Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Cost of Capital
D1
P0
RE g
D1
RE g
P0
1.50
RE .051 .111
25
© 2019 McGraw-Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 14-8
Example: Estimating the Dividend
Growth Rate
• One method for estimating the growth rate
is to use the historical average
• Year Dividend Percent Change
• 2011 1.23
(1.30 – 1.23) / 1.23 = 5.7%
• 2012 1.30
(1.36 – 1.30) / 1.30 = 4.6%
• 2013 1.36
(1.43 – 1.36) / 1.36 = 5.1%
• 2014 1.43
(1.50 – 1.43) / 1.43 = 4.9%
• 2015 1.50
Average = (5.7 + 4.6 + 5.1 + 4.9) / 4 = 5.1%
© 2019 McGraw-Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 14-9
Alternative Approach to
Estimating Growth
• If the company has a stable ROE, a stable
dividend policy and is not planning on raising new
external capital, then the following relationship can
be used:
• g = Retention ratio x ROE
• XYZ Co is has a ROE of 15% and their payout
ratio is 35%. If management is not planning on
raising additional external capital, what is XYZ’s
growth rate?
• g = (1-0.35) x 0.15 = 9.75%
© 2019 McGraw-Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 14-10
Advantages and Disadvantages of Dividend
Growth Model
•
Year 1 2 3 4 5
EBIT 220.0 242.0 266.2 292.8 322.1
Depreciation 27.5 30.3 33.3 36.6 40.3
Adjusted Taxes = EBIT*Tc 88.0 96.8 106.5 117.1 128.8
Change in NWC 18.7 20.6 22.6 24.9 27.4
CapEx 52.8 58.1 63.9 70.3 77.3
CFA* 88.0 96.8 106.5 117.1 128.8