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MARRIOTT

ROOMS
FORECASTIN
G

GROUP - 2
ABOUT THE
CASE
Linda Snow- Hotel Manager
Total Rooms in Hotel - 1877

Rooms reserved for August 22- 1839


Contribution Margin from a room: $90
Lost contribution margin from denying a room:
$180

Busiest Days: Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday


Objective:
To forecast demand for rooms on Saturday- August 22
Identify if it is possible to accept booking from tour company
SOLUTION

Demand Forecast using Generated Seasonal Index


Tuesday
Demand Booking Pickup Ratio DOW Index Date

1,670 1,839 0.908 0.865 22nd August

• The demand for rooms is expected to be 1670


which is less than the total number of rooms
• Linda Snow can accept the booking of the
sixty rooms from the tour company

• MAPE: 9.09%
CURVE FIT

Fit: Linear

Slope: -0.001
Intercept: 1.156
INTERPRETATI
ON
1
Pickup Ratio: 0.908 means the final demand
would be smaller than Tuesday bookings for
Saturday- August 22
2

There are sufficient vacant rooms to


accommodate new bookings

There is no risk in accepting the booking


THANK YOU

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