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Analisis Teknikal

PT. Mayora Indah


Tbk
• Asyifa Aprylyanti
• Gurinda Aura H
• Linda R Zakia
• Muarofatul Ilmiyah
• Novi Yuristasari
• Sania Vina Ramadoni
Materi
01 Dow Theory
Data 28 Mei 2018 – 31 Mei 2019

02 Moving Avarage
Data 28 Mei 2018 – 31 Mei 2019
MA tunggal rata rata 25 hari
Double MA rata rata 5 dan 20 hari

03 RSI
1 – 23 April dibandingkan 6- 23 Mei 2019
The Dow Theory
The Dow Theory
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Moving Avarage
MA Tunggal 25 hari
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MA Tunggal 25 hari
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MA Tunggal 25 hari
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a n a l i s i s
Garis ungu pada grafik tersebut menunjukkan salah satu idikator
moving average dengan masa periode 25 hari (MA 25) dimulai sejak
Mei 2018 sampai Juni 2019. Artinya, iindikator tersebut mengambil
data harga dari 25 candlestick terakhir, lalu menggambarkannya
sebagai garis pada grafik yang terlihat dengan menggunakan
standar harga penutupan (closing price).
Garis MA tersebut menunjukkan tren yang sedang terjadi pada saat
itu :
Harga yang secara umum berada di bawah MA, maka tren saat itu
adalah downtrend.
Harga yang secara umum bergerak di atas MA, maka tren saat itu
adalah uptrend.
Dapat dillihat dari grafik di atas, sejak akhir Mei 2018 sampai awal
Agustus 2018, harga bergerak ke atas dan berada di atas garis MA
yang berarti saat itu sedang mengalami uptrend. Sedangkan setelah
itu harga mengalami penurunan secara terus menerus sampai pada
titik terendah di awal Bulan Desember 2018, penurunan tersebut
juga berada di bawah garis MA yang dapat diartikan bahwa saat itu
sedang berada pada masa downtrend. Hal tersebut juga sebagai
tanda bahwa akan ada kenaikan harga setelahnya. Masih pada
bulan yang sama setelah penurunan tersebut, terjadi peningkatan
harga (di atas garis MA) yang berlangsung sampai akhir Maret 2019
(uptrend). Selanjutnya terjadi penurunan kembali dari akhir Maret
2019 sampai akhir April 2019 (downtrend) dan kembali naik (tidak
terlalu signifikan) sampai akhir Mei 2019 (uptrend).
Double MA 5 & 20 hari
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a n a l i s i s

Garis MA 5 memotong garis MA 20 dari


bawah ke atas, hal ini merupakan Golden
Cross yang dimungkinkan harga saham
akan naik (bullish)
RSI
RSI Bulan Mei 2019
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RSI Bulan April 2019
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a n a l i s i s

Dari hasil analisis tersebut dapat diketahui


bahwa nilai RSI bulan April sebesar 40 %
sedangkan nilai RSI bulan Mei sebesar
36,71 %. Nilai RSI tersebut mengalami
penurunan. Nilainya berada di tengah-
tengah antara kondisi oversold dan iver
bought.
Kesimpulannya nilai RSI berada di kondisi
Divergence ( tidak pasti ). Jadi apabila sudah
memiliki saham tersebut maka bisa ditahan
terlebih dahulu sampai harganya mengalami
kenaikan. Bagi yang belum mempunyai
saham tersebut juga membeli karena harnya
masih rendah.
Thank You

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