 1: Pre-transition
Stage 2: Early transition
Stage 3: Late transition
Stage 4: Post-transition
Thomas Malthus (1766 -1834)

He was a political economist

and Enlightenment thinker
who observed the growing
population with increasing
concern.
In good Enlightenment
fashion he was trying to find
“natural laws”, similar to the
laws of gravity that could
explain the perpetuation of
poverty in the world.