• In political science, the study of public opinion is
focused on the analysis of interaction between citizens and groups, and between citizens and the states. Historical Origins • The origin of the term “public opinion” may be traced to ancient times -golden ages of Greece -Roman Empire • In the Greek city –state of athens where ancient democracy was born, the citizens assembled in open session to discuss freely the burning issues of the day. They took part in town-meeting discussions on such important public policy issues as taxation, treaty negotiations and problems of war and peace. This direct popular participation of the Greek citizens in the sharing of political power with government and in the formulation and criticism of public policy laid the foundation of public opinion in democracy. Historical Origins • In Rome the theater became the symbol of the free exchange of ideas, the crucible of what the Romans called consensus populi. • Rodee, Anderson and Cristol – some philosopher popularized the maxim. Vox populi, Vox Dei ( the voice of the people is the voice of God.) • Machiavelli- in his Discourses compared the voice of the people to the voice of God. • 18th Century- the phrase “public opinion” in the sense of popular participation in the formation, execution and criticism of public policy was introduced in Western Europe. • Jean Jacques Rousseau- father of direct democracy, was the first to use the phrase on the eve of French revolution. The Meaning of Public Opinion • Floyd Allport- defined public opinion in terms of “ a multi-individual situation in which individuals are expressing themselves as favoring or opposing some definite condition, person, or proposal of widespread importance, in such a proportion of number, intensity, and constancy, as to give rise to the probability of affecting action, directly, or indirectly, toward the subject concerned.” • Others believe that individuals express their views and behave in an environment in which time and place are important variables. They claim that what is said about oil energy in the Philippines today may vary from what is said about it in other countries and at other periods of time. The Meaning of Public Opinion • They conclude that public opinion “is the judgment, attitude and belief of a group of people at a particular time and place.” • Public Opinion is the expression of attitudes of a certain group of people on a public issue. Editorials and commentaries belong to this group. • Public opinion refers to the collective individual opinions of a designated public concerning government and politics and public policy. • Lawson’s definition of public opinion is an aggregate of the individual opinions on any issue, but found on examination to be varied and conflicting, “held with different degrees of intensity by persons with very different degrees of access to political decision-making processes.” The Meaning of Public Opinion • Public- generally believed to be a part of society, so that there are many types of publics. Ex. Group of people, civic club, students in a classroom, business organization, labor union • Publics may also described in terms of geographical divisions such as the people of a town, city, country, province, state, or nation. • A public, according to sociologists, is a group of people confronted by an issue, who are divided in opinion about the issue, and they discuss it to express their views to form public opinion. • In the political dynamics, a public is a group of people with common interests that makes itself felt in some stages of the formulation and execution of government policies. The Meaning of Public Opinion • William Albig – public opinion is “the expression of all the members of a group who are giving attention in any way to a given issue.” • David Truman- public opinion consists of the opinions of a group of persons making up the public on the given issue under discussion. • To sum up the definition of public opinion contains three aspects. First, there must be aggregate of persons rather than a single individual to express those opinions on a certain public question. Second, opinions must be expressed or communicated to others. Third, public opinions develops only when there is an issue. The Methods of Measuring Public Opinion • Public opinion may be considered as playing a determining role in a democracy. • James Bryce- democracy should be based on public opinion. • A great achievement of public opinion in the realm of polities in a democracy is the translation of consensus or decision of a given public into public policy, or the effective criticism of the policy of the government. If public opinion has a great influence on the political process of a democratic state, it is important that it be measured or ascertained. The Methods of Measuring Public Opinion 1. Public Opinion is Measured Through the Ballot. - one of the traditional ways in which public opinion is measured through elections. The true measure of public opinion during elections is the exercise of the freedom of suffrage by the voters. Freedom of suffrage- means that the voters are free to follow their own will to select their public officers in spite of many dangers, threats and pressures that may influence their decisions. 2. Public Opinion is Measured Through Interest or Pressure Groups. -it has been shown in the preceding chapter that interest or pressure groups influence the formulation and execution of public policy for promoting the welfare of their members. The Methods of Measuring Public Opinion 2. Public Opinion is Measured Through Interest or Pressure Groups. • They communicate their views to public officials in some stages in the formulation of public policy, through a variety of methods – through letters and telegrams, through testimony before committees in the legislature, through personal contact with public officers, and through lobbyists. • The pressure group is one of the “models of political linkage” by which government policy is made in accordance with the needs and demands of public The Methods of Measuring Public Opinion 3. Public Opinion is Measured Through Direct Contract With the Citizens. - From time to time, the national leadership goes to people to sound out their views on certain aspects of the government’s program. This method of direct contact with the citizens provides the leadership a wide range of people’s opinion including their problems which would guide it to find effective ways of implementing government projects for the development and welfare of the state. The Methods of Measuring Public Opinion 4. Public Opinion is Measured Through Referendum, or the Plebiscite. - The referendum in many democratic countries is an institution of direct democracy used to ratify constitutional amendments and to prevent bad laws from being implemented. In the Philippines, however, both referendum and plebiscite are potent instruments of measuring the political opinions of the citizens on proposed policies and amendments to the Constitution respectively. The Methods of Measuring Public Opinion 5. Public Opinion is Measured Through Opinion Polls. -In the face of changing conditions great strides have been made to form public opinion through scientific polling devices. In the United States, for example, the measurement of public opinion by opinion polls started with the “straw votes” technique. It was a system where large numbers of persons became respondents to a mass polling. Newspapers, joined by magazines like the Literary Digest, the Farm Journal and the Pathfinder, experimented with the straw poll technique. The Methods of Measuring Public Opinion • Statistical research began to develop together with the principles of psychology and sociology which helped make a measuring instrument for the study of public opinion. • The system required pollster to have a cross-section of the population, that is, selecting carefully a “random sample” of the population. • Random sampling- means the polling of a remarkably small but chosen group of people reflective of the cross-section of the population which takes into consideration such variables as place of residence, age, sex, religion, professional interests, and economic status, etc. • In the United States, the random technique of measuring public opinion is characterized by two primary sampling procedures: 1. Area sampling – The area sampling method requires the selection of individuals for interview from carefully chosen areas. These areas would include states, regions, cities of various sizes, and the proper proportion of rural to urban dwellers. This tested sampling procedure brought out certain administrative problems upon the planning and execution of this method, and furthermore, it was found to be expensive. 2. Quota Sampling- an alternative method of random sampling or “quota control” method where a given number of persons are designated to be interviewed in certain strata, such as economic or social status, age, sex, and community size, but the selection of particular respondents is left to the judgment of the interviewer. This is also called stratified sampling. • There are also two other general methods of sampling the purposive sampling and the combination of both stratified and purposive sampling. • Purposive sampling- combines interview or questioning to a certain specific group or element in the community, as when lawyers and teachers are asked whom they support for President. These method of sampling give valid results only if data on the population can be made available and accurate as possible. • Big names has been associated with public opinion polls in the United States and among them were: Paul T. Cherrington, Elmo Roper, Archibal M. Crossley, and Dr. George Gallup. Each of them organized their own poll organizations and conducted their polls in forecasting presidential elections as early as 1936. They were remarkably successful in predicting the outcome of the 1940 and 1944 presidential elections. However they are all failed to predict the presidential winner in 1948, when Truman defeated Governor Dewey, due to the fact that the pollster have had full confidence in Dewey. • In the United States today, various opinion organizations had undertaken opinion surveys on the political strengths of reelectionist President George Bush of the Republican Party and Democratic Party candidate, Senator Bill Clinton. Both were presidential contenders in the November 10, 1992 presidential elections. Survey results of most opinion poll organizations showed Bill Clinton was on lead Such results were borne by the outcome of the elections in which Clinton won over Bush. Likewise, in the Philippines, opinion surveys conducted by social weather stations and poll organizations for the May 11, 1992 general elections showed Miriam Defensor- Santiago and Fidel V. Ramos at the top of the list of seven presidential contenders. The forecast was borne out of the electoral results which made Ramos the presidential winner by a plurality vote and Defensor-Santiago coming out second. • Dr. George Gallup, from the viewpoint of political philosophy, defended public opinion polls as follows: 1. There are no indications that pollster will dominate legislators in their role of formulating and determining public policy 2. Polls uncover areas of ignorance in the electorate 3. Polls serve as check to the power and influence of pressure groups 4. Polls assist administrative departments in making decisions 5. Polls speed up the processes of democracy with reports on public opinion 6. Polls help define the mandate of the people in national elections • Criticism directed at public opinion polls as follows: 1. Public opinion polls represent an unwise attempt to move toward direct democracy when in the complexities of modern government it is required that solution of complex issues needs the flexibility of a representative democracy. 2. The public, it is believed, has no opinion, and polling merely extracts from the respondent a meaningless answer of “yes”, or he is ignorant 3. Polls reduce the power of the legislature in its role of policymaking. 4. Polls always create a “bandwagon” effect, and since the attitude of some people is that they always want to be on the winning side, they depend upon the poll results to elect the winner, thus sometimes the results of the elections will not reflect the true mandate of a responsible electorate. 5. Scientific polling does not offer always an accurate gauge of the intensity of opinion, in as much as there is a danger that at the moment a person is polled concerning a political issue, he may not feel very strongly about it, or has not made up his opinion about it. His mind about a political candidate may change on election day. • Despite this criticisms against public opinion polling, poll organizations have made constant progress in improving their polling instruments to predict elections results and also to measure opinion on political issues that confront the lawmaking body, the executive and other government agencies between elections. Thus, public opinion polls provide a means for the strengthening of democracy. • Dr. George Gallup puts it succinctlly in defense of public opinion polls: “To the extent that a political leader does take public opinion into account in making his decisions, he should have an accurate and objective measure of that opinion rather than mere guess work. What polls endeavor to supply is a more systematic and more objective measure of opinions.” Public Opinion in a Dictatorship • There can hardly be a free public opinion in countries which have dictatorships or totalitarian governments. People have no participation in the shaping of public policy through elections and free discussion, since policy formulation is the monopoly of a self- appointed elite in dictatorship. If participation is ever extended to the people in the “political process,” it is only a ritual to chose candidates for public office from among members of the single party which is the chief organ of the ruling elite. • The decision-making power of the dictatorship is located in a select group of the party, like the Cabinet of Hitler’s National Socialist Party, the Fascist Grand Council of Mussolini’s Fascist Party, and the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Russian Communist Party. As always, it is the leader dictator who is the head of this elite group. • “Public Opinion” in the dictatorship is manufactured by the government’s propaganda machine which utilizes all communications media, like the newspapers, radio, motion pictures television, etc. to make it appear that this so-called public opinion came from the people. Criticism public policy is taboo in a totalitarian society, and opposition to the dictatorship means prison, slave labor camp, or death. PROPAGANDA • The term propaganda was derived from the name of one of the units of the Catholic Church – the Sacra Congregatio Christiano nomini propaganda ( the Sacred Congregation for the Propagation of the Faith). • Created in 17th century, about 1650, for the purpose of educating the priest, so that in turn they were charged with the responsibility of propagating the Catholic faith throughout the world. Propaganda Defined • The term Propaganda is essentially a technique that manipulates the behavior and influences the opinions of a number of individuals by the use of words, persons, objects, pictures , music stereotypes, etc. This technique involves a process, and according to Rodee, Anderson and Christol the process consists of three factors: the propagandist and his message, the technique and media used, and the subjects exposed to the influence. • Rodee et al. defined propaganda as “the propagation of ideas through promotion, persuasion, and the utilization of the influence.” Factors that Affect the Technique and Content of Propaganda 1. The Status of the Propagandist -is an important element in the propaganda process. Factors like numbers, financial resources, internal integration and control, good will and prestige and access to channels of communication are important to affect status. 2. The Propagandist’s Situation or Environment -one of the big problems of the propagandist is how to control the situation or environment under which he works. 3. The Propagandist’s Plan of Attack -The third aspect of the technique and content of propaganda refers to selecting goals, planning the campaign tactics or strategies, and considering certain specific techniques which will attain the objectives of propaganda and will give the propagandist greater rewards. - The propagandist’s goals are to condition the attitudes and influence the opinions of individuals or groups who are the subjects of propaganda. In other words, these people should be convinced to approve and support the propagandist’s motives may be to buy the product of his company, or vote for his candidate, or be willing to write their representatives to approve or reject certain legislation, etc. Propaganda Strategy involves: 1. Creating a socially acceptable image of the group in the public mind 2. Explaining the group’s behavior to the public’s satisfaction 3. Drawing an uncomplimentary verbal picture of one’s competitors 4. Sitting in constant judgment on the behavior of competing groups • Interest or pressure groups also utilize propaganda for the attainment of their goals. In their relationship with government, these groups consider governmental action or inaction as propaganda material. The Techniques of Propaganda • The myriad organization in a modern society exist for the protection and advancement of the interests of their members. To do this they function to influence public opinion. They continuously spread propaganda by using all available communication and the techniques of influence and persuasion to those in influential positions and upon the public. The basic propaganda techniques used by these organizations or by political interest groups are not unique, but are familiar and pretty-well understood. They are even shared with other elements in society that attempt to influence the attitudes of a number of people. • First, identification with emotionally charged symbols or words. Symbols or words play a very important role in the art of propaganda. A picture, a sign, a statue, a flag or banner, or things that represent ideas and meanings may become effective tools of persuasion if the propagandist can get his listeners or readers to accept his idea or suggestion. Words may also be used as symbols. “Filipinism” “Safeguard our sovereignty against imperialism” • Second, the use of distortion by selection. Under this technique the propagandist may have his materials based on facts. But he selects only those facts that are useful in presenting the idea that he wants to project. A part of this method is slanting or exaggeration of the facts to emphasize only one view of the problem or idea that the propagandist wants to convey to his subjects. • Third, the practice of distraction. This technique is a potential weapon of the propagandist as it distracts attention of the subjects of propaganda from the facts. It is what propaganda experts call a “red herring” that stands across the path of factual information to give an individual or a group of people an erroneous impression. Distraction is “often attained through humor, satire, irony, and name calling; • Fourth, is the use of rumor. This propaganda device may be considered as one of the most effective techniques that the propagandist may utilize especially within a particular group in the “rumor public,” which is composed of individuals of the same interests and who have common concern with the subject matter of the rumor. • Rodee, Anderson, and Christol quoted Allport and Postman as saying that a rumor has three characteristics: 1. It is a proposition offered for belief 2. It is usually conveyed orally from person 3. It lacks substantiating evidence, and, therefore, a hearsay. • Finally, another propaganda tactic is the use of the big lie. This technique was practiced fervently by Hitler during the second World War. He believed that the message of the propagandist becomes consistent if repeated. He made use of timing to avoid detection of inconsistencies. The Allied forces ignored Hitler’s art of propaganda believing that the big lie was bound to be discovered. • According to the Institute of Propaganda Analysis of the United States, there are other techniques more commonly used in propaganda warfare. These are: bandwagon, name calling, glittering generality, testimonial, transfer, plain folks and card stacking. • Bandwagon – is a propaganda technique of convincing the subjects of propaganda to join the majority of people who have accepted the viewpoint or product proposed by the propagandist. • Name calling – involves the use of a label intended for a person or program which would cause rejection by the public of that person or program. The label may inspire fear, hatred, or prejudice because of its bad or disagreeable meaning. The characterization of a political candidate as murderer or a swindler is an example. • The glittering generality- is a technique that appeals to the emotions of love, sympathy, esteem, and brotherhood; and by employing such virtue-words as charity, common good, truth, liberty, etc. The propagandist may succeed to have his listeners or subjects accept his proposal or program. • Testimonial – is a measure by which a well-known person or celebrity endorsers to the public a political candidate, a program, a new product or idea which the public may accept. • Transfer- is another technique of propaganda that carries the prestige and authority or respectably of a person, program, or idea over to another person, program or plan which the propagandist would like the subjects of propaganda approve or accept. • Plain folks – is a technique utilized by a politician or leader that would make himself appear to the common people as possessing their common habits and characteristics. President Ramon Magsaysay adopted this propaganda tactic for his own benefit. • Card Stacking – is a device used to describe the process of selecting evidence in order to win support for a proposition. The propagandist seeks to confuse those searching for facts which he intentionally hides by distortion, falsehood, or omission. He resorts to over-emphasis or under-emphasis to evade the issues in order to discredit the opponent’s views. • Limitations of Propaganda -Propaganda in essence “play upon weaknesses of man’s critical faculties: upon his suggestibility, and of course upon his prejudices and passions.” In the present century, propaganda is more used to present a one-sided view and to subvert the truth giving the term unsavory connotations. Because most propaganda efforts are directed towards this end, it is important to know certain limitations of propaganda. -One limitation is that of government censorship • Another limitation is when citizens are possessed with alert and inquiring minds in which case the propagandist finds it difficult to penetrate. • And finally, Laswell and Kaplan said that propaganda is ineffective to existing predisposition. No amount propaganda can alter an existing predisposition.
Lost in Democracy: “An Analytical Inquest into Africa’S Difficulties with Democracy and the Prospects of Finding Alternative Systems of Government That May Work Without Hitches.”