I have 3 wells producing from 3 different reservoirs.

 
For 2 of the wells, whenever I shut-in the well for a few days, it will come back up at the rate before I shut-in the
well.
However, for the other well, it will start at a significantly higher rate before resuming the prior trend.
These 3 reservoirs are under depletion drive.
Why do you think this is the case?

Additional note : There is no injection or gascap. Previous candidates give answers guessing this and that which are
not the smoking gun. Instead focus on the physics, what will cause this to happen.
Just focus on the well in the diagram below okey? The reason I gave the example of the other 2 wells are just to say
that the rate normally resume after shutdown, but why is this case different. Also feel free to email before you make
any assumption, I do not like to get the answer like “oh, maybe the porosity is different”, “oh maybe there is gas
injection here, etc.”

First production

Produce again

Shut-in
Company XYZ is drilling an infill well in the middle of a field with other wells.
Based on neighbouring wells, the engineer thinks the estimated gross thickness of the target sand is
between A and B feet. A and B are numbers of course. Assume that the probability distribution
between A & B are normal

Similarly the net to gross thickness is between C and D. Assume that the probability distribution
between C & D are normal

Net pay = Gross thickness * NTG

Using excel spreadsheet:

Generate the probability density function of gross pay
Generate the probability density function of the net pay
Create an excel spreadsheet that will generate the cumulative density function of the net pay.

Please don’t give a deterministic answer, this is a probabilistic question. The idea here is to test your
resourcefulness (and how much you use your logic) since most students are not equipped to answer
this question from their standard curriculum. This also requires logical thinking, otherwise, for
example you would just setup a simple column and multiply by another simple column, which doesn’t
befit the challenge here.