SUDAN SESAME SCENARIO

Season 2017/2018

Prepared & Presented by: Wagdi M. MAHGOUB

INDIAN OILSEEDS AND PRODUCE EXPORT PROMOTION COUNCIL (IOPEPC) ANNUAL

TRADE MEET
 THE SUDAN

Sudan enjoys vast lands extending in an area of 728,000 square mile (current).

70 million hectares (equivalent to one-third of the total area) is suitable for agriculture.
Between 15 and 17 million hectares of this area is cultivated through rain-fed agriculture, and between 1.5 to 1.7 million
hectares is cultivated through irrigated agriculture.

Sudan, also, enjoys an abundance of water, be it from the River Nile and its tributaries, or rainwater & or groundwater
divided as follows:

River Nile: 20.5 Billion cubic meters;

River Nile’s tributaries: 5 billion cubic meters;
Rainwater: 200-400 Billion cubic meters;
Groundwater: 5 Billion cubic meters.
 GADARIF STATE 2017 RAINFALL

AREA 2016 2017 DIFFERENCE (%)

NORTHERN REGION 375.2 144.95 158.8%

CENTRAL REGION 473.7 333.37 42.1%
SOUTHERN REGION 420.2 208.05 101%
WESTERN REGION 404.3 422.70 4.5%
EASTERN REGION 437.5 329.60 32.73
AVERAGE 422.2 287.73 -
* SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DECREASE IN GADARIF MAIN CULTIVATION AREAS.
* EXCELLENT RAINY SEASON IN BLUE NILE STATE.
( SOURCE: MOA GADARIF STATE -SUDAN)
 GADARIF STATE 2017 RAINFALL
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
NORTHERN REGION CENTRAL REGION SOUTHERN REGION WESTERN REGION EASTERN REGION AVERAGE

16/2017 17/2018
 AREAS OF SESAME CULTIVATION

[1] DARFUR

[2] KURDOFAN

[3] GADARIF

3
[4] WHITE NILE 1
2 4 5
[5] SINNAR
6
[6] BLUE NILE
 SUMMARY OF CULTIVATED AREAS
(2015, 2016 & 2017)
AVERAGE CULTIVATED AREA
STATE (HECTARE) CULTIVATE DIFFERENC
D E (%)
15/2016 16/2017 17/2018 SESAME
TYPE
GEDARIF 294,000 341,880 359.100 White 63.78%
KURDUFAN 661,500 1,377,180 1,350,000 Red/White 1.96%
DARFUR 79,800 404,460 170,000 Red/White 37.91%
BLUE NILE 121,800 126,840 252,000 White 98.67%
SINNAR 220,500 317,100 363,657 White 14.68%
WHITE NILE 113,400 232,260 250,000 White 7.63%
OTHERS 63,000 7,980 8,000 Red/White -
TOTAL 1,554,000 2,807,700 2,602,397 - -
( SOURCE: MOA -SUDAN)
 SESAME CULTIVATED AREAS, HARVESTED
AND PRODUCTION SEASONS 2015-2018

Season Cultivated Harvested Average Productivity Production

(Hectare) (Hectare) (KG/Hectare) MT

2014/2015 2,940,000 2,499,000 216 (Kg / HA ) 540

2015/2016 1,554,200 1,197,000 200 (Kg / HA ) 245

2016/2017 2,807,000 2,125,500 247 (Kg / HA ) 525

2017/2018 2,602,397 2,140,000 200(Kg / HA ) 455*

( SOURCE: MOA -SUDAN) * Estimated Data

 EXPECTED PRODUCTION
SEASON 2017 / 2018

PRODUCTION/ PRODUCTION/ Difference

STATE MT 2017/2018 MT 2016/2017 (%)
(ESTIMATE) (ACTUAL)
GEDARIF 75,000 93,000 44%
KURDUFAN 170,000 157,000 8.3%
DARFUR 40,000 97,000 58.7%
BLUE NILE 52,000 34,000 52.9%
SINNAR 76,000 89,000 14.6%
WHITE NILE 40,000 54,000 35%
OTHERS 2,000 1,000 -
TOTAL 455,000 525,000 21.8%
 SUDANESE SESAME HISTORICAL AVERAGE PRICES
NATURAL (FOB PORT SUDAN - USD)

YEAR PRICE USD

JAN-DEC. 2014 2100

JAN-DEC. 2015 1250

JAN-DEC. 2016 1250

JAN-NOV. 2017 1150

( SOURCE: SUDAN TRADE POINT – SESAME REPORT )

 SUDANESE SESAME AVERAGE PRICES
JAN-DEC 2016/ JAN-NOV 2017
1400

1200
1150
1200
1150
1000 1100
1050 950
800
850
600

400

200

0
JAN-FEB MARCH-APRIL MAY-JUNE JUL-AUG SEPT-NOV OCT-DEC JAN – SEPT 2017

( SOURCE: SUDAN TRADE POINT – SESAME REPORT )

 SUDANESE SESAME
WHITISH (FOB AVERAGE
PORT SUDAN - USD) PRICES
JAN-NOV 2017

PERIOD PRICE USD

JAN-FEB 1050
MARCH-APRIL 1100
MAY-JUNE 1150
JULY-AUG 1200
SEPTEMBER 1150

OCTOBER 1200

NOVEMBER 1150
( SOURCE: SUDAN TRADE POINT – SESAME REPORT )
 SUDANESE SESAME AVERAGE PRICES
JAN-NOV 2017
1250

1200 1200
1200
1150 1150
1150 1150
1100
1100
1050
1050
1000

950
JAN-FEB MARCH-APRIL MAY-JUNE JUL-AUG SEPTEMBER OCTOBER NOVEMBER
( SOURCE: SUDAN TRADE POINT – SESAME REPORT )
 EXCHANGE RATE

• The financial authorities in each country pay extra attention to exchange rate
as the strength and stability of the national economy is closely linked to its
rate against other foreign currencies.

• Exchange rate importance also stems from being the main source of
country's reserve; as well as being the instrument by which the country pays
its imports and fulfills its obligations towards the outer world.

• The exchange rate policies have a direct impact in reducing the rate of
inflation and cost of economical and structural reform of different sectors.
 COMPARISON OF EXCHANGE RATES
2014- 2017

YEAR OFFICIAL RATE PARALLEL DIFFERENCE

SDG/USD MARKET (%)
(AVERAGE )
2014 5.0 7.7 54%
2015 5.9 9.2 56%
2016 (First half) 6.9 13.5 96%
2016 (Second half) 9.0 16.5 83%
2017 (First half) 15.6 18 15%
2017 (Second half) 15.6 21 35%
 THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE ON PRICING

• Exchange rate plays essential role in determining exports’ cost.

• As an example, below table shows how it costing affected by

disparity of exchange rate:-
Exchange Rate 21.0 20.5 20.0 19.5 19.0 18.5
SDG/1USD (Current)
Price increase 0% 2.5% 7.7% 10.6% 13.5% 16.7%
(%)
 TOTAL SESAME EXPORTS
(2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017)

PERIOD 2014 2015 2016 2017

(QTY. MT) (QTY. MT) (QTY. MT) (QTY. MT)

JAN - MAR 71,659 114,825 75,799 148,582

APR - JUN 66,032 72,641 121,250 136,672

JUL – AUG 46,421 54,687 84,694 21,851

SEPT – OCT 115,595 65,210 185,885 93,912

TOTAL 299,707 307,363 467,628 401,017

* Actual data
( SOURCE: CENTRAL BANK OF SUDAN – SUDAN COSTUMS )
 SESAME EXPORTS IN METRIC TONS
2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017 *
500,000
2014 2015 2016 2017
450,000
299,707 307,363 467,628 401,017
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Jan - Mar Apr - Jun Jul - Sep Oct - Dec TOTAL
* Up to October 2017
 SESAME SEEDS EXPORTS, ANNUAL GROWTH
AND SHARE IN NON OIL EXPORT DURING THE PERIOD 2014-2017

VALUE QUANTITY NON OIL VALUE QUANTITY SHARE IN NON

YEAR ($000) (MT) EXPORTS ANNUAL ANNUAL OIL EXPORTS
($000) GROWTH (%) GROWTH (%) (%)
2014 466,338 299,707 3,096,100 1.27 -26.6 8.7
2015 453,478 307,363 2,541,930 -2.75 2.49 17.8
2016 379,347 467,628 2,757,926 -16.35 52.14 13.75
2017 302,368 401,017* 1,943,187 - - 15.56

* TOTAL SESAME EXPORTS JAN- OCTOBER 2017 (Actual)

( SOURCE: CENTRAL BANK OF SUDAN – SUDAN COSTUMS )

 Sesame Import by Major Countries – Jan-July 2017
Importing Country’s Growth Rate Compared to Previous Seasons’ Same period

EXPORT SIZE GROWTH

COUNTRY VALUE (%) OF TOTAL PREVIOUS SEASON
(%)
$ (000) EXPORT VALUE (%)

CHINA 68,445 31.82 24.76 7.06

EGYPT 27,989 13.01 26.97 13.96
SAUDI ARABIA 15,572 7.24 14.06 6.82
LEBANON 8,209 3.82 9.09 5.27
JORDAN 11,082 5.15 7.84 2.69
INDIA 10,547 4.90 1.78 3.12
TURKEY 18,133 8.43 3.57 4.86
GREECE 6,569 3.05 2.09 0.96
TUNISIA 4,968 2.31 4.96 2.65
UAE 5,606 2.60 0.95 1.65
SYRIA 8,355 3.88 3.18 0.70
( SOURCE: CENTRAL BANK OF SUDAN – SUDAN COSTUMS )
 IMPORTERS OF SUDANESE SESAME
DURING 2017

CHINA
3.05 2.31
EGYPT
2.6 3.88
8.43 SAUDI ARABIA

4.9 LEBANON
31.82
5.15 JORDAN

INDIA
3.82
TURKEY
7.24
GREECE
13.01 TUNISIA

UAE

SYRIA
( SOURCE: CENTRAL BANK OF SUDAN – SUDAN CUSTOMS )
 2016/ 2017 SEASON REVIEW

 Actual harvested Crop (all types): 525,000MT

 Total Exports: Jan – October 17 401,000MT (*1)

 Local consumption & others: 124,000MT (*2)

 Old Crop Stock(s): 0,000MT

 (*1) Actual data

 (*2) Including mixed/red sesame
 New Crop Arrival:
(As of 07/11/2017 approx.)

◦ GADARIF: 20,000MT
◦ BLUE NILE & SINNAR: 10,000MT
◦ WHITE NILE: 10,000MT
◦ WESTERN STATES: 5,000MT

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Total new crop so far: 45,000MT
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 Thank You,

Wagdi M. MAHGOUB