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Chapter 7

The Cost of Production


Topics to be Discussed
 Measuring Cost: Which Costs Matter?

 Cost in the Short Run

 Cost in the Long Run

 Long-Run Versus Short-Run Cost


Curves

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 2


Topics to be Discussed
 Production with Two Outputs:
Economies of Scope

 Dynamic Changes in Costs:


The Learning Curve

 Estimating and Predicting Cost

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 3


Introduction

 Production technology measures the


relationship between input and output
 Production technology, together with
prices of factor inputs, determine the
firm’s cost of production
 Given the production technology,
managers must choose how to produce

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 4


Introduction

 The optimal, cost minimizing, level of


inputs can be determined
 A firm’s costs depend on the rate of
output and we will show how these costs
are likely to change over time
 The characteristics of the firm’s
production technology can affect costs in
the long run and short run

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 5


Measuring Cost:
Which Costs Matter?

 For a firm to minimize costs, we must


clarify what is meant by costs and how to
measure them
 It is clear that if a firm has to rent equipment
or buildings, the rent they pay is a cost
 What if a firm owns its own equipment or
building?
 How are costs calculated here?

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 6


Measuring Cost:
Which Costs Matter?
 Accountants tend to take a retrospective
view of firms’ costs, whereas economists
tend to take a forward-looking view
 Accounting Cost
 Actual expenses plus depreciation charges
for capital equipment
 Economic Cost
 Cost to a firm of utilizing economic resources
in production, including opportunity cost

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 7


Measuring Cost:
Which Costs Matter?

 Economic costs distinguish between


costs the firm can control and those it
cannot
 Concept of opportunity cost plays an
important role
 Opportunity cost
 Cost associated with opportunities that are
foregone when a firm’s resources are not put
to their highest-value use

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 8


Opportunity Cost
 An Example
 A firm owns its own building and pays no rent
for office space
 Does this mean the cost of office space is
zero?
 The building could have been rented instead
 Foregone rent is the opportunity cost of using
the building for production and should be
included in the economic costs of doing
business

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 9


Opportunity Cost

 A person starting their own business


must take into account the opportunity
cost of their time
 Could have worked elsewhere making a
competitive salary
 Accountants and economists often treat
depreciation differently as well

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 10


Measuring Cost:
Which Costs Matter?

 Although opportunity costs are hidden


and should be taken into account, sunk
costs should not
 Sunk Cost
 Expenditure that has been made and cannot
be recovered
 Should not influence a firm’s future economic
decisions

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 11


Sunk Cost

 Firm buys a piece of equipment that


cannot be converted to another use
 Expenditure on the equipment is a sunk
cost
 Has no alternative use so cost cannot be
recovered – opportunity cost is zero
 Decision to buy the equipment might have
been good or bad, but now does not matter

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 12


Prospective Sunk Cost

 An Example
 Firm is considering moving its headquarters
 A firm paid $500,000 for an option to buy a
building
 The cost of the building is $5 million for a
total of $5.5 million
 The firm finds another building for $5.25
million
 Which building should the firm buy?

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 13


Prospective Sunk Cost

 Example (cont.)
 The first building should be purchased
 The $500,000 is a sunk cost and should
not be considered in the decision to buy
 What should be considered is
 Spending an additional $5,250,000 or
 Spending an additional $5,000,000

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 14


Measuring Cost:
Which Costs Matter?

 Some costs vary with output, while


some remain the same no matter the
amount of output
 Total cost can be divided into:
1. Fixed Cost
 Does not vary with the level of output
2. Variable Cost
 Cost that varies as output varies

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 15


Fixed and Variable Costs

 Total output is a function of variable


inputs and fixed inputs
 Therefore, the total cost of production
equals the fixed cost (the cost of the
fixed inputs) plus the variable cost (the
cost of the variable inputs), or…

TC  FC  VC
©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 16
Fixed and Variable Costs
 Which costs are variable and which are
fixed depends on the time horizon
 Short time horizon – most costs are fixed
 Long time horizon – many costs become
variable
 In determining how changes in
production will affect costs, must
consider if fixed or variable costs are
affected.

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 17


Fixed Cost Versus Sunk Cost

 Fixed cost and sunk cost are often


confused
 Fixed Cost
 Cost paid by a firm that is in business
regardless of the level of output
 Sunk Cost
 Cost that has been incurred and cannot be
recovered

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 18


Measuring Cost:
Which Costs Matter?

 Personal Computers
 Most costs are variable
 Largest component: labor

 Software
 Most costs are sunk
 Initial cost of developing the software

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 19


Marginal and Average Cost

 In completing a discussion of costs, must


also distinguish between
 Average Cost
 Marginal Cost

 After definition of costs is complete, one


can consider the analysis between short-
run and long-run costs

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 20


Measuring Costs

 Marginal Cost (MC):


 The cost of expanding output by one unit
 Fixed costs have no impact on marginal cost,
so it can be written as:

ΔVC ΔTC
MC  
Δq Δq

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 21


Measuring Costs

 Average Total Cost (ATC)


 Cost per unit of output
 Also equals average fixed cost (AFC) plus
average variable cost (AVC)

TC
ATC   AFC  AVC
q
TC TFC TVC
ATC   
q q q
©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 22
Measuring Costs

 All the types of costs relevant to


production have now been discussed
 Can now discuss how they differ in the
long and short run
 Costs that are fixed in the short run may
not be fixed in the long run
 Typically in the long run, most if not all
costs are variable

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 23


A Firm’s Short Run Costs

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 24


Determinants of Short Run Costs

 The rate at which these costs increase


depends on the nature of the production
process
 The extent to which production involves
diminishing returns to variable factors
 Diminishing returns to labor
 When marginal product of labor is decreasing

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 25


Determinants of Short Run Costs

 If marginal product of labor decreases


significantly as more labor is hired
 Costs of production increase rapidly
 Greater and greater expenditures must be
made to produce more output
 If marginal product of labor decreases
only slightly as increase labor
 Costs will not rise very fast when output is
increased

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 26


Determinants of Short Run
Costs – An Example

 Assume the wage rate (w) is fixed


relative to the number of workers hired
 Variable costs is the per unit cost of extra
labor times the amount of extra labor: wL

VC wL
MC  
q q

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 27


Determinants of Short Run
Costs – An Example
 Remembering that
Q
MPL 
L
 And rearranging

L 1
L for a 1 unit Q  
Q MPL

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 28


Determinants of Short Run
Costs – An Example
 We can conclude:

w
MC 
MPL

 …and a low marginal product (MPL) leads


to a high marginal cost (MC) and vice
versa

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 29


Determinants of Short Run Costs

 Consequently (from the table):


 MC decreases initially with increasing returns
0 through 4 units of output
 MC increases with decreasing returns
5 through 11 units of output

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 30


Cost Curves

 The following figures illustrate how


various cost measures change as
outputs change
 Curves based on the information in table
7.1 discussed earlier

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 31


Cost Curves for a Firm
TC
Cost 400
($ per Total cost
year) VC
is the vertical
sum of FC
and VC.
300
Variable cost
increases with
production and
the rate varies with
increasing and
200
decreasing returns.

Fixed cost does not


100 vary with output
50 FC

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Output

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 32


Cost Curves
120
100
MC
80
Cost ($/unit)

60
ATC
40
AVC
20
AFC
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Output (units/yr)
©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 33
Cost Curves

 When MC is below AVC, AVC is falling


 When MC is above AVC, AVC is rising
 When MC is below ATC, ATC is falling
 When MC is above ATC, ATC is rising
 Therefore, MC crosses AVC and ATC at
the minimums
 The Average – Marginal relationship

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 34


Cost Curves for a Firm
 The line drawn from
the origin to the P TC
variable cost curve: 400
VC
 Its slope equals AVC
 The slope of a point 300
on VC or TC equals
MC 200
 Therefore, MC = AVC A
at 7 units of output 100
(point A) FC

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Output

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 35


Cost in the Long Run

 In the long run a firm can change all of its


inputs
 In making cost minimizing choices, must
look at the cost of using capital and labor
in production decisions

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 36


Cost in the Long Run

 Capital is either rented/leased or


purchased
 We will consider capital rented as if it were
purchased
 Assume Delta is considering purchasing
an airplane for $150 million
 Plane lasts for 30 years
 $5 million per year – economic depreciation
for the plane

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 37


Cost in the Long Run

 Delta needs to compare its revenues and


costs on an annual basis
 If the firm had not purchased the plane, it
would have earned interest on the $150
million
 Forgone interest is an opportunity cost
that must be considered

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 38


User Cost of Capital

 The user cost of capital must be


considered
 The annual cost of owning and using the
airplane instead of selling or never buying it
 Sum of the economic depreciation and the
interest (the financial return) that could have
been earned had the money been invested
elsewhere

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 39


Cost in the Long Run

 User Cost of Capital = Economic


Depreciation + (Interest Rate)*(Value of
Capital)
 = $5 mil + (.10)($150 mil – depreciation)
 Year 1 = $5 million + (.10)($150 million) =
$20 million
 Year 10 = $5 million +(.10)($100 million) =
$15 million

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 40


Cost in the Long Run

 User cost can also be described as:


 Rate per dollar of capital, r
 r = Depreciation Rate + Interest Rate

 In our example, depreciation rate was


3.33% and interest was 10%, so
 r = 3.33% + 10% = 13.33%

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 41


Cost Minimizing Input Choice
 How do we put all this together to select inputs to
produce a given output at minimum cost?
 Assumptions
 Two Inputs: Labor (L) and capital (K)
 Price of labor: wage rate (w)
 The price of capital
r = depreciation rate + interest rate
 Or rental rate if not purchasing
 These are equal in a competitive capital
market

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 42


Cost in the Long Run

 The Isocost Line


 A line showing all combinations of L & K that
can be purchased for the same cost
 Total cost of production is sum of firm’s labor
cost, wL, and its capital cost, rK:
C = wL + rK
 For each different level of cost, the equation
shows another isocost line

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 43


Cost in the Long Run

 Rewriting C as an equation for a straight


line:
 K = C/r - (w/r)L
 Slope of the isocost: K
L
w
r
 
 -(w/r)is the ratio of the wage rate to rental cost
of capital.
 This shows the rate at which capital can be
substituted for labor with no change in cost

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 44


Choosing Inputs
 We will address how to minimize cost for
a given level of output by combining
isocosts with isoquants
 We choose the output we wish to
produce and then determine how to do
that at minimum cost
 Isoquant is the quantity we wish to produce
 Isocost is the combination of K and L that
gives a set cost

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 45


Producing a Given Output at
Minimum Cost
Capital
per Q1 is an isoquant for output Q1.
year There are three isocost lines, of
which 2 are possible choices in
which to produce Q1.
K2

Isocost C2 shows quantity


Q1 can be produced with
combination K2,L2 or K3,L3.
However, both of these
A are higher cost combinations
K1 than K1,L1.

Q1
K3

C0 C1 C2
Labor per year
L2 L1 L3
©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 46
Input Substitution When an
Input Price Change

 If the price of labor changes, then the


slope of the isocost line changes, -(w/r)
 It now takes a new quantity of labor and
capital to produce the output
 If price of labor increases relative to price
of capital, and capital is substituted for
labor

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 47


Input Substitution When an
Input Price Change
Capital
per If the price of labor
year rises, the isocost curve
becomes steeper due to
the change in the slope -(w/L).

The new combination of K


and L is used to produce Q1.
B Combination B is used in
K2 place of combination A.

A
K1

Q1

C2 C1

L2 L1 Labor per year


©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 48
Cost in the Long Run

 How does the isocost line relate to the


firm’s production process?
MPL
MRTS  - K 
L MPK

Slope of isocost line  K  w


L r
MPL
w when firm minimizes cost
MPK r

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 49


Cost in the Long Run
 The minimum cost combination can then
be written as:

MPL MPK

w r
 Minimum cost for a given output will occur
when each dollar of input added to the
production process will add an equivalent
amount of output.

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 50


Cost in the Long Run

 If w = $10, r = $2, and MPL = MPK, which


input would the producer use more of?
 Labor because it is cheaper
 Increasing labor lowers MPL

 Decreasing capital raises MPK


 Substitute labor for capital until
MPL MPK

w r
©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 51
Cost in the Long Run

 Cost minimization with Varying Output


Levels
 For each level of output, there is an isocost
curve showing minimum cost for that output
level
 A firm’s expansion path shows the minimum
cost combinations of labor and capital at
each level of output
 Slope equals K/L

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 52


A Firm’s Expansion Path
Capital
per The expansion path illustrates
the least-cost combinations of
year
labor and capital that can be
150 $3000 used to produce each level of
output in the long-run.

Expansion Path
$200
100 0
C
75
B
50
300 Units
A
25
200 Units

Labor per year


50 100 150 200 300
©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 53
Expansion Path and Long Run
Costs

 Firm’s expansion path has same


information as long-run total cost curve
 To move from expansion path to LR cost
curve
 Find tangency with isoquant and isocost
 Determine min cost of producing the output
level selected
 Graph output-cost combination

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 54


A Firm’s Long Run Total Cost
Curve
Cost/
Year
Long Run Total Cost
F
3000

E
2000

D
1000

Output, Units/yr
100 200 300
©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 55
Long Run Versus Short Run
Cost Curves

 In the short run, some costs are fixed


 In the long run, firm can change anything
including plant size
 Can produce at a lower average cost in long
run than in short run
 Capital and labor are both flexible

 We can show this by holding capital fixed


in the short run and flexible in long run

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 56


The Inflexibility of Short Run
Production
Capital E Capital is fixed at K1.
per To produce q1, min cost at K1,L1.
year If increase output to Q2, min cost
C is K1 and L3 in short run.

In LR, can
Long-Run
change
Expansion Path
A capital and
min costs
falls to K2
K2 and L2.
Short-Run
P Expansion Path
K1 Q2

Q1
Labor per year
L1 L2 B L3 D F
©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 57
Long Run Versus
Short Run Cost Curves

 Long-Run Average Cost (LAC)


 Most important determinant of the shape of
the LR AC and MC curves is relationship
between scale of the firm’s operation and
inputs required to minimize cost
1. Constant Returns to Scale
 If input is doubled, output will double
 AC cost is constant at all levels of output

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 58


Long Run Versus Short Run
Cost Curves

2. Increasing Returns to Scale


 If input is doubled, output will more than
double
 AC decreases at all levels of output
3. Decreasing Returns to Scale
 If input is doubled, output will less than
double
 AC increases at all levels of output

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 59


Long Run Versus Short Run
Cost Curves
 In the long run:
 Firms experience increasing and decreasing
returns to scale and therefore long-run
average cost is “U” shaped.
 Source of U-shape is due to returns to scale
instead of decreasing returns to scale like the
short-run curve
 Long-run marginal cost curve measures the
change in long-run total costs as output is
increased by 1 unit

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 60


Long Run Versus Short Run
Cost Curves

 Long-run marginal cost leads long-run


average cost:
 If LMC < LAC, LAC will fall
 If LMC > LAC, LAC will rise

 Therefore, LMC = LAC at the minimum of


LAC
 In special case where LAC is constant,
LAC and LMC are equal

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 61


Long Run Average and Marginal
Cost
Cost
($ per unit
of output LMC

LAC

Output

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 62


Long Run Costs

 As output increases, firm’s AC of


producing is likely to decline to a point
1. On a larger scale, workers can better
specialize
2. Scale can provide flexibility – managers can
organize production more effectively
3. Firm may be able to get inputs at lower cost
if can get quantity discounts. Lower prices
might lead to different input mix.

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 63


Long Run Costs
 At some point, AC will begin to increase
1. Factory space and machinery may make it
more difficult for workers to do their jobs
efficiently
2. Managing a larger firm may become more
complex and inefficient as the number of
tasks increase
3. Bulk discounts can no longer be utilized.
Limited availability of inputs may cause
price to rise.

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 64


Long Run Costs

 When input proportions change, the


firm’s expansion path is no longer a
straight line
 Concept of return to scale no longer applies
 Economies of scale reflects input
proportions that change as the firm
changes its level of production

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 65


Economies and Diseconomies
of Scale
 Economies of Scale
 Increase in output is greater than the
increase in inputs
 Diseconomies of Scale
 Increase in output is less than the increase in
inputs
 U-shaped LAC shows economies of
scale for relatively low output levels and
diseconomies of scale for higher levels

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 66


Long Run Costs

 Increasing Returns to Scale


 Output more than doubles when the
quantities of all inputs are doubled
 Economies of Scale
 Doubling of output requires less than a
doubling of cost

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 67


Long Run Costs

 Economies of scale are measured in


terms of cost-output elasticity, EC
 EC is the percentage change in the cost
of production resulting from a 1-percent
increase in output

EC  C C  MC
Q Q AC

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 68


Long Run Costs
 EC is equal to 1, MC = AC
 Costs increase proportionately with output
 Neither economies nor diseconomies of scale
 EC < 1 when MC < AC
 Economies of scale
 Both MC and AC are declining
 EC > 1 when MC > AC
 Diseconomies of scale
 Both MC and AC are rising

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 69


Long Run Versus Short Run
Cost Curves

 We will use short and long run costs to


determine the optimal plant size
 We can show the short run average
costs for 3 different plant sizes
 This decision is important because once
built, the firm may not be able to change
plant size for a while

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 70


Long Run Cost with
Constant Returns to Scale

 The optimal plant size will depend on the


anticipated output
 If expect to produce q0, then should build
smallest plant: AC = $8
 If produce more, like q1, AC rises

 If expect to produce q2, middle plant is least


cost
 If expect to produce q3, largest plant is best

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 71


Long Run Cost with Economies
and Diseconomies of Scale

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 72


Long Run Cost with
Constant Returns to Scale

 What is the firm’s long run cost curve?


 Firms can change scale to change output in
the long run
 The long run cost curve is the dark blue
portion of the SAC curve which represents
the minimum cost for any level of output
 Firm will always choose plant that minimizes
the average cost of production

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 73


Long Run Cost with
Constant Returns to Scale

 The long-run average cost curve


envelops the short-run average cost
curves
 The LAC curve exhibits economies of
scale initially but exhibits diseconomies
at higher output levels

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 74


Production with Two Outputs –
Economies of Scope

 Many firms produce more than one


product and those products are closely
linked
 Examples:
 Chicken farm--poultry and eggs
 Automobile company--cars and trucks

 University--teaching and research

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 75


Production with Two Outputs –
Economies of Scope

 Advantages
1. Both use capital and labor
2. The firms share management resources
3. Both use the same labor skills and
types of machinery

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 76


Production with Two Outputs –
Economies of Scope

 Firms must choose how much of each to


produce
 The alternative quantities can be
illustrated using product transformation
curves
 Curves showing the various combinations of
two different outputs (products) that can be
produced with a given set of inputs

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 77


Product Transformation Curve
Number Each curve shows
of tractors combinations of output
with a given combination
of L & K.

O2
O1 illustrates a low level
of output. O2 illustrates
a higher level of output with
two times as much labor
O1 and capital.

Number of cars

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 78


Product Transformation Curve
 Product transformation curves are
negatively sloped
 To get more of one output, must give up
some of the other output
 Constant returns exist in this example
 Second curve lies twice as far from origin as
the first curve
 Curve is concave
 Joint production has its advantages

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 79


Production with Two Outputs –
Economies of Scope

 There is no direct relationship between


economies of scope and economies of
scale
 May experience economies of scope and
diseconomies of scale
 May have economies of scale and not have
economies of scope

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 80


Production with Two Outputs –
Economies of Scope
 The degree of economies of scope (SC) can
be measured by percentage of cost saved
producing two or more products jointly:
C(q1 )  C(q2 )  C(q1 ,q2 )
SC 
C(q1 ,q2 )
 C(q1) is the cost of producing q1
 C(q2) is the cost of producing q2
 C(q1,q2) is the joint cost of producing both products

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 81


Production with Two Outputs –
Economies of Scope

 With economies of scope, the joint cost is


less than the sum of the individual costs
 Interpretation:
 If SC > 0  Economies of scope
 If SC < 0  Diseconomies of scope

 The greater the value of SC, the greater the


economies of scope

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 82


Dynamic Changes in Costs –
The Learning Curve

 Firms may lower their costs not only due


to economies of scope, but also due to
managers and workers becoming more
experienced at their jobs
 As management and labor gain
experience with production, the firm’s
marginal and average costs may fall

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 83


Dynamic Changes in Costs –
The Learning Curve

 Reasons
1. Speed of work increases with experience
2. Managers learn to schedule production
processes more efficiently
3. More flexibility is allowed with experience;
may include more specialized tools and
plant organization
4. Suppliers become more efficient, passing
savings to company

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 84


Dynamic Changes in Costs –
The Learning Curve

 The learning curve measures the


impact of workers’ experience on the
costs of production
 It describes the relationship between a
firm’s cumulative output and the amount
of inputs needed to produce a unit of
output

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 85


The Learning Curve
Hours of labor
per machine lot
10

2
Cumulative number of
machine lots produced
0 10 20 30 40 50

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 86


The Learning Curve
 The horizontal axis measures the
cumulative number of hours of machine
tools the firm has produced

 The vertical axis measures the number of


hours of labor needed to produce each
lot

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 87


Dynamic Changes in Costs –
The Learning Curve

 The learning curve in the figure is based


on the relationship:

L  A  BN
N  cumulative units of output produced
L  labor input per unit of output
A, B and  are constants
A & B are positive and  is between 0 and 1
©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 88
Dynamic Changes in Costs –
The Learning Curve

 If N = 1
 L equals A + B and this measures labor input
to produce the first unit of output
 If  = 0
 Labor input per unit of output remains
constant as the cumulative level of output
increases, so there is no learning

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 89


Dynamic Changes in Costs –
The Learning Curve

 If  > 0 and N increases,


 L approaches A, and A represents minimum
labor input/unit of output after all learning has
taken place
 The larger ,
 The more important the learning effect

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 90


The Learning Curve
Hours of labor
The chart shows a sharp drop
per machine lot
10 in lots to a cumulative amount of
20, then small savings at
higher levels.
8
Doubling cumulative output causes
a 20% reduction in the difference
between the input required and
6
minimum attainable input requirement.

4
  0.31
2

Cumulative number of
0 10 20 30 40 50 machine lots produced

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 91


Dynamic Changes in Costs –
The Learning Curve

 Observations
1. New firms may experience a learning curve,
not economies of scale
 Should increase production of many lots
regardless of individual lot size
2. Older firms have relatively small gains from
learning
 Should produce their machines in very large
lots to take advantage of lower costs
associated with size

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 92


Economies of Scale Versus
Learning
Cost
($ per unit
of output)

Economies of Scale
A
B
AC1
Learning
C
AC2
Output

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 93


Predicting Labor Requirements
of Producing a Given Output

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 94


Dynamic Changes in Costs –
The Learning Curve

 From the table, the learning curve


implies:
1. The labor requirement falls per unit
2. Costs will be high at first and then will fall
with learning
3. After 8 years, the labor requirement will be
0.51 and per unit cost will be half what it
was in the first year of production

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 95


The Learning Curve in Practice

 Scenario
 A new firm enters the chemical processing
industry
 Do they:
1. Produce a low level of output and sell at a
high price?
2. Produce a high level of output and sell at a
low price?

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 96


The Learning Curve in Practice

 The Empirical Findings


 Study of 37 chemical products
 Average cost fell 5.5% per year
 For each doubling of plant size, average
production costs fall by 11%
 For each doubling of cumulative output, the
average cost of production falls by 27%
 Which is more important, the economies
of scale or learning effects?

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 97


The Learning Curve in Practice

 Other Empirical Findings


 In the semiconductor industry, a study of
seven generations of DRAM semiconductors
from 1974-1992 found learning rates
averaged 20%
 In the aircraft industry, the learning rates are
as high as 40%

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 98


The Learning Curve in Practice

 Applying Learning Curves


1. To determine if it is profitable to enter an
industry
2. To determine when profits will occur based
on plant size and cumulative output

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 99


Estimating and Predicting Cost

 Estimates of future costs can be obtained


from a cost function, which relates the
cost of production to the level of output
and other variables that the firm can
control
 Suppose we wanted to derive the total
cost curve for automobile production

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 100


Total Cost Curve for the
Automobile Industry
Variable
General Motors
cost

Nissan
Toyota

Honda

Volvo
Ford

Chrysler
Quantity of Cars

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 101


Estimating and Predicting Cost

 A linear cost function might be:

VC  Q
 The linear cost function is applicable only
if marginal cost is constant
 Marginal cost is represented by 

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 102


Estimating and Predicting Cost

 If we wish to allow for a U-shaped


average cost curve and a marginal cost
that is not constant, we might use a
quadratic cost function:

VC   Q   Q 2

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 103


Estimating and Predicting Cost

 If the marginal cost curve is also not


linear, we might use a cubic cost
function:

VC   Q   Q   Q 2 3

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 104


Cubic Cost Function
Cost
($ per unit)
MC  β  2γQ  3δQ 2

AVC  β  γQ  δQ 2

Output
(per time period)
©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 105
Estimating and Predicting Cost

 Difficulties in Measuring Cost


1. Output data may represent an aggregate of
different types of products
2. Cost data may not include opportunity cost
3. Allocating cost to a particular product may
be difficult when there is more than one
product line

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 106


Cost Functions & Measurement
of Scale Economies

 Scale Economy Index (SCI)


 EC = 1, SCI = 0: no economies or
diseconomies of scale
 EC > 1, SCI is negative: diseconomies of
scale
 EC < 1, SCI is positive: economies of scale

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 107


Scale Economies in Electric
Power Industry

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 108


Average Cost of Production
in the Electric Power Industry

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 109


Cost Functions for Electric
Power

 Findings
 Decline in cost
 Not due to economies of scale
 Was caused by:
 Lower input cost (coal and oil)
 Improvements in technology

©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 7 110

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