Changing Landscapes of Singapore Bicentennial Version (2019 only) LECTURE 9: ECONOMIC LANDSCAPES
LABOUR REQUIREMENT IN SG? WHAT IS THE
POPULATION IN SG? SEE HOW ALL THE LECTURE TO CONNECT TOGETHER .
EXAM NEED TO MAKE CONNECTION BETWEEN
DIFFERENT LECTURES ( E.G. THE AGING POPULATIONS AND FOREIGN IMMIGRANTS )? Outline Mini Quiz Recap – immigration landscapes Today’s objectives Links to Bicentennial Phases of industrial policy - early industrialisation, regionalisation, cluster development and their landscapes Key issues so far: critique of TNCs/GLCs and moving forward Recent economic developments Challenges Summary Recap Bicentennial – we were always an immigrant nation. Reflect on immigration in relation to CMIO nation- building ethos. Relevance? Need to adapt? What is a global city? Hardware vs Software and transnational flows into SG: FT, FW, Creative class and international students. What are immigrant landscapes? Dominant or alternative? Bifurcated landscapes. (lucky plaza, paya lebar, golden mile, marina bay, orchard road, botanic gardens) How successful have we been with integrating immigrants? Today’s Objectives Globalisation: Singapore is defined and constituted by trends and developments that transcend its territorial boundaries (porosity of boundaries) Concept of flows helps us to understand Singapore’s global economic reach Flows of people, knowledge and capital impact landscapes Interconnectedness and Interdependence to places outside Singapore Processes and events occurring at the global scale can impact the local scale. (power can be understood in terms of factors that influence – e.g. external factors that influence state decisions) Bicentennial Link: A lively seaport city even before Raffles Chinese, Thai, Javanese early kingdom interested in trade in Melaka Straits. Late 14th century prosperous time for commercial activity in Temasek (i.e. Singapore) based on evidence from archaeological digs in Singapore (Miksic, 2013). British arrival and East India Company. Building of stronger commercial and political interest of British in Singapore. Counter the power of the Dutch in Indonesia. Economy: natural resources to be extracted and also trade by having ports along Straits of Melaka (Singapore, Melaka and Penang). Independent Singapore Needed to think Global “As a global city, Singapore would not be dependent upon the Malaysian hinterland for its survival, as it had been as an entrepot. The world would now be its hinterland… Singapore’s survival, Mr Rajaratnam [Singapore’s foreign Minister, 1970s] contended, would depend upon its ability to establish a niche in the rapidly expanding global economic system.” (Kwa, 2002) A city’s integration into the global economy as key factor in growth and development From Developmental State to Global City Vision First industrial revolution: independence and nation building Second industrial revolution: upgrading and regionalisation Third industrial revolution: Science parks and biotechnology First industrial revolution (1960s-1970s) Conditions: High unemployment Geographical constraints ( difficult to partner with other countries) Lack of natural resources Lack of experience of local entrepreneurs PAP’s need to bolster its political legitimacy Dissatisfied and restless population First industrial revolution (1960s-1970s) Objectives: Developmental and pragmatic approach Create massive employment through labour-intensive, export-oriented industrialisation programme Attract FDI into Singapore Encourage technology transfer (skills upgrading) How? Maintain low cost of production Image of efficient and corruption-free government Open policy to encourage FDI from TNCs Infrastructure building Building a No.1 Workforce. SOEs: Keppel Corp; SembCorp; Temasek Holdings Key state institutions: Economic Development Board (EDB) [1961] - Promote investment, train manpower and develop industrial sector Jurong Town Corporation (JTC) [1968] -Low cost production sites for foreign manufacturing firms First industrial revolution (1960s-1970s) Successful in attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) especially from the US, UK, Netherlands, Germany and Japan. Industrialisation aided by regional neighbours following protectionist policies (protecting domestic markets and industries). Which has gives Singapore advantage in its open economy. High rankings in ◦ World Competitive Yearbook (published by IMD International) ◦ Global Competitive Index (published by the World Economic Forum ◦ BERI (Business Environment Risk Intelligence). First industrial revolution (1960s-1970s) Issues: ◦ By late 1970s, Singapore becoming too expensive ◦ Other countries in the region better value for low cost and labour- intensive manufacturing activities ◦ Regional neighbours began to abandon protectionist policies to pursue FDI-oriented development strategies ◦ Rise of a global ‘new’ economy: Beginning of era of knowledge- intensive economy. Second industrial revolution (1980s-1990s) Economy had to be re-structured accordingly in line with global economic trends ◦ Drive out labour-intensive manufacturing ◦ Attract FDI in services and knowledge-based and high value added industries Wages were increased based on National Wage Council (NWC) recommendations to attract highly-skilled and innovative workers Introduction of the Skills Development Fund to aid upgrading of labour skills: Transition from low-skilled to higher skilled employment Second industrial revolution (1980s-1990s) Focus on higher level- and value-added industries ◦ E.g. Petrochemicals, financial services, IT industries, R&D ◦ Jurong Island mooted in late 1980s [more about that later]
A*STAR (Agency for Science, Technology and Research) –
previously National Science and Technology Board ◦ Set up to oversee Singapore’s research institutes ◦ Dedicated to biomedical science, IT and engineering Improving infrastructure and urban environment to attract foreign talent ◦ E.g. Singapore’s image as a vibrant city to live and work ◦ Special schemes to attract foreign talent in key industries Second industrial revolution (1980s-1990s) Going regional: ◦ Bringing the region in: regional HQs E.g. Operational Headquarters Scheme (OHQ) and Business Headquarters Scheme (BHQ) Encourage TNCs to locate high-end operations in Singapore Relocate labour- and land-intensive operations to nearby cheaper locations (SIJORI Growth Triangle) command and control function of global cities
Connecting with the region
Second industrial revolution (1980s-1990s) Going regional: ◦ Going out of Singapore: overseas investment and industrial parks The need for an external wing With global competition, heavy reliance on foreign TNCs alone is not sufficient in achieving its long term goals The need to develop indigenous economic capabilities that can tap into growth potentials in other countries ◦ We cannot become robust and strong by ourselves – it depends on our neighbours, on our links, on our outreach and our capabilities’ (PM Lee Hsien Loong, Straits Times, 15 January 2010) ‘Singapore Unlimited’ unveiled by EDB; alongside ‘Regionalisation 2000’ or ‘R2000’.
Such as encourage business to venture out to invest in other
countries Second industrial revolution (1980s-1990s) Regionalisation 2000: In 1993, SM Lee Kuan Yew announced new state initiatives ◦ Develop local entrepreneurs ◦ Build up the external wing of the Singapore economy. Strategic Economic Plan (1990s) two-pronged regional approach: ◦ (1) Push for Singapore investors to go abroad (Prima, Charles and Keith, Yeo’s); selling technological know-how ◦ (2) ‘Regional Industrial Parks’ program unveiled to tap into regional opportunities (SIP). Second industrial revolution (1980s-1990s) Regional industrial parks programme: Singapore government developing and managing self contained industrial estates in Asia Singapore government offering high quality ‘secondary’ factors of production (e.g. help in infrastructure and administration) Aim to generate profits through sale of industrial units and management charges to supplement Singapore’s economy Also serves as test beds for Singaporean companies going abroad Second industrial revolution (1980s-1990s) Suzhou Industrial Park: Initial success: ◦ Increase in foreign investors in the SIP ◦ Developmental effects for Suzhou in terms of urban renewal, infrastructure and housing ◦ Spillover effects e.g. retail and commercial industries primarily due to increased income of local Suzhou residents Problems: ◦ By end 1997, reports of problems with SIP ◦ Partially due to the Asian Financial Crisis (1997-98) ◦ Also result of competition from other Chinese-managed industrial parks in Suzhou: Suzhou New District Industrial Park Challenges to Regionalisation? Yes, there are benefits associated with regionalisation access to resources that Singapore lacks; take advantage of large markets that are close-by But…… ◦ Susceptible to global economic conditions- e.g. 1997 Asian Financial Crisis & 2008 Global Financial Crisis ◦ In terms of setting up regional parks in other places regulations in host countries and lack of understanding of the local cultures (e.g. Suzhou Industrial Park)
Going over to the countries to understand their ways of business
( different operating /behavior as compared to sg) Third industrial revolution? (2000s – ) Development of science parks and biotechnology sector Grounding global flows in specific high tech clusters ◦Traded interdependencies: reductions in transaction costs due to shared resources and infrastructural provisions ◦Untraded interdependencies: collaboration underpinned by trust and social relations e.g. mentorship, networking, creation and transfer of tacit knowledge, etc. ◦Global pipelines: forming networks with other local and distant co-working spaces, such as Silicon Valley One-North (Wong & Bunnell, 2006) ‘The icon of the new economy in Singapore’, but also an important ‘national’ project to ‘transport Singapore’s economy into the knowledge age’ Possess such ‘key elements of a successful technopolis’ as the physical proximity of universities, research institutions and social and recreational amenities that would ‘attract and retain scientific talents by providing an environment that will support their creative work through intimate and informal interaction amongst researchers
Social environment to support creative workforce.
One-North (Wong & Bunnell, 2006) Transition to a ‘knowledge economy’ by ‘attracting both local and foreign talent’ and by providing ‘an environment where business interactions, technology exchanges and networking can flourish to provide a breeding ground for innovation and technopreneurship “Little Bohemia” for the cultivation and promotion of creativity: Holland Village, Portsdown Road, Dempsey, Rochester Park Third industrial revolution? (2000s – ) Biopolis ◦ Part of Science and Technology Plan 2010 budgeted at $2billion to lay foundations for Singapore’s biomedical industry ◦ Focal point for scientific talent and biomedical research; attract local and foreign talent and private/ public companies to work on laboratory research and healthcare ◦ Budget now stands at $6billion, with $13.5billion earmarked for future ◦ Need for infrastructure development ◦ Attract foreign companies and expertise to base in Singapore ◦ For investment and to train Singapore scientists c) Third industrial revolution? (2000s – ) Set-up of efficient infrastructure and facilities – ‘Plug-and- play’ approach. ◦ One-north development which involves converting old HDB blocks and walk-up apartments into more contemporary loft-style condominiums and SOHO for expatriates and other scientists recruited to work there - ‘to make it big, highly aesthetic’. Encourage vibrant lifestyle and creativity ◦ Singapore promoted as a ‘city which is full of life and energy and excitement, a place where people want to live, work and play, where they are stimulated to be active, to be creative and to enjoy life’ (Lee Hsien Loong, ND Speech 2005) Biopolis (Holden & Demeritt, 2008) “Change the mindset of its population and inculcate the individual creativity and entrepreneurialism needed for scientific innovation” “Urban regeneration and renewal to construct new science parks; educational policies to develop a scientific labour force; health policy to facilitate more translational and clinical research; and an immigration policy to encourage the influx of foreign scientists, technicians and researchers” Biopolis (Holden & Demeritt, 2008) Integrated facilities: “Biopolis was the obvious one to go for because you’ve got this integrated system here. You’ve got all this infrastructure, it’s all provided, and as a company you don’t have to put your hand in your pocket to start from scratch setting something up” Favourable research climate: “Singapore offered a stable infrastructure and the promise of good honest non-corrupt regulation and a good cost base by virtue of incentives and grants and also from the regulation point of view the access to being able to do clinical research would be predictable and timely opposed to having uncertain time frames and other issues in other countries”; “That’s different here, and research money is much more easily available”. Third industrial revolution? (2000s – ) Challenges: ◦ Competition from regional neighbours and elsewhere ◦ Geographical constraints still apparent (not enough space) ◦ Over-reliance on foreign talents/ Unethical behaviour (such as asking them to come sg to do research but they awol) ◦ Growth at all costs? ◦ Singapore criticised as too docile and closed-minded: not the vibrant and exciting place as presented in the brochures ◦ Fear of Singaporeans becoming too civic-minded, too vocal and too free- spirited ( not wiling to take risk) Key issues for far: TNCs and GLCs Singapore’s economic success so far has been based on its favourable insertion into global networks of production via 1) Attracting foreign capital in the form of Transnational Corporations (TNCs) 2) Outward investment of national champions in the form of Government-Linked Corporations (GLCs) However, lack of innovation in Singapore’s economy and society ◦ Singapore a victim of her own success ◦ Too much regulation and restrictions (e.g. bankruptcy laws) ◦ Market domination of TNCs and GLCs Too much reliance on foreign capital ◦ Need for a Singaporean core, especially in times of economic crises Key issues so far: TNCs and GLCs Changing external and domestic environment threatening Singapore’s economy ◦ Globalisation and technological advancement ◦ Rise of China and India ◦ Maturing domestic economy Therefore, need to move up the (global) value chain in order to maintain international competitiveness ◦ Policy shift from productivity and efficiency to fostering creativity and entrepreneurialism ◦ Encourage start-ups culture Moving Forward: Beyond GLCs and TNCs In response, the Economic Review Committee (ERC) was formed in 2001, which outlined several recommendations to remake Singapore’s economy • Chief among them is the idea of ‘a diversified economy powered by the twin engines of manufacturing and services, where vibrant Singapore companies complement MNCs, and new startups coexist with traditional businesses exploiting new and innovative ideas.’ Moving Forward: Fostering Local Entrepreneurship “We must foster the growth of enterprising startups and small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) ... We have to minimise rules and procedures that stifle enterprise and discourage small players. Ministries and statutory boards should avoid spawning companies to provide services which private firms can provide, and crowding out the private sector.” (ERC, 2003: 11)
Minimise regulations for start-ups ? Lesser cost for start-ups
How to foster local entrepreneurship? The Smart Nation Programme launched in 2014 by the Prime Minister’s Office and supported by various government agencies A key part of the Smart Nation vision is to build an innovation driven economy where technology startups play a core role in injecting the necessary innovation and vibrancy into the tech ecosystem. Financial support ◦ e.g. early stage venture fund (ESVF) and various incubator schemes Knowledge support ◦ Incubator schemes also provide active mentorship and guidance to the startups ◦ e.g. Technology Incubation Scheme Talent support ◦ revamping the education system to support innovation and entrepreneurship, especially within universities ◦ e.g. Entrepreneurship centres in NUS, NTU and SMU Office support ◦ Co-working spaces and microclusters that encourage inter-firm networks and communications in the form of traded and untraded interdependencies e.g. The HUB Example: Establishment of Entrepreneurship Centres in universities ◦ Institute of Innovation and Entrepreneurship (SMU), Technopreneurship Centre (NTU) and NUS Enterprise ◦ Receive substantial grants from the government ◦ These centres provide various initiatives to support startups at the university level through their incubator schemes ◦ They are thus crucial sites of Singapore’s startup landscape NUS Enterprise Spatialising entrepreneurship ◦ provides co-working spaces at PGP, faculty of engineering, and BLK71 @ Aya Rajah Crescent Support services ◦ Funds and seed money ◦ Mentorship by companies ◦ Talent recruitment (with NUS career centre) ◦ Networking with industry players ◦ Others (e.g. tax, audit, publicity) Recent Updates: The Digital Economy • International partnerships in digital trade efforts, in order to stay nimble in its international trade strategy • Changing trade rules and policies to expand the digital economy: Digital Economy Agreements with countries like Australia, Chile and New Zealand in progress • Areas of agreement: International rules, guard against digital and data barriers, investment in artificial intelligence (AI) and digital identities. • Local level programmes like SMEs Go Digital to boost technology adoption among SMEs. • source: www.straitstimes.com/singapore/singapore-to -lead-digital-trade-efforts-and-shape-new-digital-trade -architecture-iswaran Recent Updates: Economic Slowdown
Regional Economic Outlook report: IMF slashed GDP
growth forecasts for Singapore @ 0.5 per cent in 2019 Possible economic issues/solutions include: Pro- competition production market policies; need upgrading labour skills; measures to increase labour supply; improving access to education; and promoting the participation of women and the elderly in the workforce to stay competitive in the world-economy Source: https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/imf-cuts-spor e-growth-forecast-to-05-for-2019 Recent Updates: Social Challenges to the economy Longer-term challenges of ◦an ageing population, ◦social mobility, ◦ (Even the GDP increase it only for certain people, some of them still not having the jobs or pay increment.) ◦Income and social inequalities Challenges Singaporeans still not entrepreneurial or creative enough? Too risk adverse? Limited talent and investor pool due to small population size, brain drain, and the dominance of GLCs and TNCs in the labour market Small domestic economy, so entrepreneurs are pressured to go regional or global from an early stage Too much intervention and hand-holding by the government? Continual market domination by GLCs and TNCs Summary Singapore’s aspirations to become a global city has impacted its economic landscapes in profound ways Concepts of flows and scale important Capturing global flows of capital, knowledge, people and its impacts on the local landscapes of Singapore Changing global and local economic conditions resulted in different industrial revolutions in Singapore The State continues to play a key role in the evolution of economic landscapes in Singapore Successes but also challenges Summary Landscapes of globalisation: how the concept of flows is important for understanding Singapore’s global reach Globalisation does not mean privileging the global scale but focusing on processes that flow across borders Understanding that these processes have both positive and negative impacts (competition, creativity, security) Power to change landscape not just internal (i.e. state and people, but also competition from the region, changes to economic climate beyond Singapore).