November 13, 2020

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 REQUESTED ACTIONS BY STATE OF MISSOURI

• Statewide mask mandate

• Emergency planning regarding healthcare systems

• Statewide “Safer at Home” policy

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-15
105
125

5
25
45
65
85
4/3/2020
4/8/2020
4/13/2020
4/18/2020
4/23/2020
4/28/2020
5/3/2020
5/8/2020

Includes COVID+ Only

5/13/2020
5/18/2020
5/23/2020
5/28/2020
6/2/2020
6/7/2020
6/12/2020
6/17/2020
6/22/2020
6/27/2020
7/2/2020
7/7/2020
7/12/2020
7/17/2020
7/22/2020
7/27/2020
8/1/2020
8/6/2020
8/11/2020
8/16/2020
8/21/2020
8/26/2020
8/31/2020
9/5/2020
9/10/2020
9/15/2020
9/20/2020
9/25/2020
9/30/2020
MOVING AVERAGE:

10/5/2020
10/10/2020
10/15/2020
10/20/2020
10/25/2020
10/30/2020
11/4/2020
11/9/2020
NEW COVID HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS

COVID

Average
New Daily

105
125
Admissions

7-Day Moving

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100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800

0
4/10/2020
4/15/2020
4/20/2020
4/25/2020
4/30/2020
5/5/2020
5/10/2020

Includes COVID+ Only

5/15/2020
5/20/2020
5/25/2020
5/30/2020
6/4/2020
6/9/2020
6/14/2020
6/19/2020
6/24/2020
6/29/2020
7/4/2020
7/9/2020
7/14/2020
7/19/2020
7/24/2020
7/29/2020
8/3/2020
8/8/2020
8/13/2020
8/18/2020
8/23/2020
8/28/2020
9/2/2020
9/7/2020
9/12/2020
9/17/2020
9/22/2020
9/27/2020
10/2/2020
10/7/2020
MOVING AVERAGE:

10/12/2020
10/17/2020
10/22/2020
10/27/2020
11/1/2020
11/6/2020
11/11/2020
TASK FORCE HOSPITALIZATIONS

Average
713
Daily Net

628
7-Day Moving
Hospitalizations

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 ST. LOUIS REGION
CONFIRMED COVID+ ONLY
AS OF November 13, 2020

CURRENTLY DAILY ICU VENTILATORS IN

HOSPITALIZED CENSUS USE FOR COVID
(TASK FORCE HOSPITALS) (TASK FORCE HOSPITALS) (TASK FORCE HOSPITALS)

719 140 82
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 ST. LOUIS REGION
SUSPECTED COVID+
AS OF November 13, 2020

CURRENTLY DAILY ICU VENTILATORS IN

HOSPITALIZED CENSUS USE FOR COVID
(TASK FORCE HOSPITALS) (TASK FORCE HOSPITALS) (TASK FORCE HOSPITALS)

149 9 6
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TASK FORCE HOSPITAL DISCHARGES
AS OF November 13, 2020

COVID PATIENTS CUMULATIVE

DISCHARGED COVID PATIENTS
YESTERDAY DISCHARGED
(TASK FORCE HOSPITALS) (TASK FORCE HOSPITALS)

116 8,819
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Planning Scenarios: Delaying Community
Mitigation Measures by One Week

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 Planning Scenarios: Varying Degrees of Community Mitigation
Measures

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Source: St. Louis Metropolitan Task Force
 Projections vs. Actuals: COVID-19 ICU
Census for St. Louis MSA Hospitals
(Without Mitigation Measures)

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Source: St. Louis Metropolitan Task Force
 NEW COVID-19 ADMISSIONS PER 100,000

New COVID-19 Admissions Per 100,000 By County Groupings

Cases Population Rate / 100K

STL MSA 654 2.8M 23.35

St. Louis City and County 345 1.3M 26.54

St. Louis City, MO 75 303K 24.77

St. Louis, MO 270 997K 27.08

STL MAS Other* 309 1.5M 20.59

STL MSA MO 247 820K 30.14

STL MSA IL 62 681K 9.10

Non STL MSA 91

Unknown 3

SOURCE: St. Louis Metropolitan Pandemic Task Force UPDATED 11/11/2020 12

 STL MSA EPIDEMIOLOGY CURVE

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Source: USA Facts; Updated 11/12/2020
 COVID-19 Cases by County/100K

Source: NY Times UPDATED 11/12/2020 14

 COVID-19 Cases for MO Metro/100K

Source: NY Times UPDATED 11/12/2020 15

 COVID-19 Cases: New Deaths in St. Louis MSA

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SOURCE: The New York Times | UPDATED: 11/11/20
Positivity Rate for St. Louis MSA Health Systems

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 Mobility and New Cases for the St. Louis MO-IL MSA

SOURCE: Google mobility data | UPDATED: 11/11/20 18

 Comparison of Models from Nov 12 vs Oct 22

SOURCE: St. Louis Metropolitan Pandemic Task Force | UPDATED: 11/11/20 19

 Comparison of Models from Nov 12 vs Oct 22

SOURCE: St. Louis Metropolitan Pandemic Task Force | UPDATED: 11/11/20 20

 Comparison of Models from Nov 12 vs Oct 22

SOURCE: St. Louis Metropolitan Pandemic Task Force | UPDATED: 11/11/20 21

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