DISCRETE RANDOM
VARIABLES AND
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
Negative Binomial Distribution
by
Group 10 :
1. M. Fadel Veromisa (1810932045)
2. Intan Juwita (1810932006)
3. Annatasya Putri S. (1810933031)
Negative Binomial Distribution
The negative binomial experiment is almost the same
as a binomial experiment with one difference: a
binomial experiment has a fixed number of trials.
If the following five conditions are true the experiment
is binomial:
• Fixed number of n trials.
• Each trial is independent.
• Only two outcomes are possible (Success and Failure).
• Probability of success (p) for each trial is constant.
• A random variable Y= the number of successes.
The negative binomial is similar to the binomial
with two differences (specifically to numbers 1 and 5
in the list above):
• The number of trials, n is not fixed.
• A random variable Y= the number of trials needed
to make r successes.
What is Negative Binomial?
A negative binomial distribution (also called the Pascal
Distribution) is a discrete probability distribution for random
variables in a negative binomial experiment.
The random variable is the number of repeated trials, X, that
produce a certain number of successes, r. In other words, it’s the
number of failures before a success. This is the main difference
from the binomial distribution : with a regular binomial
distribution, you’re looking at the number of successes. With a
negative binomial distribution, it’s the number of failures that
counts.
Why is it call Negative
Binomial?
in a binomial experiments, you count the
number of Successes in a fixed number of
trials; in the above example, you’re counting
how many aces you draw. In a negative
binomial experiment, you’re counting the
Failures
The Negative Binomial Formula
Probability:
b*(x; r, P) = x-1Cr-1 * Pr * (1 – P)x – r
x=number of trials
r = Successes
Mean: Variance
μ=r/P
V (X) = r(1-p)/p2
r = is the number of trials
P = probability of success for any trial
Example
• Suppose that X is a negative binomial random
variable with p=0.2 and r=4. Determine the
following
E(X), P(X = 20), P(X = 19), P(X = 21)
• Solution
• E(X) = r/p =4/0.2 = 20
x 1
19
• P(X = 20) = r 1 (1-p) p =
x-r r ( 0.80)16
0.2 4
0.0436
3
18
• P(X = 19) = 3 ( 0.80)15
0.2 4
0.0459
20
• P(X = 21) = 0.0411
17 4
3 ( 0.80) 0.2