This document provides examples of how to calculate the beta, required return, and security market line (SML) for a two-stock portfolio. It also discusses how changes in inflation expectations and the market risk premium would shift the SML higher. While the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is widely used, it has not been fully verified statistically and may not account for all risk factors. The relationship between expected return and beta in the SML may not be accurate if total risk, rather than just market risk, affects expected returns.
This document provides examples of how to calculate the beta, required return, and security market line (SML) for a two-stock portfolio. It also discusses how changes in inflation expectations and the market risk premium would shift the SML higher. While the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is widely used, it has not been fully verified statistically and may not account for all risk factors. The relationship between expected return and beta in the SML may not be accurate if total risk, rather than just market risk, affects expected returns.
This document provides examples of how to calculate the beta, required return, and security market line (SML) for a two-stock portfolio. It also discusses how changes in inflation expectations and the market risk premium would shift the SML higher. While the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is widely used, it has not been fully verified statistically and may not account for all risk factors. The relationship between expected return and beta in the SML may not be accurate if total risk, rather than just market risk, affects expected returns.
• Create a portfolio with 50% invested in HT and 50% invested in Collections. • The beta of a portfolio is the weighted average of each of the stock’s betas.
• The required return of a portfolio is the weighted
average of each of the stock’s required returns. kP = wHT kHT + wColl kColl kP = 0.5 (17.1%) + 0.5 (1.9%) kP = 9.5%
• Or, using the portfolio’s beta, CAPM can be used to
solve for expected return. kP = kRF + (kM – kRF) βP kP = 8.0% + (15.0% – 8.0%) (0.215) Factors that change the SML
• What if investors raise inflation expectations by
3%, what would happen to the SML? ki (%) D I = 3% SML2 18 SML1 15
11 8
Risk, βi
0 0.5 1.0 1.5
Factors that change the SML
• What if investors’ risk aversion increased, causing the
market risk premium to increase by 3%, what would happen to the SML? ki (%) D RPM = 3% SML2
18 SML1 15
11 8
Risk, βi
0 0.5 1.0 1.5
Verifying the CAPM empirically • The CAPM has not been verified completely. • Statistical tests have problems that make verification almost impossible. • Some argue that there are additional risk factors, other than the market risk premium, that must be considered. More thoughts on the CAPM • Investors seem to be concerned with both market risk and total risk. Therefore, the SML may not produce a correct estimate of ki. ki = kRF + (kM – kRF) βi + ??? • CAPM/SML concepts are based upon expectations, but betas are calculated using historical data. A company’s historical data may not reflect investors’ expectations about future riskiness.