• The first approach is both naïve and fundamentally flawed.
• This approach calls for discounting NESA’s projected cash flows at New Earth’s corporate cost of capital. • It does not recognize the specific risks of the investment and is at odds with the stand-alone principal in capital budgeting. Approach 2 • The accounting officer’s approach shows some refinement over the naïve approach. • At the very least it recognizes that the investment project to be conducted by NESA was fundamentally different from the main line of business at New Earth. • Had NESA not received government-guaranteed debt financing from their customers, this approach would provide a reasonable approximation. • Exhibit 4 suggests a net present value of negative $28 million given the assumed discount rate at 24%. • Therefore, New Earth would not be interested in investing in South Africa if it were forced to advance all of the funds for the new project itself. Approach 3 • The consulting firm recognized the tax benefits of leverage and the cost savings from government guarantees associated with the specific project. • Table TN-A shows that the weighted average cost of capital for NESA is 9.42%. • Exhibit 4 suggests a net present value of approximately $182 million given the discount rate and ore price at $80 per ton. • In fact, the fast prepayment of debt presented in Exhibit 7 and Exhibit 8 suggests that the initially low WACC as a result of high leverage cannot be applied over the life of the project. • NESA’s entire outstanding debt would be completely paid off by 2020. • As a result, the capital structure of NESA would change rapidly in the first six years of production. Approach 4 • The valuation approach suggested by the internal analyst is probably the best of the four. • From New Earth’s point of view, the value of its equity position in NESA was equal to the discounted value of future dividends. • This approach is known as the Flows to Equity (FTE) approach, which implicitly considers the benefits from leverage and loan guarantees and the effect of covenants on valuation. • An NPV of $33 million can be obtained. • Indeed, the difference in the net present values of the accounting officer’s estimate and the internal anayst reflects the value created via the design of the financing package for the project.