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OklahomaMcCalley06 11 2013
OklahomaMcCalley06 11 2013
electricity markets
James D. McCalley
Harpole Professor of Electrical & Computer Engineering
Acknowledgment
Trishna Das Venkat Krishnan
PhD Student Research Scientist
Funded in part by the US Department of Energy office of Electricity Delivery and Reliability,
“Assessing Storage and Alternatives for Ancillary Service Provision under High Penetration
of Variable Generation,” May 2012-May 2013.
Lizhi Wang
Colin Christy (Industrial Engr) Manimaran Govindarasu Jim McCalley Siddhartha Khaitan
EPRC Director Optimization, Cyber security Planning, wind, Numerical methods
planning & dynamics, storage for dynamics
markets
…plus 20PhD and 15 MS graduate students researchers. 2
Research program
Infrastructure investment planning
• Venkat Krishnan, Post-doc: Energy & transportation systems
• *Diego Meijia, PhD: Long-term uncertainty
• Santiago Lemos, PhD: Integrated planning for electric & natural gas infrastructure
• *Joseph Slegers, MS: Long-term planning with natural gas for light-duty vehicles
Transmission planning
• Oluwaseyi Olatujoye, PhD: Flexibility based planning
• *James Slegers, MS: Resource to backbone transmission for high wind penetration
• Yifan Li, PhD, PhD: High capacity continental transmission overlay design
Integration of variable generation/storage/frequency
• *Trishna Das, PhD: Storage technologies for high penetration of variable gen
• Mei Li, PhD: Transmission reconfiguration for large-scale generation shifts
• Guangyuan Zhang, PhD: Slow dynamics, markets, and variable generation
Risk-based security constrained economic dispatch (SCED)
• *Qin Wang, PhD: Risk-based SCED for electricity markets
Dynamic analysis
• Siddhartha Khaitan, Post-doc: Hi-perf comp apps for dynamic analysis in pwr sys
• Lei Tang, PhD: A dynamic security assessment processing system (DSAPS) 3
Outline
1. Objective
2. Balancing systems
3. Storage classifications
4. Model description
5. Production cost study results
(economic assessment of storage)
6. Conclusions
4
Objective
We seek to establish tools and procedures
for evaluating the extent to which
storage technologies should play a role in
portfolios of future grid services,
given objectives of
• minimizing investment & production costs,
• minimizing environmental impact (e.g., CO2),
• maximizing system reliability & resilience.
An essential step in this effort is to develop a high-
fidelity model for use in day-ahead markets and
production cost studies.
5
Balancing Systems DAY-AHEAD ENERGY
min ENERGY & BUY BIDS
MARKET
ΣΣ zit{Cost(GENit)+Cost(RSRVit)} RESERVE 1 sol/day gives REQUIRED
sbjct to ntwrk+status cnstraints SELL OFFERS 24 oprting cdtns RESERVES
LARGE MIXED INTEGER PROGRAM
BOTH CO-OPTIMIZE: energy & reserves
REAL-TIME ENERGY
min ENERGY & BUY BIDS
ΣΣ {Cost(GENit)+Cost(RSRVit)} MARKET
RESERVE 1 sol/5min gives
sbjct to ntwrk cnstraints SELL OFFERS REQUIRED
1 oprtng cdtn
LARGE LINEAR PROGRAM RESERVES
AUTOMATIC
NETWORK GENERATION
CONTROL SYSTEM
NY
Penn
s
Ohio
Iowa
11
How much role should storage play within portfolio
of technologies for high renewable penetration?
Grid technologies to improve grid performance
Grid service
Control of Increased Storage Load Stoch- Dec Wind Add Add Geo-
astic fore- plant HVDC AC diversity
variable wind & cnventional Cntrl SCUC cast remote and Transm of wind
solar generation error trip utilize ission
Inrtial Freq DIR Spnng / Avalble Shrt Bulk Fast Slow (SPS) control
emu- reg & market 10 min Capcity -
lation rmping resrves term
control
Efficient real-time
market (low market
clearing prices) √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √
Efficient day-ahead
market (highly
accurate conditions) √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √
Transient freq control
√ √ √ √ √ √ √
Regulation (frequency
control)
√ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √
Load following
(includes load
leveling) √ √ √ √ √ √
Managed
transmission
congestion √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √
Peak capacity
√ √ √ √ √
12
Storage Classification – by I/O
1. Type 1: electric energy not input, not output
Examples: are fossil fuels; also natural gas to produce ammonia to
produce fertilizer to produce biofuels, all of which can be stored.
2. Type 2: electric energy input, not output.
Example: producing ice during off-peak periods for use in air
conditioning during peak periods.
3. Type 3: electric energy input, output.
4. Type 4: electric energy not input, but output
Examples: concentrated solar thermal generation utilizes solar
energy to heat molten salt which is then used as a heat source for a
steam-turbine process; hydrogen production via steam-reforming
and then conversion to electricity via fuel cells.
13
Storage Classification – by capacity
Bulk storage: Stores
Short-term storage: High ramp large quantities of
rates - instantaneously responds energy and sustains
to net-load fluctuations, but
power production
with sub-hourly energy
sustaining capacity. across several hours.
Batteries
Fuel Thermal Super Pumped Compressed
Flywheels SMES
NaS Lead Acid Cells Storage Capacitors Hydro Air
Very
Power Density Good Good Very Good Excellent Excellent Very Good Very Good Very Good
Good
Excellent
Very Good Very
Energy Density 170 Fair Excellent Fair Good Very Good Very Good
40 kWh/m3 Good
kWh/m3
Recharge Time Very Good Good Excellent Fair Very Good Excellent Excellent Fair Fair
Dynamic Less than 1 Less than 3 Less than 10
ms ms ms 1s mins ms
Response min min min
Cost/kW $1800 $120 $100 -$300 $4000 $600 $975 $120 $1000 $400
Depends on
Round Trip
89-92 75 85-90 59 Storage 90-95 95 70-85 70+
Efficiency %
medium
14
Three types of storage
Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES) Flywheel
Batteries
For very readable summary of storage technologies, see P. Parfomak, “Energy storage for power grids
and electric transportation: a technology assessment,” Congressional Research Service, March, 2012, at 15
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42455.pdf.
Storage classification – by operational modes
REGULATION
UP
Decrease Increase
charging discharging
SET POINT, SET POINT,
CHARGING DISCHARGING
Increase Decrease
charging discharging
REGULATION
DOWN
4-Quadrant 2-Quadrant
CAES, PHS, large capacity batteries Flywheel, SMES, small capacity batteries Conventional generator
• Regulation-Up • Regulation-Up • Regulation-Up
• Discharge Increase • Discharge Increase • Discharge Increase
• Charge Decrease • Regulation-Down • Regulation-Down
• Regulation-Down • Charge Decrease • Discharge Decrease
• Discharge Decrease
• Charge Increase Short-term storage has little energy
arbitrage potential; therefore no
reason to be charging while providing
RU or discharging while providing RD. 16
Developed storage model
17
Test system
STORAGE
18
Model: 2 multi-period optimizations
48-hour Mixed Integer Program (MIP)
Unit status constraints
…
Unit ramping constraints
Reservoir update constraint
Unit statuses,
dispatch levels,
AS commitments
Transmission arcs
e ( i , j ) (t ) b( i , j ) (t ) i (t ) j (t ) DC power flow relations
Wind arcs
e ( i , j ) (t ) W( i , j ) (t ) Wind is modeled as market participant, limited by
hourly forecast W(t)
21
Gen/discharge & charge arcs
GEN/DISCHARGE DESCRIPTION CHARGE
U (i , j ) E min (i , j ) e (i , j ) (t ) U (i , j ) E max (i , j ) unit maximum & minimum limits U C
(i , j ) E min
(i , j ) e(i , j ) (t ) U (Ci , j ) E max (i , j )
e( i , j ) (t ) e( i , j ) (t 1) rr( i , j ) (t ) 60
unit ramp-up and ramp-down constraints SAME
e( i , j ) (t 1) e( i , j ) (t ) rr( i , j ) (t ) 60
e
(i , j )
reg
(i , j ) (t ) R (t ) required system up-reg (R+(t)) and down-reg (R--(t)) is provided by units
SAME
that are ON, per the two equations below.
e reg (i, j ) (t ) R (t )
(i , j )
0 e reg ( i , j ) (t ) U (Ci , j ) (t ) rr( i , j ) (t ) 5
0 e reg (i , j ) (t ) U (i , j ) (t ) rr( i , j ) (t ) 5
unit’s reg offer is constrained by its 5-min ramp rate.
0 e reg ( i , j ) (t ) U ( i , j ) (t ) rr( i , j ) (t ) 5 0 e reg ( i , j ) (t ) U (Ci , j ) (t ) rr( i , j ) (t ) 5
e
(i , j )
reg
(i , j ) (t ) e sr (i , j ) (t ) R (t ) RSR(t )
(i , j )
required spinning reserves provided by reg & spinning reserves;
e
(i , j )
reg
(i, j) (t ) e sr ( i , j ) (t ) . e nsr ( i , j ) (t )
(i , j ) (i , j )
required total reserves provided by reg, spinning & nonspinning
SAME
reserves;
R (t ) RSR(t ) RNSR(t )
0 e reg ( i , j ) (t ) e sr ( i , j ) (t ) U ( i , j ) (t ) rr( i , j ) (t ) 10 unit’s reg +spinning reserve offer constrained by 10min ramp rate. 0 e reg ( i , j ) (t ) e sr (i , j ) (t ) U (Ci , j ) (t ) rr( i , j ) (t ) 10
0 e nsr ( i , j ) (t ) U 0 ( i , j ) (t ) rr( i , j ) (t ) 10 unit’s nonspinning reserve offer constrained by 10min ramp rate.
e(i , j ) (t ) e reg ( i , j ) (t ) e sr (i , j ) (t ) e nsr(i , j ) (t ) E max ( i , j ) unit energy, reg, spinning reserve & nonspinning
NONSPINNING RESERVE NOT ALLOWED
reserve constrained by maximum limit
e(i , j ) (t ) e reg ( i , j ) (t ) e sr (i , j ) (t ) E max (i , j )U (i , j ) (t ) unit energy, reg, & spinning reserve constrained by e( j ,i ) (t ) e sr ( j ,i ) (t ) ereg ( j ,i ) (t ) E min ( j ,i ) U C ( j ,i ) (t )
e( i , j ) (t ) e reg (i , j ) (t ) E min (i , j )U (i , j ) (t )
maximum and minimum limits e( j ,i ) (t ) e reg ( j ,i ) (t ) E max ( j ,i ) U C ( j ,i ) (t )
U (i , j ) (t ) U (i , j ) (t 1) X (i , j ) (t ) Y(i , j ) (t ) change in discharge state during time t-1 to t must have a start or a shut at time t
U 0 (i , j ) (t ) U 0 ( i , j ) (t 1) X 0 (i , j ) (t ) Y 0 (i , j ) (t ) change in nonspinning reserve state during time t-1 to t must have a quick-start or a shut at time t
unit must be charging, discharging, down, or providing non-spinning reserve U ( j ,i ) (t ) U ( i , j ) (t ) U (i , j ) (t ) 1
C 0
Each charge/discharge operation must model energy & AS within units capabilities 22
Reservoir modeling
RESERVOIR UPDATE EQUATION
e( i ,i ) (t ) ( i ,i ) e(i ,i ) (t 1) ( j ,i ) e( j ,i ) (t ) ( j ,i ) e( i , j ) (t ) ( j ,i ) e reg ( j ,i ) (t ) ( j ,i ) e reg ( j ,i ) (t ) ( j ,i ) e sr ( j ,i ) (t ) ( i , j ) e reg ( i , j ) (t ) (i , j ) e reg ( i , j ) (t ) ( i , j ) e sr ( i , j ) (t ) (i , j ) e nsr (i , j ) (t )
energy stored less energy to less reg-up in plus reg- less spinning
in period t-1 be discharged charging mode down in reserve in
less leakage at period t discharging discharging mode
mode less
energy plus reg- less spinning less reg-up in
plus energy nonspinning
stored in down in reserve in discharging
to be charged reserve in
period t charging charging mode mode
at period t discharging
mode
mode
Must schedule charge/discharge (blue) accounting for AS commitments (red), imposing
storage level (yellow), and reservoir limits (below). Limits are derived from the above.
Charge operation with reg-up and spinning reserve: Discharge operation with reg-down:
e(i ,i ) (t ) ( j ,i ) ( t ) e reg
( j ,i ) ( t ) ( j ,i ) ( t ) e ( j ,i ) ( t )
sr
E max
( i ,i ) e( i ,i ) (t ) e reg ( i , j ) ( t ) E min ( i ,i )
Reservoir level e(i,i)(t), which includes Reservoir level e(i,i)(t), which
its charge, must have capacity for includes its discharge, must have
scheduled reg-up & spinning reserve. capacity for scheduled reg-down
23
RESERVOIR LIMITS WITH A.S. ARE ESSENTIAL.
Production cost study results
• Analysis of bulk storage – CAES
1. Impact of reservoir levels on ancillary services
2. Arbitrage & cross arbitrage
3. Effects of different wind penetration levels
4. Impacts of thermal plant cycling
5. Payback assessment with various penetration levels
• Payback assessment of short-term storage
24
Impact of reservoir limits on ancillary services
Charge
Charge
ice
Pr
Discharge
Discharge
Discharge
26
Cross-arbitrage
CROSS-ARBITRAGE: Charges from the regulation market and
discharges into the energy market or charges from the energy
market and discharges into the regulation market
The amount of down-regulation is more than up-regulation, charging
up the reservoir for energy dispatch during high LMP periods
CROSS-
Without AS, 2-day revenue from energy
STORAGE LEVEL
ARBITRAGE
market is $3.54K.
27
Effects of different wind penetration levels
Different size CAES studied for wind capacity penetrations
of 22, 40, 50, 60%
Tota l R e gula tion (M W h)
These costs have not been an issue because many thermal power plants
are run base-loaded. But without alternatives, these plants would need
to provide ancillary services as wind penetration increases, in which
case their offers would be inflated by cycling.
Aptech report for Public Review, “Integrating Wind- Cost of Cycling Analysis for Xcel Energy’s
Harrington Station Unit 3, Phase 1: Top-Down Analysis,” March. 2009
http://blankslatecommunications.com/Images/Aptech-HarringtonStation.pdf. 29
Impacts of cycling: System view
Cycling cost with Production Cost @ WP 60%
Cycling Cost Classical Production Cost
2,380,000.00
2,370,000.00
2,360,000.00
2,350,000.00
2,340,000.00
2,330,000.00
2,320,000.00
2,310,000.00
2,300,000.00
Base CaseCASE
1: CASE 2:
CAES 100MW Min CASE 3:
Cycling Cost MaxCASE 4:
Cycling Cost
No CAES, 100MW CAES, 100MW CAES, 100MW CAES,
No cycling in bids No cycling in bids Min cycling in bids Max cycling in bids
make it in AS!
40000
20000
31
Payback analysis
Attributes CAES 50MW CAES 100MW
Wind Penetration WP 22 WP 40 WP 60 WP 22 WP 40 WP 60
Energy Discharge (MWh) 386.45 395.13 132.57 452.06 650.23 368.22
Up-Reg/Down-Reg (MW-hr) 288/682 513/933 883/1206 138/682 474/1025 1503/1728
Spin/Non-Spin (MW-hr) 0/0 49.4/0 18/0 67/0 58/100 245/0
Yearly Fuel Cost (M$) 1.23 1.46 2.37 1.35 1.71 2.73
Yearly Fixed O&M Cost (M$) 1.63 1.63 1.63 3.26 3.26 3.26
Investment Cost (M$) 25.5 25.5 25.5 51 51 51
Ancillary Revenue (K$) 16.97 26.85 43.85 11.81 27.58 70.07
Energy Revenue (K$) 8.06 8.44 -0.033 11.28 13.88 -5.61
Total Yearly Revenue (M$) 4.55 6.42 7.97 4.20 7.55 11.73
Yearly Profit (M$) 1.70 3.34 3.97 -0.413 2.57 5.74
Payback (years) 15.02 7.64 6.42 - 19.81 8.88
33
Analysis of short-term storage 20 MW flywheel
Similar studies performed for a 50 MW Flywheel and
a 50 MW Battery, with associated payback analysis.
FW 20MW FW 50MW Batt 50MW
WP 22 WP 40 WP 60 WP 22 WP 60 WP 60
Regulation Bid ($/MW-hr) 2 2 2 2 2 2
Investment Cost (M$) 8.15 8.15 8.15 20.375 20.375 12.5
Rating (MW-hr) 5 5 5 12.5 12.5 12.5
Regulation served (MW-hr) 856.65 887.73 887.77 1243.21 2202.48 2260.61
Ancillary revenue (K$) 10.768 12.512 (9) 13.567 11.737 26.338 26.684
Yearly revenue (M$) 1.96 2.275 2.47 2.135 4.795 4.86
Yearly op. cost (M$) 0.155 0.16 0.16 0.225 0.4 0.41
Yearly profit (M$) 1.805 2.115 2.31 1.91 4.395 4.45
Payback (years) 4.52 3.85 (10.62) 3.53 10.67 4.64 2.81