Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Ivo Šlaus
World Academy of Art and Science, member Board of Trustees,
SEED – South East European Division, president
World Council Pugwash Conference on Science and World Affairs
and The Club of Rome
Why
1) The contemporary world:
◙ globalization – science generated
◙ rapid changes – science generated
◙ characterized by uncertainties and instabilities,
◙ number of Earths required to provide resources used by
humanity and to absorb their emissions for each year:
1970 1980 2005
0.86 1.00 1.25
World is dangerously in a state of overshoot.
Non-EU Europe
Yes
North America
No
European Union
Africa
E & C Europe
Asia/Pacific
Latin America
Mid East
Total Sample
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Gallup Voice of the People May-June 2005:
50,000 citizens, 65 countries equivalent 1.3 billion persons
• Poverty 26%
• Terrorism 12%
• Unemployment 9%
• Wars and conlicts 8%
• Economic problems 7%
• Environment 6%
• Drugs 5%
• Crime 4%
CONSEQUENCES
DESTRUCTION
OF CIVILIZATION
MAD
WMD
-
local
war
NATURAL
PROBABILITY 100 %
How
Learn from successes:
☺ world ave developing world
1960: 2250 2100 Kcal/day capita
1997: 2750 2600 Kcal/day capita
☺ Higher life expectancy and healthy active life
☺ end of Cold War and spread of democracies
☺ successful treaties, e.g. ozone
‼ Eliminate violence, war, terrorism→ Development,human and
social dignity, full employment
Culture of peace and knowledge:
democracy and freedom
Jobs are and will be not what they used to be: high use of
ICT and networking.
♣ Economy will swell by 40% from 2005 to 2015
♣ Chinese middle class: from 65 millions in 2005 to 650 in 2020
☺Appreciate:
♣ Work ≠ Employment.
♣ Changes in jobs, skills, human resources development.
♣ Capacity to manage change.
♣ Taking risks and controlling risks.