Performance Learning Objectives 1. Functions of the Financial Statements 2. Review of Financial Statements 3. Market Values vs Book Values 4. Accounting versus Economic Measures of Income 5. Returns to Shareholders versus returns on book equity 6. Financial Ratio Analysis 7. Financial Planning Process Three Economic Functions of the Financial Statements 1. Provide information to the owners and creditors of the firm about the company's current status and the past financial performance 2. Provide a convenient way for owners and creditors to set performance targets and to impose restrictions on the managers of the firm 3. Provide convenient templates for financial planning 2. Review of Financial Statements • Balance sheet • Income Statement • The Cash Flow statement Balance sheet • The firms balance sheet shows its assets(what it owns) and liabilities (what it owes) at a point in time (e.g as on December 31 st/or any date which is considered the end of financial year for the firm) • The Difference between Assets and liabilities is called the Net worth (or Stockholder’s Equity) • The values of assets , liabilities and net worth carried on a published balance sheet are measured at historical cost in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) • In Pakistan companies that wish to list their shares in PSEX and other companies as well need to make their accounts according to the accounting standards and follow the procedures of the SECP • Current Assets are assets that can converted into cash within one year. They consist of Cash, marketable securities, Inventories, account receivables • Paid up capital is the amount raised by issuing the stock and the retained earnings is the cumulative amount of past earnings that have been retained in the business Income Statement • The income statement summarizes the profitability of the firm over a period of time, usually a financial year • Income (profit/earning) is the difference between revenues and expenses • Expenses are broken down in four major categories – Cost of Goods sold – General Administrative and selling expense – Interest Expense – Corporate income Taxes Statement of Cash Flows • The statement of cash flows shows all the cash that flowed into and out of the firm during a period of time • It differs from income statement, which shows the firm’s revenues and expenses • The statement of cash flows is important for two main reasons – It focusses attention on what is happening to the firm’s cash position over time (whether its is building up or losing cash and the reasons for it) – Unlike revenues and expenses that are recorded based upon accrual accounting methods cash flow statements avoids managements judgements about issues such regarding valuation of inventory and depreciation of tangible assets • Cash flows are organized in three sections: 1. Cash flows from operations 2. Cash flows from investment activities 3. Cash flows from financing activities 2.4 Notes to Financial Statements Some specific items commonly found in the notes are: • An explanation of accounting methods used • Greater details regarding certain assets or liabilities • Information regarding the equity structure of the firm • Documentation of changes in operations • Off-balance sheet items 3. Market values versus Book values • Book values are the accounting values or values mentioned of assets and liabilities in the balance sheet. • A company’s book value per share is the value of its shareholder’s equity divided by the number of common shares outstanding • The Market price is the price of share at people are willing to buy it e.g price quoted at stock exchange 3. Market values versus Book values Why is the market price of a company’s stock different from its book value? • The book value doe not include all of a firm’s assets and liabilities (e.g good will, reputation-intangible assets) • Assets and liabilities are recorded at historical cost (original acquisition cost, rather than the current market values)- • ( accounting professionals are now moving to th practice of Marking to market Accounting versus Economic Measures of Income • The accounting definition of income or earnings or profits ignore unrealized gains or losses in the market values of assets and liabilities. • Such as the increase or decrease in the value of shares of stocks or the value of your property over the period. • Economic calculation of profit, however, take into account the unrealized gains and losses. Example • If the net Wages over the year =$100,000 • Decline in the overall value of assets=$60,000 • Accountants will ignore the decline in the value of assets because they are unrealized • Economist, however will take into account the decline in market value in calculating income because it affects the expected consumption possibilities which become $60,000 less than at the beginning of the year. • Thus Economic profit/income will be $40,000 • Secondly, accounting income allows as an income deduction the interest expense for the cost of borrowing funds, but not a comparable deduction for the equity funds employed. • Example: if a company earned $2million but used $50 million in shareholders equity to finance the firms assets at an appropriate cost of 10% then from an economic perspective the firm incurred a loss of $3 million (2m-$50m*0.10=$3m) • In this case although accounting profit is positive but the firm is not covering its basic costs, including its cost of capital. Measuring EVA • Economic Value Added (EVA) is a method of measuring the economic performance of a firm. • EVA is the amount of earnings a company has after accounting for the required capital costs. • The idea behind this measurement is that a company increases in value only if the return on its capital is greater than the opportunity cost of the capital investment. • EVA is one of the methods that firms are using to diagnose the health of their firms • This measure is very lear and can easily be generated • It is either positive or negative, and is clearly based on standard measurements and not hidden assumptions. That is the opportunity costs and return on investment Financial Ratio Analysis • Financial Ratios can be divided into 5 subsets 1. Liquidity Ratios 2. Profitability Ratios 3. Asset Turnover Ratios 4. Financial Leverage Ratios 5. Market Value Ratios Liquidity Ratios • Measure the ability of the firm to meet its short term obligations, or to pay its bills and remain solvent • The main ratios for measuring liquidity are: 1. The Current Ratio (CA/CL) 2. Quick Ratio(Cash +Marketable securities/CL) Profitability Ratios • Profitability can be measured with respect to sales (ROS), assets (ROA), or its equity (ROE) • For return on sales and return on assets income is taken as EBIT but for return on ROE it is taken as Net Income. • Whenever a financial ratio contains an item from the income statement, which cover period of time, and another from the balance sheet, which is snapshot at a point of time, the practice is to take the average of the beginning and end of year balance sheet figures , and use the average as the denominator Profitability Ratios • Gross profit Margin=Gross profit/Sales • ROS(Operating profit Margin)=EBIT/Sales • ROA=EBIT/Avg Total Assets • ROE=Net Income/Avg Shareholders Equity Asset Turnover Ratios • Assess the firm’s ability to use its assets productively in generating revenue • Asset turnover is a broad measure, whereas receivable turnover and inventory turover are specific measures for particular asset categories – Asset Turnover=Sales/Average Total Assets – Receivable Turnover=Sales/Average Receivables – Inventory Turnover=CGS/Average Inventory Financial Leverage Ratios • Highlight the capital structure of the firm, and the extent to which it is burdened with debt • The debt ratio measures the capital structure • Debt Ratio=Total Debt/Total Assets • The times interest earned measure indicates the ability of the firm to cover its inteerst payments • Times interest earned=EBIT/Interest expense Market Value Ratios • Market value ratios measure the relationship between the accounting representation of the firm and the market value of the firm. The two most common ratios are: • P/E Ratio=Price per share/EPS • Market to book=Price per share/Book value per share • A ratio similar to Market to book ratio is the Tobin’s q ratio (q)=Market value of assets/ Replacement cost When analyzing a firm’s financial ratios, two things need to be established first 1. Whose perspective to adopt-shareholders, creditors, or some other group of stakeholders 2. What standard of comparison to use as a benchmark Benchmarks can be of 3 types: 1. Financial ratios of other companies for the same time period 2. Financial ratios of the company itself in previous time periods 3. Information extracted from financial markets such as asset prices or interest rates Concept check • What are the 5 types of financial ratios used to analyze a company’s performance? Common Size Analysis • Vertical Analysis • Horizontal Analysis The Relations among Ratios • It is useful to decompose a firm’s ROA into the product of two ratios as follows: ROA=EBIT/SALES * SALES /ASSETS =RETURN ON SALES*ASSET RNOVER =ROS *ATO
• The decomposition of ROA into ROS and ATO highlights
the fact that firms in different industries can have vastly different ROS and turnover ratios yet the same return on assets • Example: A super market chain and a utility company The Effect of Financial Leverage • Financial leverage simply means the use of borrowed money • the shareholder of the firm use financial leverage in order to boost their ROE, but in doing so they increase the sensitivity of ROE (NI/SE) to fluctuations in the firm’s underlying operating profitability as measured by its ROA(EBIT/A)-A use of financial leverage increases both its financial as well as operational risk • An increase in a firm’s financial leverage will increase its ROE if and only if its ROA exceeds the interest rate on the borrowed funds Limitations of Ratio Analysis • The basic problem is there is no absolute standard by which to judge whether the ratios are too high or too low • Ratios are comprised of accounting numbers, often calculated in arbitrary ways • It is difficult to define a set of comparable firms because firms even in same industry are often quite different • Financial ratio analysis provides a rough guide and should not be used in isolation for decision making 3.8:Constructing a Financial Planning Model
• Financial Plans are usually embodies in
quantitative models derived in whole or in part from a firm’s financial statements • A simplest approach is the percent of sales method • Where sale is forecasted for the next year and assumption is made that most of the items on the income statement and balance sheet will maintain the same ratio to sales as in the previous year. 3.10:Working Capital Management • The difference between Current Assets and Current Liabilities is called Working Capital. • In most business cash must be paid out to cover expenses( raw material etc)before any cash is collected from the sale . • If a firm’s need for working capital is permanent rather than seasonal, it usually seeks long-term financing for it. • Seasonal financing are met through short term financing arrangements, such as loans from banks 3.11: Liquidity and Cash Budgeting • A firm that is profitable in the long run can experience serious difficulties and even fail if it runs out of cash or credit in the short run • Liquidity means that one has the means to make immediate payment for some purchase or to settle a debt that has come due. • Illiquidity is a situation in which one has sufficient wealth to aford the purchase or to settle the debt, but one does not have the means to pay immediately. • To avoid the difficulties caused by illiquidity, firms need to forecast their cash outflows and inflows carefully. • A plan that shows the forecasts is called a cash budget Concept check • Why is liquidity important for a firm? • Cash management is important because even a profitable firm can get into financial distress or even go bankrupt it becomes illiquid