Professional Documents
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A. Afful-Dadzie 1
Capital Investment Appraisal
Often times, since money is limited and there may be a number of competing
investment/project alternatives, one is compelled to select the projects whose capital outlay
is within budget and also offer the best return. This lecture presents techniques for analyzing
and selecting business projects/investments.
A. Afful-Dadzie 4
Capital Investment Appraisal
Example
Find the Payback period for the investment with the following cash
flow assuming
A. Afful-Dadzie 5
Capital Investment Appraisal
Solution
a. First find the cumulative cash flow for
each year
Year Cash Flow Cumulative
𝑖 = 0%
Cash flow
𝐵
𝑇𝑝 = 𝐴 + 0 -50000 -50000
𝐶
1 20000 -30000
10000 2 20000 -10000
𝑇𝑝 = 2 + × 360 𝑑𝑎𝑦𝑠
17000 3 17000 70000
𝑇𝑝 = 2 + 211.7 𝑑𝑎𝑦𝑠 4 14000 21000
A. Afful-Dadzie 8
Capital Investment Appraisal
a
Cum Cash Cum Cash
Year Machine A flow for A Machine B flow for A
0 -50,000 -50,000 -45,000 -45,000
1 25,500 -24,500 12,500 -32,500
2 24,500 0 15,500 -17,000
3 17,000 17,000 21,000 4,000
4 14,000 31,000 38,000 42,000
A. Afful-Dadzie 9
Capital Investment Appraisal
b.
Cum Cash Cum Cash
Year Machine A flow for A Machine B flow for A
0 -50,000 -50,000 -45,000 -45,000
1 25,500 -27,826 12,500 -34,130
2 24,500 -9,301 15,500 -22,410
3 17,000 1,877 21,000 -8,602
4 14,000 9,882 38,000 13,124
For 𝑖 = 15%, payback period for Machine A is: 2+9301/1700*360 days = 2 years and
197 days.
Payback period for Machine B is: 3 + 8602/3800 *360 days = 3 years and 81 days. So,
decision is to go for Machine A.
A. Afful-Dadzie 10
Capital Investment Appraisal
𝐴 1+𝑖 𝑛−1
𝐶𝑜 − 𝑛
≤0
𝑖 1+𝑖
where 𝐶0 is initial the capital outlay.
A. Afful-Dadzie 11
Capital Investment Appraisal
Example
A company is evaluating the following mutually exclusive projects at an interest rate
of a) 0% and b) 10% per annum
Project 1 Project 2
GHS GHS
Initial Cost 150000 80000
Annual Benefits 20000 15000
Project life (years) 20 13
i. What is the payback period for project 1 and project 2 at 0% interest rate?
ii. What is the discounted payback period for both projects at 10%?
iii.Which project should be selected based on i) and ii) above?
A. Afful-Dadzie 12
Capital Investment Appraisal
Solution
i. when 𝑖 = 0%
𝐴𝑚𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝐶0
𝑇𝑝 = =
𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑖𝑐 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐴
150000
For Project 1: 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑏𝑎𝑐𝑘 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 = = 7.5 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠
20000
80000
For Project 2: 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑏𝑎𝑐𝑘 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 = = 5.3 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠
15000
For Project 2;
15000 1.1 7 −1
at 𝑛 = 7; 80000 − = 6973.71 𝑤ℎ𝑖𝑐ℎ 𝑖𝑠 𝑛𝑜𝑡 ≤ 0
0.1 1.17
1.1 8 −1
at 𝑛 = 8; 80000 − = −23.89 < 0
1.18
iii. Based on the solutions above, Project 2 should be selected since in both
situations, it has the shorter payback period.
A. Afful-Dadzie 14
Capital Investment Appraisal
A. Afful-Dadzie 15
Capital Investment Appraisal
Net Present Value (NPV)
Net Present value (NPV) is a technique that finds the sum of the present values of all cash
flows for each competing alternatives. As long as the NPV ≥ 0, the investment is
worthwhile.
𝐶𝑘
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = σ𝑛𝑘=1 − 𝐶0 When;
(1+𝑖)𝑘
NPV ˃ 0, project or investment is profitable
NPV = 0, breakeven (return on investment or project is the same as return from the bank
or risk free investments)
NPV = 0 implies that your required return has been met exactly. So for example if you
wanted a return of 20% on your investment, you have achieved it if NPV=0
NPV ˂ 0 project or investment is not profitable. For a firm, it means the investment adds
no value to the firm.
A. Afful-Dadzie 16
Capital Investment Appraisal
Example 1
A company has to choose either Machine A or Machine B. The following
are the cash flows for both machines.
Solution
𝑛
𝐶𝑘
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = 𝑘
− 𝐶0
(1 + 𝑖)
𝑘=1
25,500 24,500 17,000 14,000 + 5,000
𝑁𝑃𝑉𝐴 = + 2
+ 3
+ 4
− 50,000 = 𝐺𝐻¢7264.66
1.2 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2
12,500 15,500 21,000 (38,000 + 4,000)
𝑁𝑃𝑉𝐵 = + 2
+ 3
+ 4
− 45,000 = 𝐺𝐻¢8587.962
1.2 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2
A. Afful-Dadzie 18
Capital Investment Appraisal
NPV and unequal life projects/investments
Example
A company is evaluating the following mutually exclusive projects.
Project 1 Project 2
GH¢ GH¢
Initial Cost 200,000 100,000
Annual Benefits 26,000 21,000
Project Life (years) 16 10
A. Afful-Dadzie 19
Capital Investment Appraisal
Solution
𝐴 (1+𝑖)𝑛 −1
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = − 𝐶0 For Project 1;
𝑖 (1+𝑖)𝑛
26,000 (1.06)16 −1
𝑁𝑃𝑉1 = − 200,000 = 𝐺𝐻¢62,753.28
0.06 (1.0616
For Project 2;
21,000 (1.06)10 −1
𝑁𝑃𝑉2 = − 100,000 = 𝐺𝐻¢54,561.83
0.06 (1.0610
Based purely on NPV, Project 1 should be selected.
A. Afful-Dadzie 20
Capital Investment Appraisal
Note: When evaluating two or more projects or investments, choose the project or
investment with the highest NPV in terms of revenue and choose the project or
investment with the least NPV in terms of cost.
Example
Your company is evaluating two projects with the following information:
Project 1 requires an investment of GHS 500,000, an annual revenue of GHS 80,000
starting in year 2 and increasing by GHS 2,000 per year till the end of the project.
Project 2 requires an investment of GHS 300,000, an annual revenue of GHS 50,000
starting in year 3 and increasing by 8% per year till the end of the project.
Calculate the NPV for both projects if the lifespan for both project is 14 years and the
interest is 10% per year.
A. Afful-Dadzie 21
Capital Investment Appraisal
Solution
For Project 1
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = 𝑃𝐴 + 𝑃𝐾 − 𝐶0
But 𝑃𝐴 + 𝑃𝐾 is the present value at year 1 so find the present value at year 0
635022.89
Present value at year 0 = = 577293.54
1.1
Therefore 𝑁𝑃𝑉 = 577293.54 − 500000 = 77293.54
For Project 2
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = 𝑃𝑇 − 𝐶0
1+𝑔 𝑛 1.08 12
1− 1+𝑖 1−
𝑃𝑇 = 𝐴 = 50000 1.1 = 494083.49
𝑖−𝑔 0.1 − 0.08
But 𝑃𝑇 is the present value at year 2 so find the present value at year 0
494083.49
𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑎𝑡 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 0 = 2
= 408333.46
1.1
𝑇ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒 𝑁𝑃𝑉 = 408333.46 − 300000 = 108333.36.
A. Afful-Dadzie 23
Capital Investment Appraisal
Example
A company has to choose either Machine A or Machine B. The following
are the cash flows of both machine.
Which of the two machines would be chosen based on NPV if interest rate
is 10% per annum? A. Afful-Dadzie 24
Capital Investment Appraisal
Solution
𝑛
𝐶𝑡
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = 𝑡
− 𝐶0
1+𝑖
𝑡=1
For Machine A;
𝑃𝑖 1 + 𝑖 𝑛
⇒𝐴=
1+𝑖 𝑛−1
A. Afful-Dadzie 26
Capital Investment Appraisal
Example
A company is evaluating the following mutually exclusive projects.
Project 1 Project 2
GH¢ GH¢
Initial Cost 200,000 100,000
Annual Benefits 26,000 21,000
Project Life (years) 16 10
A. Afful-Dadzie 27
Capital Investment Appraisal
Solution
𝐴 (1+𝑖)𝑛 −1
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = − 𝐶0 For Project 1;
𝑖 (1+𝑖)𝑛
26,000 (1.06)16 −1
𝑁𝑃𝑉1 = − 200,000 = 𝐺𝐻¢62,753.28
0.06 (1.0616
For Project 2;
21,000 (1.06)10 −1
𝑁𝑃𝑉2 = − 100,000 = 𝐺𝐻¢54,561.83
0.06 (1.0610
Based purely on NPV, Project 1 should be selected.
A. Afful-Dadzie 28
Capital Investment Appraisal
Annual worth approach
𝐴 (1+𝑖)𝑛 −1 𝑃∗𝑖∗ 1+𝑖 𝑛
𝑃= ⇒ 𝐴=
𝑖 (1+𝑖)𝑛 (1+𝑖)𝑛 −1
54,561.83∗0.06
𝐴= (1.06)10 −1
= 𝐺𝐻¢7413.20
1.0610
The IRR is the true interest rate earned on an investment over the course of its
economic life.
𝑛 𝐶𝑘
IRR is that rate 𝑖∗ at which 𝑁𝑃𝑉 = σ𝑘=1 − 𝐶0 = 0
(1+𝑖 ∗ )𝑘
𝐶𝑘
That is, σ𝑛𝑘=1 = 𝐶0
1+𝑖 ∗ 𝑘
That is, taking time value of money into account, the IRR is the maximum rate of
return that an investment is able to recover the initial capital outlay of 𝐶0 .
Most organizations have an established minimum returns that any investment must
meet. This is usually termed, the Minimum Acceptable Rate of Return (MARR).
For such organizations, it is only when the IRR>=MARR, would the potential
investment merit consideration.
A. Afful-Dadzie 30
Capital Investment Appraisal
When comparing two or more projects, the first condition for any project to merit
consideration is for it to have IRR >=MARR. For those projects meeting this
criterion, select the project with the maximum IRR.
That is, suppose project 1 and project 2 have IRR1 > MARR and IRR2 > MARR
respectively, and are mutually exclusive. If IRR2 > IRR1 then select project 2.
A. Afful-Dadzie 31
Capital Investment Appraisal
Calculating Internal Rate of Return using Interpolation
1. Graphic Approach
The graphical approach requires that one first select an interest rate 𝑖1 and calculate
its corresponding net present value 𝑁𝑃𝑉1 for the point (𝑖1 , 𝑁𝑃𝑉1 ), and again 𝑖2 and
its associated 𝑁𝑃𝑉2 , for the point (𝑖2 , 𝑁𝑃𝑉2 ). The point at which the line passing
through these two points touches the x-axis is the IRR.
A. Afful-Dadzie 32
Capital Investment Appraisal
Algebraic Approach
The algebraic approach makes use of interpolation and can be understood through the graph
above when finding the slope.
For any line with two points (𝑥1 , 𝑦1 ) and (𝑥2 , 𝑦2 ), the slope 𝑚 is given as:
𝑦1 −𝑦2
𝑚=
𝑥1 −𝑥2
It can be observed that the slope of the line above that the slope of the line is:
𝑁1 −𝑁2 𝑁1 −0
𝑚= or 𝑚 = . Thus,
𝑖1 −𝑖2 𝑖1 −𝐼𝑅𝑅
𝑁1 −𝑁2 𝑁1 −0
=
𝑖1 −𝑖2 𝑖1 −𝐼𝑅𝑅
Rearranging, we get:
𝑁1 − 𝑁2 𝑖1 − 𝐼𝑅𝑅 = 𝑁1 (𝑖1 − 𝑖2 ) ⇒ 𝑁1 𝑖1 − 𝑁1 𝐼𝑅𝑅 − 𝑁2 𝑖1 + 𝑁2 𝐼𝑅𝑅 = 𝑁1 𝑖1 − 𝑁1 𝑖2
𝑁2 − 𝑁1 𝐼𝑅𝑅 = 𝑁2 𝑖1 − 𝑁1 𝑖2
𝑁2 𝑖1 − 𝑁1 𝑖2 𝑁1 𝑖2 − 𝑁2 𝑖1
𝐼𝑅𝑅 = =
𝑁2 − 𝑁1 𝑁1 − 𝑁2
Note: The accuracy of IRR is high when one of the 𝑁1 and 𝑁2 is positive and the other negative.
A. Afful-Dadzie 33
Capital Investment Appraisal
Example
A company has to choose either Project 1 or Project 2. The following are the cash
flows for both machines.
Year Project 1 Project 2
0 -50,000 -45,000
1 25,500 12,500
2 24,500 15,500
3 17,000 21,000
4 14,000 38,000
A. Afful-Dadzie 34
Capital Investment Appraisal
Solution
Project 1
25,500 24,500 17,000 14,000
+ + + − 50,000
(1+𝑖)1 (1+𝑖)2 (1+𝑖)3 (1+𝑖)4
when 𝑖 is 10%
25,500 24,500 17,000 14,000
+ + + − 50,000 = 15764.29
(1.1)1 (1.1)2 (1.1)3 (1.1)4
when 𝑖 is 20%
25,500 24,500 17,000 14,000
+ + + − 50,000 = 4853.4
(1.2)1 (1.2)2 (1.2)3 (1.2)4
𝑖1 = 10%, 𝑁1 = 𝐺𝐻¢15764.29
𝑖2 = 20%, 𝑁2 = 𝐺𝐻¢4853.4
15764.29 0.2 −4853.4(0.1)
𝐼𝑅𝑅1 = = 0.244 = 24.4%
15764.29−4853.4
A. Afful-Dadzie 35
Capital Investment Appraisal
Project 2
12,500 15,000 21,000 38,000
+ + + − 45,000
(1+𝑖)1 (1+𝑖)2 (1+𝑖)3 (1+𝑖)4
when 𝑖 is 10%
12,500 15,000 21,000 38,000
+ + + − 45,000 = 20,905.68
(1.1)1 (1.1)2 (1.1)3 (1.1)4
when 𝑖 is 20%
12,500 15,000 21,000 38,000
+ + + − 45,000 = 6658.95
(1.2)1 (1.2)2 (1.2)3 (1.2)4
A. Afful-Dadzie 36
Capital Investment Appraisal
Capitalized Cost Investments
When the investment is for a very long period of time.
𝐴 1+𝑖 𝑛 −1
If 𝑃 =
𝑖 1+𝑖 𝑛
𝐴
When n is infinite (say n > 100 years) ⇒ 𝑃 =
𝑖
Example
Construction of a hydroelectric dam will take 12 years and will cost GHS 8m in each of
those years. Net revenue from selling electricity is expected to be GHS 8m starting in year
13 and continuing at the same amount in perpetuity (forever).
Calculate
i. The maximum rate of return needed to recover the project's investment (i.e IRR)
ii. The NPV for 𝑖 = 3%.
A. Afful-Dadzie 37
Capital Investment Appraisal
Solution
A. Afful-Dadzie 39