You are on page 1of 23

Chapter Nine

The Capital Asset


Pricing Model

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom.
No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
• CAPM is a set of predictions concerning
equilibrium expected returns on risky assets
• Based on two sets of assumptions
• Individual behavior
• Market structure
• Markowitz established modern portfolio
management in 1952
• Sharpe, Lintner and Mossin published CAPM
in 1964
INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS
©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-2
Assumptions

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-3
The Market Portfolio
• All investors will hold the same portfolio for
risky assets — market portfolio

• Market portfolio contains all securities


• Proportion of each stock in this portfolio equals
the market value of the stock (price per share
times number of shares outstanding) divided by
the sum of the market value of all stocks

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-4
Capital Allocation Line

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-5
Capital Market Line

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-6
The Risk Premium of the Market
Portfolio
• The market risk premium is proportional to its
risk and the degree of risk aversion:
 E ( RM )  A 2
M

Where
 A  representative investor’s risk aversion
 M  variance of the market portfolio
2

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-7
Expected Returns on Individual
Securities
• CAPM is build on the insight that the
appropriate risk premium on an asset will be
determined by its contribution to the risk of
investors’ overall portfolios
• All investors use the same input list (i.e., they all
end up using the market as their optimal risky
portfolio)

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-8
Individual Securities:
Example
• Covariance of GE return with the market
portfolio:
n
 n 

i 1
wi Cov( Ri , RGE ) Cov   wi Ri , RGE 
 i 1 
• The reward-to-risk ratio for GE would be:
GE's contribution to risk premium E ( RGE )

GE's contribution to variance Cov( RGE , RM )

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-9
GE Example
(1 of 2)

• Reward-to-risk ratio for investment in market


portfolio (i.e., market price of risk):
Market risk premium E ( RM )
 2
Market variance  ( RM )
• Equilibrium dictates all investments should
offer the same reward-to-risk ratio
E ( RGE ) E ( RM )
 2
Cov( RGe , RM )  ( RM )

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-10
GE Example
(2 of 2)

• Fair risk premium for GE stock:

Cov( RGe , RM )
E ( RGE )  E ( RM )
 ( RM )
2

• Restating, we obtain:


E  rGE   rf   GE E  rM   rf 

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-11
Expected Return-Beta Relationship
• Expected return-beta relationship tells us the
total expected rate of return is the sum of the
risk-free rate plus a risk premium
• Risk premium is the product of a “benchmark risk
premium” and the relative risk of the particular
asset as measured by its beta

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-12
The Security Market Line

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-13
The SML and a Positive-Alpha Stock

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-14
The CAPM and the Single-Index
Market
• Index model states the realized excess return on any
stock is the sum of the following:
• Realized excess return due to marketwide factors
• A nonmarket premium
• Firm-specific outcomes

R i   i   i R M  ei
• The index model beta coefficient is the same as the
beta of the CAPM expected return-beta relationship

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-15
Assumptions and Extensions of the
CAPM
• Fundamental distinction between systematic
and diversifiable risk remains in each variant
of the basic model
• CAPM is build on “uncomfortably restrictive”
assumptions

• See assumption from Table 9.1

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education
Extensions of the CAPM
(1 of 3)

1. Identical Input Lists


• In the absence of private information, investors
should assume alpha values are zero
2. Zero-Beta Model
• Helps to explain positive alphas on low beta stocks
and negative alphas on high beta stocks
3. Labor Income and Other Nontraded Assets
• Many assets are not tradeable (e.g., private
businesses, human capital, earning power of
individuals, etc.)
INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS
©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-17
Extensions of the CAPM
(2 of 3)

4. Multiperiod Model and Hedge Portfolios


• Investors should be more concerned with the
stream of consumption that wealth can buy for
them

5. Consumption-Based CAPM (CCAPM)


• Rubinstein, Lucas, and Breeden
• Investors allocate wealth between consumption
today and investment for the future

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-18
Extensions of the CAPM
(3 of 3)

6. Liquidity
• Financial costs inhibit trades
• Liquidity of an asset is the ease and speed with
which it can be sold at fair market value
• Illiquidity can be measured in part by the
discount from fair market value a seller must
accept if the asset is to be sold quickly

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-19
The Relationship Between
Illiquidity and Average Returns

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-20
Liquidity Risk
• In a financial crisis, liquidity can unexpectedly
dry up
• When liquidity in one stock decreases, it
commonly tends to decrease in other stocks at
the same time
• Investors demand compensation for liquidity
risk, demonstrated by firms with greater
liquidity risk having higher average returns
• “Liquidity betas”
INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS
©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-21
The CAPM and Academic World
• Testing the CAPM is surprisingly difficult
• Cannot observe all tradable assets
• Impossible to pin down market portfolio
• Both alpha and beta, as well as residual variance, are
likely time varying

• Most tests of the CAPM are directed at the mean-


beta relationship as applied to assets with respect
to an observed, but perhaps inefficient, stock
index portfolio
INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS
©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-22
The CAPM and Investment Industry
• Portfolio theory and the CAPM have become
accepted tools in the practitioner community
• Many professionals are comfortable with the use
of beta to measure systematic risk
• Most investors don’t beat the index portfolio

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 9-23

You might also like