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Boot Camp Part 2: Volatility, Directional Trading, and Spreading
Boot Camp Part 2: Volatility, Directional Trading, and Spreading
Option Pit
Option Pit Boot Camp 1 Quiz
•What is the flow of model inputs to generate P/L?
inputs- position change- greeks – p/l
•Is acceleration a fair way to describe gamma and what is the market
factor most closely associated with it?
•Yes it is and the factor is realized volatility
•What is positive Theta? Is it free?
•Time decay that accrues as dollars and it is not free since there is risk
to get it
•What is Vega in a position? Please explain.
•Sensitivity to a change in FORWARD VOL. but we use IV
You Will Learn
• What is Low Vol
• What is High Vol
• How to Trade vol and direction
• The Risk Reversal and Sling-Shot
• Call and Put Spreads
• The basic butterfly directional trade
What is Low IV
What is Low IV
• There is always some nuance to guessing low vs
high
• It takes studying where the reversion levels are
– And how far below mean and close to extremes
current IV is
– How low IV is relative to VIX, VXN, and RVX
• How has the underlying been moving, relative to
vol
• Has the underlying had MOMENTUM, so ‘HV’ is
low but movement his high
Low/High IV
What is High IV
High IV
• Like low IV high IV is a bit of art and science
• Where has high been in the stock historically
• Where is the VIX
• Is the underlying moving, will it continue to
move
– Relative to the movement how much ‘slack’ is
there in an IV drop
IV
Skew
• Because of supply and demand, and the
lognormal assumptions, volatility does not
have a flat distribution:
• Options do not move uniformly
across the curve
Skew
Steeper and Flatter
What is Steep/Flat Skew
• When upside calls are priced at a higher IV,
and have a real value relative to ATM, skew is
flat
• When downside puts are trading at a higher
than normal IV relative to ATM skew is steep
• steep is just the opposite, when upside gets
smashed.
• When downside gets really flat, to the point it
is about even with ATM, it should be bought
Setting up a position to reduce risk
Standard
Ratio
Butterfly
• The Directional butterfly is the perfect spread
for a slow moving trade.
• Allows trader to ‘shoot for a target’
• Is SUPER cheap if set up properly
• Great for the ‘slow play’
• Allows for almost NO volatility exposure
Example TSLA
• I think that TSLA is going to be trading
between 270-275 by September expiration
• The IV is not high, but I think its going to drop
• I want to get paid if the stock creeps higher
Example
Tips
• This is good when IV is high and one wants to
be a bull
• Its also good when one has a good feel on
movement
• Set the 1st long wing at your target price (270)
because the stock is going to overshoot
• You are not trying to collect all the premium
– If you can return 100% that is a huge win
Summary
• We have even more coming
• Volatility is the key to all trades in options
• Credit and Debit spreads are the same
• Risk reversals and modified reversal serve
different purposes
• Flies are cool
Boot Camp Quiz 2
• Explain what realized volatility is?
• What does low IV mean?
• What is the chief advantage of a spread?
• Is there a low IV type of trade?
Thanks!
For question you can contact:
mark@optionpit.com
andrew@optionpit.com
1(888) Trade-01