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Geometric Method Presentation Final 1.Pptx Latest
Geometric Method Presentation Final 1.Pptx Latest
Presented by:
Bhantooa Luvindraj (1014582)
Boyjoo Manoj (1014504)
Bundhoo Deepshika (1017841)
Ramgoolam Oomeshnathsingh (1019085)
Seburn Indra (1015380)
Population Forecasting
Fundamental to planning
(Assumptions and estimates used in determining sewage flow have a permanent effect on
planning decisions and outcomes)
Environmental impact
P = Po λ t
which is based on the hypothesis that rate of change of population is proportional
to the population. According to this, method it is assumed that the rate of increase
of population growth in a community is proportional to the present population.
P = Poλt
λ = (1+ i) for discrete change
Therefore P = Po (1+i)t where,
P0 : Initial population size
P: Population size at time t
i: Average percentage increase per decade
t: Number of decades
…Solution (using discrete method)
Year Population: Increment Percentage Increment
(thousands) per Decade per Decade
1943 60 - -
1953 65 +5 (5÷60) x 100 = +8.33
1963 63 -2 (2÷65) x 100 = -3.07
1973 72 +9 (9÷63) x 100 = +14.28
1983 79 +7 (7÷72) x 100 = +9.72
1993 89 +10 (10÷79) x 100 = +12.66
2003 97 +8 (8÷89) x 100 = +8.98
2013 120 +23 (23÷97) x 100 = +23.71
Net values - +60 +74.61
Averages - 8.57 10.66
…Solution (using discrete method)Solution
P = Poλt
λ = ℮ i for continuous change
P0 : Initial population size
P: Population size at time t
i: Average percentage increase per decade
t: Number of decades
= 165.22
…solution (comparison of results)
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060
165
160
155
150
145
140
135
130
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045