Professional Documents
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Lec 07
Lec 07
Investment Strategy II
Economics 98 / 198 DeCal Fall 2007
Announcements
• Fundamental Analysis
• Qualitative Aspects (Understanding the business,
competitive advantages, industry, management, etc.)
• Value Investing
• Buying stocks that are valued below its intrinsic value
• Using various financial ratios and measures
Today
• Growth Investing
• CAN SLIM
• C = Current Quarterly Earnings per share
• A = Annual Earnings Increases
• N = New Products, Managements, Highs
• S = Supply and Demand
• L = Leader or Laggard
• I = Institutional Sponsorship
• M = Market Direction
GROWTH
INVESTING
Growth Investing
• General guidelines
• Strong historical earnings growth
• Strong forward earnings growth
• Management control of costs and revenues
• Company efficiency
• Innovative products / industry
CAN SLIM
INVESTING
CAN SLIM Background
28.60%
Revenue Figures
(Calculate growth
rates yourself)
Xerox
• earnings growth rate 32% before
soaring 700% in 1963-1966
Wal-Mart
• 43% annual EPS growth before
rocketing 11,200% from 1977 to 1990
Annual
Earnings Per
Share
N = New products, management, highs
• Apple
• Abercrombie
• Cisco
• Charles Schwab
• Taser
• Sunpower
N = New products, management, highs
vs.
• Criteria:
• Earnings / sales growth, ROE, margins, etc.
A Tool for Industry Research / Rankings: Stockcharts.com Industry Tool
<http://stockcharts.com/charts/performance/perf.html?$BKX,$XAU,$SOX,$OSX,$DRG,
$GSPMS,$DOT,$BTK,$XBD>
A Tool for Industry Research / Rankings: Investor’s Business Daily
A Tool for Industry Research / Rankings: www.prophet.net
Rank Industries
by Performance
over Various
Periods
Institutional
Investors
Individual - Mutual Funds
Investors - Hedge Funds
- You - Pension Funds
- Me - Educational
- Parents Institutions
- Uncle Joe - Bank Trusts
A Tool for Institutional Sponsorship: MSN Money
(http://moneycentral.msn.com/ownership)
Mutual Fund
Ownership
Ownership
Activity
Specific
Mutual Funds
Ownership
(with links to fund
quotes)
M = Market Direction
Why?
M = Market Direction
• Reading:
• Investopedia. Introduction to Support &
Resistance