the monetary authority of a country controls the supply of money, often targeting a rate of interest to attain a set of objectives oriented towards the growth and stability of the economy . • These goals usually include stable prices and low unemployment Monetary theory provides insight into how to craft optimal monetary policy. • Monetary policy is referred to as either being an expansionary policy, or a contractionary policy. Continued • An expansionary policy increases the total supply of money in the economy rapidly. • Contractionary policy decreases the total money supply, or increases it slowly. • Expansionary policy is traditionally used to combat unemployment in a recession by lowering interest rates , while contractionary policy involves raising interest rates to combat inflation. • Monetary policy is contrasted with fiscal policy, which refers to government borrowing, spending and taxation Objectives • Objectives of Monetary policy are stated below: – Maintaining price stability – Ensuring adequate flow of credit to the productive sectors of the economy. – Maintaining orderly conditions in the financial markets . – Thus, monetary policy in India endeavors to maintain a judicious balance between price stability, economic growth and financial stability. Monetary Base • Monetary policy can be implemented by changing the size of the monetary base. • This directly changes the total amount of money circulating in the economy. • A central bank can use open market operations to change the monetary base. • The central bank would buy/sell bonds in exchange for hard currency. When the central bank disburses/collects this hard currency payment, it alters the amount of currency in the economy, thus altering the monetary base. Reserve requirements
• The monetary authority exerts regulatory control
over banks. • Monetary policy can be implemented by changing the proportion of total assets that banks must hold in reserve with the central bank. • Banks only maintain a small portion of their assets as cash available for immediate withdrawal; the rest is invested in illiquid assets like mortgages and loans. By changing the proportion of total assets to be held as liquid cash, the Federal Reserve changes the availability of loan able funds. This acts as a change in the money supply. Discount window lending • Discount window lending is where the commercial banks, and other depository institutions, are able to borrow reserves from the Central Bank at a discount rate. • This rate is usually set below short term market rates (T-bills). This enables the institutions to vary credit conditions (i.e., the amount of money they have to loan out), there by affecting the money supply. • By affecting the money supply, the monetary policy can establish ranges for inflation, unemployment, interest rates ,and economic growth. Interest rates
• The contraction of the monetary supply can be
achieved indirectly by increasing the interest rates. • Monetary authorities in different nations have differing levels of control of economy-wide interest rates • Raising the interest rate(s) under its control, a monetary authority can contract the money supply, because higher interest rates encourage savings and discourage borrowing. Both of these effects reduce the size of the money supply. Open Market Operations • OMOs involve buying (outright or temporary) and selling of government securities by the central bank, from or to the public and banks. • RBI when purchases securities, pays the amount of money by crediting the reserve deposit account of the seller’s bank, which in turn credits the seller’s deposit account in that bank. Growth • IMF revised upwards its forecast for global growth for 2010 from 4.6 per cent to 4.8 per cent. • The growth process remains uneven being driven largely by emerging and developing countries. • The recovery continues to be fragile in the advanced countries. Continued • Taking into account the good performance of the agriculture sector, and a range of indicators of industrial production and service sector activity , real GDP growth for 2010-11, is retained at 8.5 per cent. Monetary Measures • The Bank Rate has been retained at 6.0 per cent. • Increase in the repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) from 6.0 per cent to 6.25 per cent with immediate effect. • Increase the reverse repo rate under the LAF by 25 basis points from 5 per cent to 5.25 per cent with immediate effect. Monetary Measures • The cash reserve ratio (CRR) of scheduled banks has been retained at 6.0 per cent of their net demand and time liabilities (NDTL). • The Reserve Bank has deregulated interest rates on deposits, other than savings bank deposits. The interest rate on savings bank deposits has remained unchanged at 3.5 per cent per annum. • Non-food credit growth did accelerate from 17.1% in March 2010 to 22.3 % as on July 2, 2010 Industrial Growth
• Industrial growth has been robust, Index of industrial
production (IIP) increased with an average 10.6 per cent. • Industrial growth was high in the capital goods, consumer durables and intermediate goods sectors. • Exports have grown steadily , showing an increase of 27.6 per cent over the corresponding period of last year. Inflation • On the inflation front, the new series of wholesale price index (WPI) with an updated base (2004- 05=100). • Primary food inflation moderated from 21.4 per cent in May 2010 to 15.7 per cent in September 2010. • Inflation rate reported has been 9.82%.