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Probability……
OBJECTIVE
Recognize Mutually
Exclusive Events
For example:
Being a junior and being a senior
are mutually exclusive.
Determine which events are mutually
exclusive when a single die is rolled…..
P( A or B) P( A) P( B)
Example……
A box contains 3 glazed, 4 jelly, and
5 chocolate doughnuts. If a person
selects one doughnut at random,
find the probability that it is either
glazed or chocolate.
Answer……
Sample Space = 3+4+5 = 12
doughnuts
3 5 8 2
P( glazed or choc)
12 12 12 3
Example……
At a political rally, there are 20
republicans, 13 democrats, and 6
independents. If a person is
selected at random, find the
probability that he or she is either a
democrat or an independent.
Answer……
Sample Space = 20+13+6=39
13 6 19
P(dem or ind )
39 39 39
Example……
A day of the week is selected at
random. Find the probability that it
is a day of the weekend.
Answer……
Sample Space = 7 days in a week
1 1 2
P ( Sat or Sun)
7 7 7
Addition Rule – NOT Mutually
Exclusive……
P( A or B) P( A) P( B) P( A and B)
Example……
A single card is drawn from a deck.
Find the probability that it is a king
or club.
4 13 1 16 4
P (king or c lub)
52 52 52 52 13
Example……
In a hospital unit there are 8 nurses
and 5 doctors. 7 nurses and 3
doctors are female. If a staff
person is selected, find the
probability that the subject is a
nurse or a male.
Suggestion: Make a contingency
table.
Find the P(nurse or male)
Let n = nurse and m
= male
P(n or m) =
Females Males Total
P(nurse) + P(m) –
P(nurse and male)
Nurse 7 1 8
8 3 1
P(n or m)
Doctors 3 2 5
13 13 13
10
Total 10 3 13 P ( n or m)
13
Example……
On New Year’s Eve, the probability
of a person driving while intoxicated
is 0.32, the prob. of a person
having an accident is .09, and the
prob. of a person having an
accident while intoxicated is .06.
What is the probability of a person
driving while intoxicated or having
an accident?
Answer……
P(intox or acc) =
P(intox) + P(acc) – P(intox and acc)