For Conservative Condition

 Uncertain  Worst
 Certain  Average
 Opportunity  70% best
Example
Data Uncertain Certain Opportunity Data Best Value Worst
rate Value
Kurs 70% 30% 0% Kurs 10,500 9,200

Sales 30% 50% 20% Sales 180k 130

Data Uncertain Certain Opportunity Final Decision

rate
Kurs 70% x 9,200 30% x 9,850 0% x 70% x 6,440 + 2,995
= 6,440 = 2,955 10,500 = 0 + 0 = 9,395
Sales 30% x 130 = 50% x 155 = 20% x 70% x 39 + 77.5 +
39 77.5 180 = 25.2 25.2 = 141.7