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PPP and Pfi: Peter Livesey Senior Policy Analyst Corporate and Private Finance
PPP and Pfi: Peter Livesey Senior Policy Analyst Corporate and Private Finance
Peter Livesey
Senior Policy Analyst
Corporate and Private Finance
11/08/22
UK Procurement Policy
HM Treasury
Corporate and Private
Value for Money Team Finance Team
General procurement policy PPP/PFI procurement
policy
2
PFI has been effective procurement tool
Number and value of PFI projects by year • 2006 was biggest year so far for the
8
7
80
70
value of deals signed:
Capital Value (£ billion)
Number of projects
5 50
3 30
2 20 ago
1 10
0
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
0
• Key sectors of PFI investment:
Capital Value (£ billion) No. of deals
MoD - 16%
• Transport - £4.9bn in 46 projects (not
DfES - 12%
DfT - 16%
including tube deals)
3
Project Delivery
Conventional PFI
Procurement
4
PFI is delivering in operation
5
PFI is a small part of total investment
Total investment public services
60
50
Investment (£bn)
40
30
20
10
0
1990-91
1991-92
1992-93
1993-94
1994-95
1995-96
1996-97
1997-98
1998-99
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2005-06
2004-05
PSNI Depreciation Asset sales PFI/PPP
6
What is in the £20.7bn pipeline?
Department Capital value (£m) Current status
•
Future Strategic Tanker Aircraft MoD 2506 Preferred Bidder
(FSTA)
M25 Transport 1500 Published OJEU
5.0
4.0
Value (£ billion)
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
7
Thames and Mersey Gateway Bridges
Thames Gateway
Mersey Gateway
8
UK Policy - PPP/PFI
9
Whole life benefits - Street Lighting and
Highways Maintenance
BCR
3.5 high
BCR
Picture courtesy of PriceWaterhouseCoopers
2.3 high
10
UK Policy - VfM
Ex-ante
• Capital strategy considered as part of Spending Review process
• Specific investment options identified and appraised using the Green Book
• Capital projects prioritised within Department’s capital programme
• Those areas which may be suited to procurement through PFI identified
11
UK Policy - VfM
•Continuous assessment of whether drivers of value for money are maintained until financial
close.
•Proceed with procurement ensuring there are no material changes such as market failure.
12
HMT assessment – PFI benefits
Captures private sector management expertise
Incentivises whole life costing in provision of serviced
assets
Real risk transfer : 90% projects completed on time
Operational satisfaction levels are high : 80% or higher
HMT policy control increases contract discipline and
ensures projects are well scrutinised
PFI now a reasonably well understood procurement
model with a mature market
13
PPP/PFI delivers Whole Life Benefits
14
HMT assessment– issues
• Perceived lack of flexibility:
Operational issues – capacity to facilitate minor service changes
Adaptability to meet high level policy changes
Locks in public sector revenue spending on servicing assets (but gives
certainty)
• PFI less suited to some areas : lack of specified outputs (e.g. IT), smaller projects
• Private sector returns: debt refinancing (action taken to put in place gain share
arrangements), significant equity returns
• Public sector skills: PFI is complex making it a challenge for public sector bodies to
act as a client. Procurement times too long : average of 25 months in education, 38
months in health.
• Additionality: Risk that PFI is used for additional / non-essential infrastructure
investment, e.g. street lighting
15
Continuing to improve PFI procurement
16
Comprehensive Spending Review
17
Improving operational performance
18
Budget 2007
• Publication of SoPC4
• Publication of Transition Guidance
http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media/6F9/E2/
pfi_projecttransition_210307.pdf
• Announcement of PFI Credit envelope of £11bn to
support LA PFI projects
• Move to international reporting standards in 2008-09
• Changes to corporate taxation incl capital allowances -
P&M and IBA
19
PFI could evolve into a greater range of
models
•
More like PFI
• Debt underpinning (Woolwich extension, M25)
Could reduce cost of borrowing by c. 50-70 basis points
Risks undermining contractor discipline
• Flexible contract lengths e.g. contract termination / asset
transfer triggered at threshold level of profit (Croydon Tram,
Second Severn)
May enhance refinancing gains
Risk of undermining whole life costing / innovation
• Service concessions (M6 toll, Thames Gateway)
Maintains / enhances discipline on partner (risk transfer)
May undermine whole life costing
• Asset sales (BAA)
High level of discipline on owner / total risk transfer / whole
life costing Less like PFI
Lose public sector control subject to regulation
Will remain off balance sheet
20
M25 – Possible New Approaches
•Debt Underpin
•Up-front capital
•Milestone capital payments
•Debt Funding Competition
•Equity Funding Competition
21
Databank
22