lookup seasonal mintemp

30

27.5
celcius

25

22.5

20
1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89
Time (year)
lookup seasonal mintemp : projections_GFDL_CM3_RCP45
lookup seasonal mintemp : projections_GFDL_CM3_RCP85
FEATURE OF RCP SCENARIOS
Name Radioactive forcing Concentration (ppm) Pathway

RCP 2.6 Peak at ~3 Wm-2 before 2100 and then Peak at ~490 CO2 Peak and
declines equivalent before 2100 decline
The most aggressive mitigation and then declines
policy
RCP 4.5 ~4.5 Wm-2 at stabilization after 2100 ~ 650 CO2 equivalent (at Stabilization
(global greenhouse gas emissions stabilization after 2100) without
prices are invoked to achieve the goal of overshoot
limiting emissions, concentrations and
radiative forcing)
RCP 6.0 ~6 Wm-2 at stabilization after 2100 (global ~ 850 CO2 equivalent (at Stabilization
greenhouse gas emissions prices are stabilization after 2100 ) without
invoked to achieve the goal of limiting overshoot
emissions, concentrations and radiative
forcing)

RCP 8.5  8.5 Wm-2 in 2100 > 1,370 CO2 equivalent in Rising
modest rates of technological change 2100
leading in the long term to high GHG
emissions in absence of climate change
policies
2
CONCLUSIONS
High minimum temperature tends to decrease paddy
productivity and paddy production;
Low seasonal rainfall tends to delay and decrease paddy
production;
High rainfall tends to increase paddy moisture, leading to
longer paddy-drying time;
High rainfall tends to decrease available drying days,
leading to a lower dried paddy;
Without the mitigating effort, the negative effect of climate
(minimum temperature and seasonal rainfall) is likely to be
worse;
3