• Merger: BOD of two firms agree to the merger. The Target firm ceases to exist and becomes part of firm have to agree to the merger • Consolidation: a new firm is created after the merger • Tender Offer: One firm offer to buy the outstanding stock of other firm at a specific price and communicates this offer in advertisement and mailings to stockholders. By doing so, it bypasses the incumbent management and coard of directors of target firm. Consequently, tender offer are used to carry out hostile takeovers. The acquired firm will continue to exist as long as there are minority stock holders who refuse the tender. From a standpoint, most tender offer eventually become mergers if the acquiring firm is successful in gaining control of the target firm. • Purchase of Assets: one firm acquire the assets of another, though a formal vote by the shareholders of the firm being acquired is still needed. •Management Buyout: A firm may be acquired by a group of management of the company, usually with a tender offer. After this transaction, the acquired firm can cease to exist as a publicly traded firm. •Leverage Buyout: A firm may be acquired by a group of management of the company, usually with a tender offer. After this transaction, the acquired firm can cease to exist as a publicly traded firm. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE ON VALUE EFFECTS OF TAKEOVERS
• Bukti menunjukkan PS yang diakuisisi akan menjadi
pemenang dalam takeover – mereka mendapatkan excess return yang sangat signifikan bukan hanya sekitar tanggal pengumuman, tetapi juga minggu-minggu setelah itu. • Jensen dan Ruback (1983) mereview 13 kasus yang meneliti return sekitar pengumuman takeover dan melaporkan rata-rata excess return 30% terhadap target PS dalam proses tender offer dan 20% pada PS target dalam merger yang sukses; Beberapa studi melaporkan kenaikan harga saham dari perusahaan target sebelum pengumuman takeover; menyarankan sangat perseptif dari pasar modal atau kebocoran informasi tentang deal yang sangat prospek EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE • Kegagalan takeover disebabkan bidding firm menarik kembali penawaran atau karena target firms menolaknya dengan keras. Desai dan Kim (1983) menganalisa efek dari kegagalan takeover pada target firm stakeholders dan menemukan bahwa ketika initial reaksi terhadap pengumuman kegagalan adalah negatif, secara statistical tidak signifikan, sejumlah target firms diakuisisi dalam jangka waktu 60 hari dari kegagalan pertama akuisisi, earning signifikan excess return (50% sampai 60%). • Efek pengumuman akuisisi pada harga saham bidder firm tidak terlalu efek. Jensen dan Ruback melaporkan excess return sebesar 4% untuk PS bidding firm sekitar tender offer dan tidak ada excess return pada saat merger. Jerrel, Brickley dan Netter, dalam penyelidikan tender offer dari tahun 1962 sampai 1985, mencatat adanya penurunan dalam excess return terhadap PS Bidding Firms dari 4.4% di tahun 1960 menjadi 2% di tahun 1970 menjadi negatif 1% pada tahun 1980. Studi lain menunjukkan bahwa kira-kira sebagian dari seluruh bidding firms mendapatkan negatif excess return sekitar pengumuman akuisisi. Ini menyarankan bahwa PS ragu-ragu tentang persepsi nilai dari akuisisi dalam sejumlah kasus yang cukup signifikan STEPS IN ACQUISITION • DEVELOPING AN ACQUISITION STRATEGY • ACQUIRED UNDERVALUED FIRMS 1. A CAPACITY TO FIND FIRMS THAT TRADE AT LESS THAN THEIR TRUE VALUE 2. ACCESS TO THE FUNDS THAT WILL BE NEEDED TO COMPLETE THE ACQUISITION 3. SKILL IN EXECUTION • DIVERSIFY TO REDUCE RISK CREATING OPERATING OR FINANCIAL SYNERGY • OPERATING SYNERGIS CAN BE CATEGORIZED INTO:
1. ECONOMIES OF SCALE 2. GREATER PRICING POWER 3. COMBINATION OF DIFFERENT FUNGTIONAL STRENGTH 4. HIGHER GROWTH IN NEW OR EXISTING MARKETS
OPERATING SYNERGIES CAN AFFECT MARGINS AND
GROWTH, AND THROUGH THESE THE VALUE OF THE FIRMS INVOLVED IN THE MERGER OR ACQUISITION. PAY OFF MERGERS • Payoff can take form of either higher cash flows or a lower cost of capital (discount rate) included are the following: • A combination of a firm with excess of cash or cash slack (and limited cash) can yield a payoff in term of higher value for the combined firm • Debt capacity can increase when two firms combined, their earnings and cash flows may become more stable and predictable.This in turn to borrow more, which creates a tax benefit for the combined firms. Higher cash flows or lower cost of capital • Tax can arise either from the acquisition taking advantage of tax laws or from the use of net operating losses to shelter income. TAKE OVER POORLY MANAGED FIRMS AND CHANGE MANAGMENT
• Beberapa perusahaan tidak dimanaged
dengan optimal, dan yang lain sering yakin menjalankan lebih baik dari current manager. Akuisisi poorly managed firms dan keluarkan incumbent management, at least changing existing management policy and practices, should make this firm more valuable, allowing acquirer to claim the increase in value. This value increase is often termed the value of control. TAKEOVER POORLY MANAGED FIRMS • ALTHOUGH THIS COPORATE CONTROL STORY CAN BE USED TO JUSTIFY LARGE PREMIUMS OVER THE MARKET PRICE, THE POTENTIAL FOR ITS SUCCESS RESTS ON THE FOLLOWING: 1. Poor performance of the firm being acquired should be attributable to the incumbent management of the firm rather than to market or industry factors that are not under management control; 2. The acquisitions has to be followed by a change in management practices, and the change has to increase value. As noted in the last chapter, actions that enhance value increase cash flow from existing assets, increase expected growth rates, increase the length of growth period or reduce cost of capital 3. The market price of the acquisition should reflect the status quo, that is, the current management of the firm and its poor business practices. If the market price already has the control premium built into it, the acquirer has little potential to earn the premium. RESEARCH INDICATES TYPICAL TARGET FIRMS • RISET MENUNJUKKAN TIPIKAL TARGET FIRMS YANG DIAKUISISI DENGAN HOSTILE TAKEOVER: 1. It has underperformed other stocks in its industry and the overall market, in terms of returns to its stockholders in the years preceding the takeover; 2. It has been less profitable than other firms in its industry in the years preceding the takeover; 3. It has a much lower stock holding by insiders than do firm in its peer group. HOSTILE TAKEOVER • Bhide meneliti konvekwensi hostile take over dan mencatat perubahan-perubahan berikut: 1. Many of the hostile takeovers were followed by an increase in debt, which resulted in a downgrading of the debt. The debt was quickly reduced with proceeds from the sale of assets; however 2. There was no significant change in the amount of capital investment in these firms 3. Almost 60% of the takeovers were followed by significant divestitures in which half of more of the firm was divested. The overwhelming majority of the divestitutes were in business areas unrelated to the company’s core business (i.e, they constituted reversal of corporate diversification done in earlier time periods) 4. There were significant management changes in 17 of the 19 hostile takeovers, with the replacement of the entire corporate management team in seven of the takeovers. CATER TO MANAGERIAL SELF- INTEREST • MOTIF DARI BEBERAPA AKUISISI BUKANLAH MEMAKSIMALKAN KEMAKMURAN PS TETAPI MANAGERIAL SELF-INTEREST, DIMANIFESTASIKAN DALAM MOTIF BERIKUT: • EMPIRE BUILDING • MANAGERIAL EGO • COMPENSATION AND SIDE BENEFITS CHOOSING TARGET FIRMS • JIKA PERUSAHAAN SUDAH MENGIDENTIFIKASIKAN ALASAN UNTUK AKUISISI, MAKA PEMILIHAN TARGET FIRMS ADALAH SEBAGAI BERIKUT: • IF THE MOTIVE FOR ACQUISITION IS UNDERVALUATION, THE TARGET FIRMS MUST BE UNDERVALUED • IF THE MOTIVE FOR ACQUISITION IS DIVERSIFICATION, THE MOST LIKELY TARGET FIRMS WILL BE IN BUSINESS THAT ARE UNRELATED TO AND UNCORELATED WITH THE BUSINESS OF THE ACQUIRING FIRM • IF THE MOTIVES FOR ACQUISITION IS OPERATING SYNERGY, THE TYPICAL TARGET FIRM WILL VARY DEPENDING ON THE SOURCE OF SYNERGY. FOR ECONOMIES OF SCALE, THE TARGET FIRM SHOULD BE THE SAME BUSINESS AS THE ACQUIRING FIRM; • IF THE MOTIVE FOR THE MERGER IS CONTROL, THE TARGET FIRM WILL BE A POORLY MANAGED FIRM IN AN INDUSTRY WHERE THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR EXCESS RETURN. IN ADDITION ITS STOCKHOLDINGS WILL BE WIDELY DISPERSED (MAKING IT EASIER TO CARRY OUT THE HOSTILE TAKEOVER), AND THE CURRENT MARKET PRICE WILL BE BASED ON THE PRESUMPTION THAT INCUMBENT MANAGEMENT WILL CONTINUE TO RUN THE FIRM; • IF THE MOTIVE IS MANAGERIAL SELF INTEREST, THE CHOICE OF TARGET FIRM WILL REFLECT MANAGERIAL INTEREST RATHER THAN ECONOMIC REASONS TARGET FIRMS CHARACTERISTICS GIVEN ACQUISITION MOTIVES
• Undervaluation: Trades at a price the estimated value
• Divesification: is in bisnis different from the acquiring firm’s bisnis • Operating synergi: has the characteristics that create financial synergy Tax Savings: Provides a tax benefit to acquirer Debt Capacity: is unable to borrow money or pay high rates Cash Slack: is a badly managed firm whose has underperformed the market Manager’s Interest: has characteristics that best meet CEO’s ego and power needs Why do mergers fails? • Lack of a post-merger plan to deliver on synergy and control; • Lack of Accountability; • Culture Shock; • Failure in consider external constraints • Managerial Ego; • The Market Price Hurdle Take over Restrictions • Antitakeover Amendments • Restriction on Acquisitions ANALYZING MANAGEMENT AND LEVERAGE BUYOUT • VALUATION OF A BUYOUT: Fakta dilapangan manager dan juga pengakuisisi lebih mempunyai akses informasi yang tidak dimiliki oleh investor. Informasi ini mengijinkan manager untuk menyimpulkan, jauh lebih pasti dibandingkan dengan eksternal pengakuisisi, bahwa harga saham perusahaan yang diakuisisi kerendahan. Ini mungkin salah satu alasan untuk buyout. Kedua, management perusahaan masih tetap setelah buyout, tetapi cara mengambil keputusan investasi, pembiayaan dan pembagian devidend mungkin saja berbeda. Ini terjadi karena setelah akuisisi manager akan lebih concerned bagaimana memaksimalkan nilai perusahaan. VALUATION OF BUYOUT • Fakta bahwa perusahaan yang terlibat dalam akuisisi menjadi private bisnis dapat juga mempunyai efek terhadap nilai. Investasi di private bisnis lebih sulit dilikuidasi daripada investasi diperusahaan publik. Ini dapat menciptakan signifikan diskon terhadap value. Diskon ini mungkin lebih kecil apabila buyout karena beberapa dari mereka dilakukan dengan maksud yang jelas. • Jika going private diharapkan meningkatkan responsif manager untuk memaksimalkan nilai dalam jangka panjang – karena mereka adalah pemilik dari perusahaan – Cara menjalankan perusahaan ini dalam nilai dimasukkan dalam arus kas. Kenaikan efisiensi dapat diharapkan untuk meningkatkan arus kas jika meningkatkan operating margin. VALUING A LEVERAGE BUYOUT • TINGKAT HUTANG DALAM LEVERAGED BUYOUT MELEBIHI OPTIMAL DEBT RATIO, YANG BERARTI BAHWA BEBERAPA HUTANG HARUS DILUNASI SECEPATNYA AGAR PERUSAHAAN DAPAT MENGURANGI COST OF CAPITAL DAN RISIKO DEFAULT. PENJELASAN KEDUA BAHWA MANAGER PADA UMUMNYA TIDAK DAPAT DIPERCAYAI UNTUK INVESTASI ARUS KAS SECARA BIJAKSANA UNTUK PS MEREKA; MEREKA PERLU ADANYA DISIPLIN DENGAN PEMBAYARAN HUTANG UNTUK MEMAKSIMALKAN ARUS KAS PADA PROJECT DAN NILAI PERUSAHAAN. KETIGA. RATIO HUTANG BESAR ADALAH TEMPORER DAN AKAN HILANG PADA SAAT PERUSAHAAN MELIKUIDASI AKTIVA DAN MELUNASI PORSI KEWAJIBANNYA YANG SIGNIFIKAN.