Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Tahun : 2010
Capacity Planning
Pertemuan 04
Learning Objectives
Develop Quantitative
Forecast
Alternative Factors
Demand
Plans (e.g., Cost)
* Schedule Jobs
Short Range Planning
Schedule Personnel
Allocate Machinery
Actual Output
Utilization =
Design Capacity
Planned hours to be used
=
Total hours available
Efficiency
Actual output
Efficiency =
Effective Capacity
Actual output in units
=
Standard output in units
Average actual time
=
Standard time
Example
# 1 4 0 0 5 . 0 2 , 0 0 0
# 2 3 0 0 8 . 0 2 , 4 0 0
# 3 7 0 0 2 . 0 1 , 4 0 0
5 , 8 0 0
If annual capacity is 2000 hours, then we need three machines to handle the
required volume: 5,800 hours/2,000 hours = 2.90 machines
Planning Service Capacity
1. Available capacity
2. Expertise
3. Quality considerations
4. Nature of demand
5. Cost
6. Risk
Implications of Capacity Changes
Changes in:
• Sales
• Cash flow
• Quality
• Supply chain
• Human resources
• Maintenance
Special Requirements for Making Good
Capacity Decisions
Demand
Demand
Demand
Expected Demand
New Capacity
Demand
Time in Years
Expected Demand
New Capacity
Demand
Time in Years
Capacity leads demand with a one-step expansion
Approaches to Capacity Expansion
Expected Demand
New Capacity
Demand
Time in Years
Capacity lags demand with an incremental expansion
Approaches to Capacity Expansion
Expected Demand
New Capacity
Demand
Time in Years
Attempts to have an average capacity, with an
incremental expansion
Evaluating Alternatives
• Cost-volume analysis
– Break-even point
• Financial analysis
– Cash flow
– Present value
• Decision theory
• Waiting-line analysis
Break-Even Analysis
Variable cost
Volume (units/period)
Crossover Chart
Process A: low volume, high variety
Process B: Repetitive
Process C: High volume,A low variety
ess
o c sB
s
- Pr Proc e
t t-
os
os Tot
a l c
lc ro c e ss C
ota l c ost -
P
T Tot a
F = future value F
P= N
P = present value (i + 1)
I = interest rate
N = number of years
NPV in a More Convenient Form
Present value of $1.00
Year 5% 6% 7% 8%
F
P= N
1 0.952 0.943 0.935 0.857
(i + 1)
2 0.907 0.890 0.873 0.857
$0
Waiting-Line Analysis