Analysis of Government Expenditure and Economic Growth Julie F. Estopace
Ivy H. Jariño
Eddelyn J. Madriaga
Joella Ann S. Pura
Asian region was the most dynamic Background of economic region throughout the past two the Study decades. The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is an organization that is made up of a group of member states.
The goal of the organization is to promote
stability and economic growth across these nations. ASEAN has since grown to ten (10) member states. The organization focuses on boosting economic and trade growth, with all member states having a free trade agreement. (World Population Review, 2018) The Research Design and Methodology
The research design used secondary
data from World Bank database, ASEAN Development Bank, and other governmental database from year 2008 to 2017.
In analyzing and interpreting the
data gathered, researchers used panel data analysis with the help of pooled ordinary least square (OLS) with 100 observations. The Research Design and Methodology
Prior to the analysis and
interpretation of the data gathered, researchers conducted a statistical test in order to pick a method for this study such as Autocorrelation test, Normality test, and Heteroskedasticity test and found out that pooled ordinary least square (OLS) model is the most applicable method to use. Statement of the Problem 1. What is the socio-demographic profile of the ASEAN countries in terms of: a. Land Area; b. Population; c. Political System; d. Labor force; and e. Public debt? Table 1 Socio-demographic Profile of ASEAN Countries (see pg. 51) a. The average land area of ASEAN countries is 432,600 in which Indonesia and Myanmar have the largest number 1,811,570 and 653,080 respectively and Singapore has the least number of land area for 709 sq. meters. b. South East Asian countries is one of the most populated regions in Asia and the average population is 61,480,000 by which Indonesia and Philippines have the largest population of 263,991,379 and 104,918,090 respectively while the lowest of 428,697 is Brunei. c. Republic and Monarchy are the main political systems that govern the ASEAN countries, except for Lao PDR and Vietnam that uses communist type of political system, while there are none for federalism. d. Asian countries are said to be the third largest labor force in the world with an average of 30,750,000 where majority of the ASEAN countries are increasing from 2008 to 2017. e. The average public debt of ASEAN countries is 45.41% wherein only the Philippines is decreasing constantly while the other countries are all fluctuating. Statement of the 2. What are their government Problem expenditures based on % of GDP in terms of: a. Education; b. Health; c. Military; d. Agriculture; e. Infrastructure; and f. Tourism? Table 2 Government Expenditure of ASEAN Countries (pg. 55) a. The average education expenditure of ASEAN countries is 2.975%. Majority of the ASEAN countries allocated 2.975 or 3 percent for education funding. b. The average percentage of GDP per capita on health is 1.541%. It has the lowest average percentage among the expenditures. It shows that majority of the ASEAN countries does not even reach the world average spending of 6% of GDP on healthcare. c. The average military expenditure of ASEAN countries is 1.877%. Singapore and Brunei is ASEAN’s big spender in terms of military expenditure ranging from approximately 2.1 to 3.9 percent. d. The average agriculture expenditure of ASEAN countries is 14.530%. Majority of the ASEAN countries are agricultural country. e. The average infrastructure expenditure of ASEAN countries is 25.550%. It has the highest average percentage of GDP per capita among expenditures. All ASEAN countries have a high percentage in allocating for infrastructure ranging from approximately 13% to 39%. f. The average tourism expenditure of ASEAN countries is 2.858%. Statement of the Problem
3. What is their GDP per
capita from 2008-2017? Table 3 GDP per capita of ASEAN countries (pg. 59)
The average GDP per capita of ASEAN countries is 11,480. Among
the ASEAN countries, Singapore and Brunei has the largest GDP per capita with 51,407 and 36,818 respectively. While the Cambodia and Myanmar has the lowest mean ranging from 738.23 to 1384.42 and 643.95 to 1298.88 respectively. Statement of the Problem
4. What is the effect of
government expenditures on the GDP per capita as controlled by the socio-demographics of the ASEAN countries? Table 4 Effect of government expenditures on GDP per capita as controlled by socio- demographic profile (pg.61)
a. Land area insignificantly increases GDP per capita
b. Population proves to have a significant negative effect on GDP per capita. c. Republic was also found to be significantly affect the GDP per capita d. Labor force was found to have a significant increase in GDP per capita e. Public debt was found to have a significant negative effect on GDP per capita. Table 4 Effect of government expenditures on GDP per capita as controlled by socio-demographic profile
f. Education expenditure insignificantly decreases GDP per capita.
g. Health expenditure also insignificantly decreases GDP per capita. h. Military expenditure insignificantly increases the GDP per capita. i. Agriculture expenditure significantly decreases the GDP per capita. j. Infrastructure insignificantly increases the GDP per capita. k. Tourism insignificantly increases the GDP per capita. 1. a. The ASEAN countries should assess their RECOMMENDATIONS natural resources and include this as part of land area per square meter in order to have a significant positive effect in the GDP per capita. b. The ASEAN countries should spread awareness through educating an individual about birth control and increase the level of their labor force to avoid future problems of increasing poverty level and unemployment. c. The ASEAN countries must maximize the use of available resources to avoid excessive public debt. And in case borrowings cannot be avoided, have a sound debt management that will administer the proper and wise used of the borrowed funds. RECOMMENDATIONS 2. Effective and efficient allocation of spending.
3. The ASEAN countries, specifically Cambodia
and Myanmar, should sustain the need of every citizen of their country by improving their GDP per capita. Also, the ASEAN countries in order to increase its GDP must prioritize the development and improvement of their infrastructure, implement a strategic debts alongside with strong asset protection, prudent macroeconomic policies, and their business environment should be free from corruption, and must give importance and attention for their human capital such as providing complete education and full health like what the Singapore does to have a constantly increasing GDP. 4. a. Land area should be utilized in housing projects and building commercial establishments instead of RECOMMENDATIONS using it for agriculture because infrastructure can boost the economy as compared to spending on agriculture. b. ASEAN countries should promote free education not just for primary and secondary education but also for tertiary level in order for students to avoid travelling abroad for further studies and therefore decreasing the outflow of labor force. c. The ASEAN countries must build and maintain competent labor force with professional skills and ethical practices that meet individual and population needs in terms of healthcare. Also, ASEAN countries must adopt service standards for health facilities and infrastructure. Additionally, they should strengthen national regulatory authorities for medicines and health technologies. d. ASEAN countries must give attention and enforce a more organized educational system for a high-quality education because it can produce a highly competent labor force. RECOMMENDATIONS e. The ASEAN countries must improve its project planning and preparation, as well as strengthening its legal and regulatory frameworks for infrastructure development. f. ASEAN countries, except Singapore and Brunei, should provide financial subsidies and assistance for their farmers and implement training programs, workshops, and seminars on various technologies on agricultural production that will equip farmers with new knowledge and skills. g. Future researchers may try to include the natural resources of each country to the land area and more variables and look for their collective effect to GDP per capita of ASEAN countries Statement of the Problem
5. What can be proposed
actions based on the results of the study? Proposed Action Plan for Increasing GDP per capita of ASEAN countries Key Areas Objectives Activities Persons Time Expected Output Involved Frame Socio- To assess the In terms of population, ASEAN Ten As Utilize the socio- demograph ASEAN countries should give members of required demographic ic profile countries’ importance for their human ASEAN profile of each socio- capital development through organization ASEAN countries demographic good quality education and that helps the profiles in free health services. government in order to have uplifting the significant In terms of labor force, ASEAN countries’ GDP effect on countries should implement per capita. GDP per training programs, workshops, capita and seminars that will equip especially workers with new knowledge population, and skills. labor force and public In terms of public debt, ASEAN debt. countries should have a sound debt management that will manage the proper usage of borrowed funds. Key Areas Objective Activities Persons Time Expected s Involved Frame Output Government To Developing a Ten As Ensure that Expenditures efficiently strict policy, members of required each allocate laws or rules ASEAN government budget and regulation organization expenditure that will oversee will contribute the to the implementation development and allocation of the of the economic government growth of a budget. country. Key Areas Objectives Activities Persons Time Expected Involved Frame Output GDP per To Using infrastructure Ten As Increase capita constantly to spur economic member required economic increase growth s of growth and GDP per Join some of the ASEAN uplift the capita worlds’ top traders organiza standard of (eg. USA, Japan, tion and living of every China) other citizen of the Relax enforcement countries ASEAN on rules and that are member- regulation imposed involved state. on industry or in business trading Thank you!